TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa9fa…cecf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
202
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst UFC at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT7552%39 W · 36 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 75 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Spirit (BO5) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.66
Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.6
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$37.82
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.28
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+100%+$48.39
Counter-Strike: NIP vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffsbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Map Handicap: FAL (-2.5) vs FURIA (+2.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$92.51
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+132.7%+$159.8
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5)backed Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.15
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.07
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.43
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$26.82
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.35
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$15
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.18
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$25.74
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$23.27
Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$36.22
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$27.58
Counter-Strike: B8 vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1backed TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
Counter-Strike: 100 Thieves vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsbacked 100 Thieves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.4
Showing 25 of 75 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT5056%28 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)backed Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.37
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.6
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 3-4 Challenge Groupbacked Dplus KIA Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.33
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$27.62
LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$70.1
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$21.64
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+317.5%+$47.91
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.58
LoL: Gen.G vs JD Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
LoL: G2 Esports vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Abacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$24.36
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$59.67
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$16.8
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.13
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.2
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+119.4%+$33.08
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winnerbacked Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$30
Game Handicap: AL (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)backed Team WE · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$14.8
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs KT Rolster (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.92
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.82
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Invictus Gaming (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$16
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$15.85
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)backed Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$12.58
Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.11
Wimbledon ATP: Taylor Fritz vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$21.42
Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$25.6
Wimbledon ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alexander Bublikbacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.82
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.94
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Grand Prix Hassan II: Rafael Jodar vs Tomas Machacbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$25
Grand Prix Hassan II: Vit Kopriva vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Alexandre Muller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$21.43
Bucharest Open: Alexander Shevchenko vs Botic van de Zandschulpbacked Botic van de Zandschulp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$12.78
Bucharest Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Titouan Droguetbacked Roberto Bautista Agut · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.5
BNP Paribas Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Rafael Jodarbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.9
BNP Paribas Open: Jenson Brooksby vs Alexei Popyrinbacked Jenson Brooksby · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+66.7%+$126.5
Delray Beach Open: Tommy Paul vs Sebastian Kordabacked Paul · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$28.35
Delray Beach Open: Zachary Svajda vs Frances Tiafoebacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+58.7%+$8.51
Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Novak Djokovicbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$17.49
Set Handicap: Alcaraz (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)backed Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+69.5%+$11.69
Australian Open Men's: Alexander Bublik vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$22.82
Australian Open Men's: Tomas Machac vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+66.7%+$57.12
Australian Open Men's: Lorenzo Musetti vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$25.74
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick33cpaid+27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+578.4%+$246.39
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Jude Bellingham: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.2
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.19
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$34.06
Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.73
United States vs. Australia: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.39
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$147.83
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.42
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+179.1%+$80.18
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+42.6%+$17.32
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.81
Spread: Cavaliers (-8.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.75
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$16.5
Spread: Lakers (-5.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$16.35
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+92.3%+$83.11
Jazz vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-45.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.18
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$280Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$279.7
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.09
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$38.59
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.68
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.87
Spread: Louisville Cardinals (-4.5)backed South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+96.2%+$39.12
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Arkansas Razorbacksbacked Vanderbilt Commodores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Houston Cougars vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.8
Spread: Clemson Tigers (-3.5)backed Clemson Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$23.33
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+33.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFClast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked TEAM VISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Opinion launch a token on March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$74.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group Alphabacked All Gamers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will All I Want For Christmas Is You - Mariah Carey be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$35.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.