TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Ninjas in Pyjamasof Invictus Gaming, Ninjas in Pyjamas
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,507
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$26,359

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,507 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe015…6ffdbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas71c6,036$4,285 inWon+$1,750.3996048.8%468 W · 492 L+13.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Ninjas in Pyjamas73c5,000$3,647 inWon+$1,353.4591854%496 W · 422 L-1.5wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Invictus Gaming27c4,665$1,260 inLost-$1,259.51,22448.3%591 W · 633 L+26.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Invictus Gaming29c2,362$678 inLost-$677.8926729.2%78 W · 189 L-6.6wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed Invictus Gaming28c1,938$551 inLost-$550.6417835.4%63 W · 115 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b96…4389backed Ninjas in Pyjamas72c1,500$1,080 inWon+$42066059.8%395 W · 265 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed Invictus Gaming29c1,198$347 inLost-$347.4214831.1%46 W · 102 L-6.2wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4281…1a5abacked Invictus Gaming28c932.85$261 inLost-$261.27243.1%31 W · 41 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88b1…21acbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas72c763.05$549 inWon+$213.652250%11 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Ninjas in Pyjamas72c701.06$505 inWon+$196.32,50839.8%999 W · 1,509 L-76.4wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e90…be2bbacked Invictus Gaming29c508.39$147 inLost-$147.435463%34 W · 20 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Invictus Gaming29c482.76$140 inLost-$1401,11339%434 W · 679 L-44.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaad1…172ebacked Invictus Gaming29c344.83$100 inLost-$1003756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.7wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+21.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Invictus Gaming29c327.59$95 inLost-$9517436.2%63 W · 111 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+19.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Invictus Gaming28c283.97$80 inLost-$79.892,93844.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L-92.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d3…42e4backed Invictus Gaming28c240.07$67 inLost-$67.2226440.9%108 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed Ninjas in Pyjamas72c237.18$171 inWon+$66.6297854.4%532 W · 446 L+48.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14ca…8f43backed Invictus Gaming29c197$57 inLost-$57.1320644.7%92 W · 114 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bec…df10backed Invictus Gaming29c155.17$45 inLost-$45616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.41per pick58cpaid-78.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc69b…2076backed Invictus Gaming27c120$32 inLost-$32.469741.5%289 W · 408 L-17.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd6bc…35e8backed Invictus Gaming29c110$32 inLost-$31.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ef…91cebacked Invictus Gaming29c100$29 inLost-$29250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b95…b23ebacked Invictus Gaming30c100$30 inLost-$301,02445%461 W · 563 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5819…2b4fbacked Invictus Gaming28c95.31$27 inLost-$26.9450550.7%256 W · 249 L+34.1wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+20.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9fa…cecfbacked Invictus Gaming33c95.06$31 inLost-$31.375056%28 W · 22 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Invictus Gaming29c78.83$23 inLost-$22.638555.1%212 W · 173 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas72c70$50 inWon+$19.624554.7%134 W · 111 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Invictus Gaming29c63.14$18 inLost-$18.3180832.9%266 W · 542 L-43.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Ninjas in Pyjamas70c46.3$32 inWon+$13.891,38545.1%625 W · 760 L-12.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfce8…2686backed Ninjas in Pyjamas72c41.67$30 inWon+$11.6714960.4%90 W · 59 L-8.4wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-6.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5777…f1a7backed Invictus Gaming28c39.98$11 inLost-$11.226048.8%127 W · 133 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ada…5c6cbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas71c21.13$15 inWon+$6.1323264.2%149 W · 83 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2805…a007backed Ninjas in Pyjamas72c20.83$15 inWon+$5.836056.7%34 W · 26 L-5.4wins-0.09per pick66cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x863f…7b79backed Ninjas in Pyjamas71c20$14 inWon+$5.857655.9%322 W · 254 L+8.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9269…2900backed Ninjas in Pyjamas71c20$14 inWon+$5.83043.3%13 W · 17 L-4.1wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-26.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.