Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa162b0a4494894a619be9757368b510049961aa7a229fc1722feaa65fa69fb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,164
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,837
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,164 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 2,427$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.37 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e58…5749backed Over | 55c | 2,079$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,143.11 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6401…f240backed Under | 45c | 2,067$927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.7 | 379 | 48.3%183 W · 196 L | +12.2wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Over | 50c | 2,008$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Over | 27c | 1,492$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.1 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 453 | 38%172 W · 281 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 508 | 45.3%230 W · 278 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…2d49backed Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 64 | 57.8%37 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Under | 51c | 503.98$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.95 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 50c | 435$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 1,092 | 52.4%572 W · 520 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Over | 25c | 430.76$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.21 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 49c | 381$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.8 | 549 | 34.8%191 W · 358 L | -15.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Over | 36c | 339.51$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.26 | 637 | 42.7%272 W · 365 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Under | 51c | 282.5$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.42 | 624 | 51.4%321 W · 303 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 27c | 266.58$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x430f…5c08backed Over | 51c | 259.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.59 | 76 | 40.8%31 W · 45 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed Over | 50c | 240$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 264 | 40.9%108 W · 156 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 50c | 224.35$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.5 | 1,113 | 39%434 W · 679 L | -44.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Under | 68c | 210.26$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.77 | 978 | 54.4%532 W · 446 L | +48.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 493 | 46.5%229 W · 264 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 205 | 51.7%106 W · 99 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 60c | 187.18$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.08 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Under | 74c | 129.74$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.32 | 222 | 65.3%145 W · 77 L | +7.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Over | 26c | 115.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 161 | 30.4%49 W · 112 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 48c | 101.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Over | 50c | 100.6$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3109…ff47backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc925…6d24backed Under | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 634 | 26%165 W · 469 L | -90.0wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -54%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x853e…f16abacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa764…bbd5backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8b6…d353backed Over | 49c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Under | 48c | 49.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 556 | 28.6%159 W · 397 L | -31.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Under | 51c | 49.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd799…326cbacked Over | 48c | 47.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.59 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -6.5wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Under | 46c | 32.03$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d7b…332dbacked Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 146 | 34.2%50 W · 96 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb445…e4a3backed Over | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 145 | 51.7%75 W · 70 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Over | 53c | 30.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 267 | 54.7%146 W · 121 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9269…2900backed Under | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -4.1wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 1,310 | 49.2%644 W · 666 L | -23.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Over | 49c | 29.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 146 | 41.8%61 W · 85 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Under | 51c | 27.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.38 | 2,508 | 39.8%999 W · 1,509 L | -76.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 45c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Under | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e38…a78bbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5)Ninjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group NirvanaNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
- LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 WinnerNinjas in Pyjamas won
- Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.