TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd799…326c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Valorant, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Valorant at 56 out of 100; worst Lol at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT5131.4%16 W · 35 L-6.5wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-25.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Lol — the 51 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 1 Winnerbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$154Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$154.1
LoL: INTZ e-Sports vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked INTZ e-Sports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.21
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$142.5
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.99
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked Hanwha Life Esports Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 3 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$128
LoL: Disguised vs Dignitas (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$300
LoL: Sentinels vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$318
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.04
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.59
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$159
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.99
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs T1 Academy - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$101.2
LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs MVK Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked MVK Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
LoL: BIG vs Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked BIG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$331.98
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked HANJIN BRION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$134.99
Game Handicap: WB (-1.5) vs LNG Esports (+1.5)backed LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$235
LoL: KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas vs Vivo Keyd Stars Academy (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffsbacked KaBuM! Ilha das Lendas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Showing 25 of 51 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5038%19 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.71
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$177Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+80.4%+$142.6
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)backed Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$228
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$113.4
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$306
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$156
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.04
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.79
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Playoffsbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.25
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 2 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+203%+$201
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs BoomBoys - Game 1 Winnerbacked BoomBoys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$155.44
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.49
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Falcons (BO3) - The International Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$220
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$122.49
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.5
Dota 2: Iron Wing vs Team Yandex - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$122.5
Dota 2: Team Resilience vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.49
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.61
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$264
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs TheMongolz (+1.5)backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$255
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.6
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$150
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs magic - Map 1 Winnerbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$147.5
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$240
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs NIP - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$105
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.33
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.17
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$198
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$110
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$57
Counter-Strike: K27 vs MIBR (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$450
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 Winnerbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.32
Counter-Strike: NIP vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$168
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FaZe (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$240
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Astralis (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$245
All 19 picks, newest first.
Valorantlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+36.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Valorant — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FURIA Esports vs Evil Geniuses - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$153.9
Valorant: MIBR vs Team Envy (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-Inbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$240
Valorant: Team Liquid vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$365Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$350.34
Valorant: Joblife vs Fnatic (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Joblife · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$108.18
Valorant: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Team Heretics - Map 2 Winnerbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$136
Valorant: KRÜ Esports vs BESTIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked BESTIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
Valorant: Joblife vs Pcific Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Insbacked Pcific Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.2
Valorant: Wolves Esports vs Dragon Ranger Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Wolves Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
All 8 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Colorado Rockies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$155Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$155
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.