Tennis · resolved market
Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoe
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6fff9e53cbeb41d643bde59e7da087cc13b3719300d650c5d5730be131fe93f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Frances Tiafoeof Lorenzo Musetti, Frances Tiafoe
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,118,955
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,209,338
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,118,955 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 527 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Frances Tiafoe | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,000 | 172 | 45.9%79 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lorenzo Musetti | 18c | 77,737$14,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,130.45 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5901…63a2backed Lorenzo Musetti | 50c | 43,747$21,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,873.35 | 107 | 52.3%56 W · 51 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59f4…c1f1backed Lorenzo Musetti | 50c | 36,782$18,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,391.05 | 182 | 37.9%69 W · 113 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca64…4f43backed Frances Tiafoe | 72c | 34,237$24,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,595.25 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a1…bf4bbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 41c | 32,628$13,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,528.47 | 105 | 53.3%56 W · 49 L | +7.7wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 50c | 30,000$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,999.99 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Frances Tiafoe | 58c | 27,076$15,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,437.64 | 1,318 | 43.6%574 W · 744 L | -23.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21fd…f263backed Lorenzo Musetti | 51c | 26,621$13,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,470.55 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8384…3953backed Lorenzo Musetti | 0c | 24,760$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -4.2wins | -0.21per pick | 56cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Lorenzo Musetti | 50c | 20,821$10,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,340.1 | 2,304 | 51.1%1,177 W · 1,127 L | +10.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc293…fac3backed Lorenzo Musetti | 44c | 20,772$9,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,101.46 | 80 | 56.3%45 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…ee64backed Lorenzo Musetti | 60c | 18,869$11,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,321.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.3wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x464f…01b7backed Lorenzo Musetti | 0c | 18,784$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 29 | 13.8%4 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -78.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Frances Tiafoe | 53c | 16,888$8,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,943.05 | 1,257 | 56.6%711 W · 546 L | -17.9wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Frances Tiafoe | 74c | 16,033$11,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,168.45 | 1,188 | 48.9%581 W · 607 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa77…15a5backed Frances Tiafoe | 51c | 13,985$7,132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,852.68 | 344 | 57.6%198 W · 146 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7523…4c4cbacked Frances Tiafoe | 48c | 12,839$6,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,676.19 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Frances Tiafoe | 74c | 12,677$9,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240.47 | 4,126 | 44.6%1,842 W · 2,284 L | +13.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Lorenzo Musetti | 42c | 12,366$5,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,147.87 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e60…3badbacked Frances Tiafoe | 50c | 12,334$6,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,161.52 | 87 | 43.7%38 W · 49 L | +6.0wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | 0%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Lorenzo Musetti | 50c | 11,360$5,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,680.19 | 298 | 40.9%122 W · 176 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Frances Tiafoe | 51c | 11,100$5,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,439 | 666 | 49.5%330 W · 336 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed Lorenzo Musetti | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…7451backed Frances Tiafoe | 49c | 10,071$4,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,136.46 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf377…4159backed Frances Tiafoe | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Frances Tiafoe | 50c | 9,800$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 362 | 47%170 W · 192 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe954…1ef1backed Lorenzo Musetti | 50c | 9,558$4,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,747.53 | 97 | 48.5%47 W · 50 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0afb…d23dbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 0c | 9,057$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa57…a128backed Frances Tiafoe | 74c | 8,160$6,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,088.3 | 191 | 67%128 W · 63 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Frances Tiafoe | 50c | 7,057$3,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,542.91 | 314 | 47.8%150 W · 164 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…0aa1backed Frances Tiafoe | 57c | 6,899$3,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,966.59 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Lorenzo Musetti | 52c | 6,030$3,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,135.6 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lorenzo Musetti | 46c | 5,278$2,442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,441.89 | 3,621 | 45.3%1,641 W · 1,980 L | -3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Frances Tiafoe | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 361 | 49.6%179 W · 182 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8853…c058backed Lorenzo Musetti | 46c | 5,000$2,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,290 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Lorenzo Musetti | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 718 | 52.8%379 W · 339 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae5c…5df7backed Lorenzo Musetti | 59c | 4,323$2,542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,541.86 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Lorenzo Musetti | 42c | 4,295$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,803.7 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x492b…45eebacked Lorenzo Musetti | 29c | 4,264$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.09 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59ab…f844backed Frances Tiafoe | 50c | 4,200$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,100 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…7e20backed Frances Tiafoe | 47c | 4,085$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,165.28 | 183 | 48.1%88 W · 95 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Frances Tiafoe | 61c | 3,992$2,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,557.35 | 805 | 58.6%472 W · 333 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Frances Tiafoe | 50c | 3,813$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.46 | 1,634 | 50%817 W · 817 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…8f65backed Frances Tiafoe | 66c | 3,660$2,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,239.49 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Lorenzo Musetti | 51c | 3,565$1,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,828.37 | 307 | 40.7%125 W · 182 L | -23.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lorenzo Musetti | 33c | 3,412$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.31 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ed…ee18backed Lorenzo Musetti | 31c | 3,122$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.66 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…0fdfbacked Frances Tiafoe | 66c | 3,040$2,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.8 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Frances Tiafoe | 61c | 3,016$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,187.98 | 2,997 | 57.3%1,717 W · 1,280 L | +170.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec37…85bdbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 46c | 3,014$1,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,387.92 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31e…c120backed Frances Tiafoe | 71c | 3,000$2,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870 | 294 | 54.8%161 W · 133 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 52c | 2,984$1,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,553.76 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Lorenzo Musetti | 49c | 2,963$1,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Frances Tiafoe | 47c | 2,842$1,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,517.22 | 539 | 42.1%227 W · 312 L | +19.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd13e…ed01backed Frances Tiafoe | 61c | 2,797$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.76 | 327 | 54.4%178 W · 149 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Lorenzo Musetti | 49c | 2,775$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.62 | 750 | 46.8%351 W · 399 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a95…3a16backed Frances Tiafoe | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.57 | 67 | 70.1%47 W · 20 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 57cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Frances Tiafoe | 49c | 2,599$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,325.49 | 303 | 35.3%107 W · 196 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Frances Tiafoe | 69c | 2,364$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.16 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Frances Tiafoe | 50c | 2,335$1,163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.83 | 1,110 | 43%477 W · 633 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc408…7f32backed Frances Tiafoe | 59c | 2,285$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.7 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 50c | 2,218$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 691 | 41.1%284 W · 407 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6387…95dcbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 50c | 2,157$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,078.43 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Lorenzo Musetti | 9c | 2,150$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.54 | 952 | 8.1%77 W · 875 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1691…1e24backed Lorenzo Musetti | 27c | 2,140$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b14…3ca3backed Lorenzo Musetti | 43c | 2,109$903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.91 | 488 | 47.1%230 W · 258 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf1a…0e12backed Lorenzo Musetti | 7c | 2,100$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.99 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Frances Tiafoe | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040.81 | 783 | 36%282 W · 501 L | +36.4wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x715d…a4babacked Lorenzo Musetti | 49c | 2,037$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.1 | 340 | 47.6%162 W · 178 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Lorenzo Musetti | 52c | 2,026$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.65 | 1,020 | 49.9%509 W · 511 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Frances Tiafoe | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 1,404 | 28.7%403 W · 1,001 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Lorenzo Musetti | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 394 | 38.1%150 W · 244 L | -16.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e3…57b5backed Frances Tiafoe | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d5…732ebacked Frances Tiafoe | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 337 | 55.2%186 W · 151 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe75…5af2backed Frances Tiafoe | 67c | 1,990$1,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.88 | 105 | 62.9%66 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +35%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Frances Tiafoe | 52c | 1,972$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$937.34 | 145 | 55.9%81 W · 64 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ef…abd6backed Frances Tiafoe | 50c | 1,940$970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.1 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 39cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3622…3facbacked Frances Tiafoe | 51c | 1,907$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.6 | 68 | 67.6%46 W · 22 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75a7…2d61backed Lorenzo Musetti | 22c | 1,907$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417 | 717 | 25.2%181 W · 536 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3663…8950backed Frances Tiafoe | 54c | 1,900$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874 | 390 | 43.6%170 W · 220 L | +21.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Frances Tiafoe | 49c | 1,837$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.73 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a48…e3a8backed Lorenzo Musetti | 50c | 1,714$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849.03 | 194 | 59.3%115 W · 79 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lorenzo Musetti | 33c | 1,668$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.92 | 2,696 | 47.9%1,292 W · 1,404 L | +46.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Frances Tiafoe | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 61 | 37.7%23 W · 38 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Lorenzo Musetti | 50c | 1,598$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.81 | 2,394 | 38.4%920 W · 1,474 L | +87.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…cb1abacked Frances Tiafoe | 50c | 1,573$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.69 | 294 | 55.8%164 W · 130 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689f…259cbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 47c | 1,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…3f77backed Lorenzo Musetti | 26c | 1,484$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.72 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56dd…83d5backed Lorenzo Musetti | 43c | 1,457$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.29 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x876f…bbb9backed Frances Tiafoe | 50c | 1,446$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$728.54 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 49c | 1,429$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700.21 | 64 | 48.4%31 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…e86dbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 50c | 1,364$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.92 | 526 | 61.2%322 W · 204 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6170…f3fdbacked Frances Tiafoe | 61c | 1,313$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$512.64 | 272 | 62.9%171 W · 101 L | +18.0wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Lorenzo Musetti | 49c | 1,262$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.48 | 4,647 | 49.3%2,291 W · 2,356 L | +159.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…d609backed Frances Tiafoe | 52c | 1,250$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Frances Tiafoe | 55c | 1,250$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.78 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc68…f899backed Frances Tiafoe | 54c | 1,243$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.37 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -9.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…2b75backed Lorenzo Musetti | 50c | 1,176$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.24 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e9…caedbacked Lorenzo Musetti | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 90 | 67.8%61 W · 29 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cincinnati Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Frances Tiafoethis page
- Lorenzo Musetti vs. Frances Tiafoe: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Musetti vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 22.5Over won
- Musetti vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 23.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Musetti vs TiafoeTiafoe won
- Set 2 Winner: Musetti vs TiafoeTiafoe won
- Set Handicap: Musetti (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5)Tiafoe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.