TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$367,248
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$358,797

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $367,248 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 255 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb809…2004backed No60c64,000$38,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,600580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+38.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes30c60,000$18,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,999.993426.5%9 W · 25 L-4.9wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-36.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No72c26,403$18,930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,473.521,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c20,193$13,973 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,219.966,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x076b…57afbacked Yes39c18,590$7,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,204.2540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes31c15,469$4,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,806.841,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes40c15,311$6,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,124.511,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No62c14,216$8,748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,468.6413348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29fc…9a36backed Yes34c12,587$4,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,262.28425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-64.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed No75c12,474$9,357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,117.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No69c8,936$6,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,770.2518958.7%111 W · 78 L+12.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No73c8,598$6,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,320.2318453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes34c8,096$2,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,790.1448950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes40c7,500$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00085048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yes40c7,500$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-70.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Yes40c6,142$2,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,456.731457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes32c6,072$1,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,928.4711942%50 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+18.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked No71c5,355$3,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,563.14666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+46.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x08ff…32ebbacked No78c4,820$3,743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,076.732277.3%17 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+38.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdb3a…d1ccbacked No68c4,738$3,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,500.241233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa462…7b59backed Yes26c4,445$1,154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,153.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes38c4,100$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5769347.3%44 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4a7…dc87backed No74c4,100$3,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick65cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No70c3,611$2,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,084.73171%22 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3bcd…abb2backed No75c3,387$2,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$846.76366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No75c3,358$2,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.8220059.5%119 W · 81 L-0.9wins0.00per pick60cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes41c3,000$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,229.984736.2%17 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Yes40c2,615$1,037 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,037.449735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Yes28c2,525$717 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$717.392817.9%5 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick13cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Yes39c2,504$988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$988.0955751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78e3…2bcabacked Yes40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002920.7%6 W · 23 L-5.2wins-0.18per pick39cpaid-47%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes24c2,287$538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.5977336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No65c2,222$1,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.732158.9%189 W · 132 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed No78c2,040$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.9410579%83 W · 22 L+22.7wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+54.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x303f…2fabbacked Yes1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked Yes40c2,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick53cpaid-46.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77fe…a351backed Yes30c1,810$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.0120%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes27c1,542$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.854,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe053…fd08backed Yes27c1,500$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.99683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbc56…8f28backed No73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.011471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4bb6…9647backed Yes32c1,347$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes18c1,343$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.641844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e0f…9304backed Yes30c1,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40040%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc34c…2e29backed Yes40c1,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-38.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes28c1,239$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.4672142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No65c1,141$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.2588635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes23c1,053$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.8857833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed No71c1,046$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.283046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes26c1,039$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.427275%54 W · 18 L+15.0wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked No78c1,026$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.649373.1%68 W · 25 L+17.6wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Yes21c1,006$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.871643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-57.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Yes40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40040%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes42c952.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013944.6%62 W · 77 L-9.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes42c952.38$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40017634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xd273…17eabacked No75c941.58$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.95580%4 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick60cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes41c921.42$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.78425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-41.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes30c891.77$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.297032.9%23 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No60c846.5$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.659445.5%270 W · 324 L-15.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes19c836.14$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158.8219441.8%81 W · 113 L-6.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No59c780.11$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.5880953.6%434 W · 375 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No69c747.14$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.442133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe51f…973ebacked Yes35c714.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No61c705$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.956567.7%44 W · 21 L+12.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No59c682.88$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.6369851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52e9…c2c1backed Yes30c639.83$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.95450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes33c608.63$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.326746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9698…2504backed Yes39c605$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.95366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick44cpaid+44.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes40c600.24$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.0184549%414 W · 431 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes42c600$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2525154.9%28 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No76c583.41$443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.0296645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes40c549.57$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.8359247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked Yes23c540$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.260%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d91…40d3backed Yes38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003228.1%9 W · 23 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6055…5fdebacked Yes38c526.32$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes31c516.52$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.127742.9%33 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd799…326cbacked Yes39c500$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19550%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb46…48efbacked Yes40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20030%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Yes19c458.96$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.037353.4%39 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Yes39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15617337.6%65 W · 108 L-0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x876f…bbb9backed Yes39c400$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8bc…ea6abacked Yes38c399.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15320%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes17c350$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.54129.3%12 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick29cpaid-11.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed Yes24c341.29$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.112531.2%39 W · 86 L-11.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-44.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6797…e0e5backed Yes31c338.71$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x05c5…6a69backed No76c333.12$253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.012250%11 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes25c313.83$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.2853344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed No78c307.01$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.018375.9%63 W · 20 L+17.2wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+57.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x018e…5c3dbacked Yes33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed No71c302.63$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.1428456.7%161 W · 123 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe18a…fd87backed Yes30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9053134.5%183 W · 348 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23bf…805cbacked Yes38c295.23$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.4633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-18.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes41c268.93$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9718748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4014…27bfbacked No59c254.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.24450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Yes42c250$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1056540%26 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6dd…7af9backed No60c250$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004341.9%18 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked Yes40c250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb226…4163backed No59c245.71$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.741788.2%15 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x70cb…950ebacked Yes41c243.96$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.