TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$69,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$72,209

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,645 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes23c20,008$4,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,630.6931947.6%152 W · 167 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No70c12,941$9,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,818.0218758.8%110 W · 77 L+12.3wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes30c10,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0004847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c78…77f1backed No70c6,211$4,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,863.42540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No53c4,884$2,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,280.793171%22 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No38c3,229$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,001.044,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No70c2,563$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$762.5655351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No70c2,316$1,622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.89735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No55c2,288$1,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,024.8654132.9%178 W · 363 L-28.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f98…0aa1backed Yes31c1,235$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3851225%3 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-47.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x801d…d8e0backed Yes63c1,000$630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6301957.9%11 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e39…352cbacked No71c999.97$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.996225.8%16 W · 46 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick19cpaid-9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No70c984.79$689 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.4485048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes29c862.07$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25017634.1%60 W · 116 L-13.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-15.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes17c724.7$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.296445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x767a…8ac5backed No58c672.76$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.56785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+77.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x78e1…7337backed Yes30c666.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.15per pick29cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed No68c639.99$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.84652.2%24 W · 22 L+6.0wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+54.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No60c596.84$358 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.6145249.6%224 W · 228 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca10backed Yes25c565.6$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.43228.1%9 W · 23 L-4.5wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-48.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes17c533.99$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6141243.4%179 W · 233 L-1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6afc…f7ddbacked No67c529.56$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.392152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x308b…b223backed Yes12c525$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632740.7%11 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick41cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes18c481.72$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6177236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Yes34c465.57$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.5518253.8%98 W · 84 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes47c432$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.796,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x018e…5c3dbacked Yes19c425.33$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.751127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-52.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Yes18c421.34$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.9320041%82 W · 118 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x882c…5d07backed Yes79c398$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.865935.6%21 W · 38 L-10.8wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-45.4%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x1430…a753backed No62c382.18$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.234245.2%19 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick35cpaid+35.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No50c375$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.447032.9%23 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes11c318.18$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-55.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x03ed…c077backed No72c300.6$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.1712965.1%84 W · 45 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9950…1432backed Yes30c262.1$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.6330%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5609…2020backed Yes58c258.62$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked No70c250$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes28c233.7$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.421,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes46c220$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.275542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe432…934abacked Yes7c220$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+52.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked Yes18c212.23$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7111653.4%62 W · 54 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-12%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c11…48ffbacked Yes29c210.34$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes32c187$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.0974644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb55e…735bbacked Yes29c180$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad2…9401backed Yes43c175$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5023220.7%48 W · 184 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked Yes15c165.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.08922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d8a…24c2backed Yes32c157$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.24922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-43.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No71c154.87$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.1953344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb226…4163backed No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.891788.2%15 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.18per pick70cpaid+27.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes20c136.84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8912045%54 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa8e8…3680backed Yes66c126.33$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.89650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73e5…e3d8backed No71c102.05$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.59650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-29.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33d…24cabacked Yes41c100$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4120%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+59.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2810…a1a8backed Yes28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2821448.6%104 W · 110 L+8.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1bec…8d52backed No68c99.99$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.756740.3%27 W · 40 L-5.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-20.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc494…543cbacked Yes61c98.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-37.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9f3d…d65dbacked Yes31c93.75$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.064027.5%11 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-37.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe948…82a9backed Yes29c86.21$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xaedb…91fdbacked No58c83.6$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.111127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.17per pick44cpaid-50%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a94…653abacked Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251225%3 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-53.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes29c83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.074847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked Yes15c79.36$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.213551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Yes30c75.33$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.513633.8%46 W · 90 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0944…358fbacked No53c75.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.051030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf763…a0aabacked No75c73.45$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d1…de26backed No41c73.29$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.293450%17 W · 17 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Yes28c70.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.041,58953.3%847 W · 742 L+39.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No70c70.15$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1857150.4%288 W · 283 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked No54c69$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.766746.3%31 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1abe…1ddabacked Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdae…6ad2backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206168.9%42 W · 19 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaf1…0db6backed Yes30c65.01$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.52339.1%9 W · 14 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a9c…535ebacked Yes19c60$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.41752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa6db…3155backed No70c59.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1810543.8%46 W · 59 L-8.9wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked No70c59.99$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.79346.2%43 W · 50 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-19.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes31c58.81$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.0518748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df7…1ec1backed Yes19c55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.55347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No42c53.74$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2340721.9%89 W · 318 L-53.3wins-0.13per pick35cpaid-49.2%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1528950.9%147 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed No75c50.98$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.74966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+29.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3cb7…1a88backed Yes30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1520%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03d7…cdcbbacked Yes32c48.2$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No70c47.08$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.941457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72ea…487abacked Yes29c45$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0530%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed No71c42.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.432138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.2wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-30.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1372…4ce0backed Yes49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-6.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4941…b03cbacked No79c40$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes30c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb06c…561dbacked Yes50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.925530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2cec…809ebacked Yes76c39.47$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e3e…637cbacked No70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.715100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+60.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No71c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.1580853.6%433 W · 375 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c34…b1a8backed Yes29c35$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1550%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb9ef…0643backed Yes49c34.9$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e93…80d6backed No40c33.55$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.17944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes45c33$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8511555.7%64 W · 51 L+13.5wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+21.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2915…3271backed Yes47c31.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076e…a6a4backed Yes43c31.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.53948.7%19 W · 20 L-2.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.