TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-08-22?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$281,304
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$330,112

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $281,304 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes60c26,391$15,874 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,517.36,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes72c21,686$15,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,065.751,01233.2%336 W · 676 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4408…1b6abacked Yes29c16,410$4,731 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,679.417750.6%39 W · 38 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x80fe…d375backed No0c14,000$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1410%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed Yes71c12,673$9,052 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,620.8410042%42 W · 58 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No18c12,471$2,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,306.2996645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No59c10,929$6,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,473.124,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No68c10,646$7,242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,241.591,22049.8%607 W · 613 L+4.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes32c10,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,8004847.9%23 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42a9…f41ebacked No0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked No70c10,000$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,00013348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed Yes48c8,291$4,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,273.97757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7409…65a6backed Yes21c7,574$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,973.6110579%83 W · 22 L+22.7wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+54.1%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No25c5,583$1,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,417.2957833%191 W · 387 L-29.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked No15c4,898$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.1441343.3%179 W · 234 L-2.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No25c4,862$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.1777336.4%281 W · 492 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No69c4,347$2,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,999.4385048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked No19c3,800$712 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$711.881656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.1wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+0.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7418…251fbacked Yes21c3,794$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,994.159373.1%68 W · 25 L+17.6wins+0.19per pick54cpaid+51.7%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No70c3,577$2,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,490.9155751.5%287 W · 270 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed No69c3,453$2,396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,396.129735.1%34 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked No69c3,430$2,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,373.923171%22 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked No2c2,540$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.81714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick23cpaid-81.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No69c2,517$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.321,66234.9%580 W · 1,082 L-32.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5952…db2fbacked Yes22c2,389$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,853.722817.9%5 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.05per pick13cpaid-0.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No76c2,175$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.1618453.8%99 W · 85 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed No46c2,162$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.867353.4%39 W · 34 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x12f9…74babacked Yes55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.114975.8%113 W · 36 L+26.0wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+38.6%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed No17c1,619$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.88616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-71%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No69c1,514$1,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,044.635160.8%31 W · 20 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No31c1,506$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.772133.3%7 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-47.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed No69c1,500$1,035 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0354736.2%17 W · 30 L-5.0wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1f71…b2e4backed Yes43c1,231$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$703.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+135.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8010…04e4backed Yes20c1,171$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.438375.9%63 W · 20 L+17.2wins+0.21per pick55cpaid+57.8%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Yes33c1,158$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$773.172142.7%308 W · 413 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes28c1,158$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.4738233.2%127 W · 255 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked No68c1,080$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734.552441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yes31c1,043$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.1259247.6%282 W · 310 L+18.4wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No66c1,029$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$679.4188635.8%317 W · 569 L-13.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$690728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.29per pick57cpaid-57.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked No69c1,000$690 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69040%0 W · 4 L-2.4wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No68c928.62$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$627.448950.1%245 W · 244 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x332a…98bebacked Yes21c827.38$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.78250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+138.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d71…8da4backed Yes33c823.96$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5524841.7%20 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked No18c798.69$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.3920440.7%83 W · 121 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes30c795.69$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.989042.2%38 W · 52 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x27b9…90d0backed No16c755$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.3140%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed No16c755$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.9430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes22c746.51$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.4928824.7%71 W · 217 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe51f…973ebacked Yes34c735.29$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.29850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6055…5fdebacked No69c726.23$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked No15c715.4$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.5912045%54 W · 66 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad0b…a514backed Yes33c679.51$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.271540%6 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-15.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca9…424abacked No38c655.38$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.1312554.4%68 W · 57 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb283…4501backed No18c650$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No13c600$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.7120%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e3…fbb2backed Yes15c501.54$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.85per pick15cpaid+566.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb46…48efbacked No69c500$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4502…9eedbacked No59c491.8$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.46933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe053…fd08backed Yes79c462.21$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.06683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7cd…a2d6backed No73c457.6$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes45c454.12$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.747032.9%23 W · 47 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-35.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3c2f…9765backed Yes34c449.99$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.992055%11 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0693…9679backed No11c449.31$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.18666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.34per pick33cpaid+74.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x579a…b0a7backed Yes26c445.73$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.731315.4%2 W · 11 L-2.5wins-0.19per pick35cpaid-55.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed No58c427.75$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.5913633.8%46 W · 90 L-9.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed No69c400$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27617062.4%106 W · 64 L+13.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked No69c399.99$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.9916858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed Yes52c376$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.5814253.5%76 W · 66 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a4c…1940backed No67c373.13$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2502878.6%22 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.15per pick63cpaid+19.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked No17c357$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1415749.7%78 W · 79 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked No51c356.61$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.57450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+54.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd08b…b74cbacked No69c346.77$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.271050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda6f…1e46backed Yes29c344.83$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.833046.7%14 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes58c341.75$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.341844.4%8 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick36cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007275%54 W · 18 L+15.0wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+40.2%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No51c337.9$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.3412531.2%39 W · 86 L-11.7wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-44.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x277b…31fabacked No15c325.97$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.1922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.5814949%73 W · 76 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5317…9a3bbacked No21c322.13$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.763551.4%18 W · 17 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes54c318.06$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.3853344.8%239 W · 294 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No69c305.8$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21112162.8%76 W · 45 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf83b…44a2backed Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.033050%15 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4ec…351fbacked Yes33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.031136.4%4 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick18cpaid+224.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1443…9e05backed Yes32c300$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2041526.7%4 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6a6…7971backed Yes34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.127349.3%36 W · 37 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5529…86d2backed Yes34c294.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.125151%26 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Yes79c291.55$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.171643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-31.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed No39c280.27$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.0225530.2%77 W · 178 L-22.1wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-46.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No18c270$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.616038.3%23 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No69c254.92$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.0669851.1%357 W · 341 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes31c254.54$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.4318748.1%90 W · 97 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…02ccbacked No69c250$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.5742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick63cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f58…d93abacked No8c246$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.41735.3%6 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x946f…67c1backed No63c245.59$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd23a…d952backed Yes79c245.53$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.05560%3 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16c8…1badbacked Yes32c234.38$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.382152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Yes40c230.01$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb399…9435backed Yes16c217.41$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.731163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.8wins+0.26per pick38cpaid+100.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes31c211.18$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.1811049.1%54 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.