TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,933
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,949

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,933 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf559…f462backed Over27c3,697$1,000 inLost-$1,00019055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2316…9819backed Under73c2,140$1,555 inWon+$585.482748.1%13 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3881…804ebacked Under74c1,446$1,077 inWon+$3691,49651.5%771 W · 725 L-7.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4527…12f5backed Over25c692$173 inLost-$1731233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Under75c500$375 inWon+$12564852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd799…326cbacked Over25c461.33$115 inLost-$115.331952.6%10 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over14c363.28$51 inLost-$50.821,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Under73c285.38$207 inWon+$78.228843.1%124 W · 164 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Over16c243.26$38 inLost-$37.792,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…70e3backed Under73c205.45$150 inWon+$55.478641.9%36 W · 50 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-21.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over25c135.62$34 inLost-$33.91,71446.7%801 W · 913 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c1e…befebacked Under74c135.15$100 inWon+$35.146349.2%31 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe803…b60ebacked Under74c128.88$96 inWon+$33.2632458%188 W · 136 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa108…573ebacked Over26c103.84$27 inLost-$272934.5%10 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-34.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeded…c546backed Under75c100$75 inWon+$258153.1%43 W · 38 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f41…260ebacked Under74c100$74 inWon+$2616550.3%83 W · 82 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x04da…3a9fbacked Over26c99.17$25 inLost-$25.3811159.5%66 W · 45 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x584f…54b9backed Under74c95.52$71 inWon+$24.8212259%72 W · 50 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick60cpaid+0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc800…4117backed Over26c77$20 inLost-$19.8110129.7%30 W · 71 L-10.2wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Under73c69.44$51 inWon+$18.7526650.8%135 W · 131 L+0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe41c…afabbacked Over26c61.54$16 inLost-$1649651.2%254 W · 242 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under74c59.17$44 inWon+$15.3839548.6%192 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over26c52.81$14 inLost-$13.7369445%312 W · 382 L-24.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Under72c50$36 inWon+$141,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under74c19.23$14 inWon+$561948%297 W · 322 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.