CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa16cfd4f28cb37ef2b3aaac9f9dddd5d159fa473e1957757e158e528c4c4c44e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,269
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $229,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,269 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lynn Vision | 12c | 55,030$6,732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,731.9 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lynn Vision | 17c | 7,533$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.64 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lynn Vision | 17c | 2,832$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.66 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Lynn Vision | 12c | 1,035$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.37 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…2a03backed Lynn Vision | 16c | 1,000$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.82 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Lynn Vision | 18c | 996$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.28 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc865…2f6ebacked Lynn Vision | 14c | 839.14$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.48 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Lynn Vision | 18c | 718.22$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.28 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lynn Vision | 14c | 558.99$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.15 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Vitality | 79c | 502.94$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.62 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec7b…917ebacked Lynn Vision | 21c | 452$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.82 | 277 | 40.8%113 W · 164 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed Lynn Vision | 18c | 369.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.6 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Lynn Vision | 18c | 361.1$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x503d…04a5backed Lynn Vision | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 257 | 51.4%132 W · 125 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lynn Vision | 15c | 253.6$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.16 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d7b…f04bbacked Lynn Vision | 27c | 178.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.91 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be5…7ba8backed Lynn Vision | 14c | 174.14$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Lynn Vision | 18c | 168$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Lynn Vision | 19c | 159.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lynn Vision | 15c | 126.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 809 | 42.3%342 W · 467 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Lynn Vision | 18c | 119.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…8eadbacked Lynn Vision | 18c | 113.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.42 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.23per pick | 36cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Vitality | 70c | 108.52$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +18%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd533…d6a1backed Lynn Vision | 19c | 53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 398 | 40.5%161 W · 237 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked Vitality | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked Vitality | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group CVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)Vitality won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)Vitality won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.