CS2 · resolved market
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc343302b3adebd230832526bc596efef4e7ff9dfca60fb78407fa7969fc4ad83
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed Vitality | 44c | 742.21$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.21 | 214 | 45.8%98 W · 116 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Lynn Vision | 56c | 713.64$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.64 | 317 | 44.8%142 W · 175 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3504…d4f1backed Lynn Vision | 59c | 253.88$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Vitality | 41c | 166.27$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.1 | 504 | 48.8%246 W · 258 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66e5…d3c7backed Vitality | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaf…2a03backed Lynn Vision | 40c | 60$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 113 | 41.6%47 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Lynn Vision | 57c | 59.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.2 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Lynn Vision | 57c | 52.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 279 | 54.5%152 W · 127 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Vitality | 44c | 49.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -7.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vitality | 61c | 48.33$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Vitality | 41c | 42.7$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 1,828 | 47.6%871 W · 957 L | -54.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Vitality | 42c | 30.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 610 | 47.7%291 W · 319 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8818…f8acbacked Lynn Vision | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked Vitality | 40c | 24.7$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 232 | 35.3%82 W · 150 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group CVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)Vitality won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Under won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.