CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b7585548fef62365fa59b353d24b48ab209bf3b9450c38e93c4461ca3cb7cb5

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Vitalityof Vitality, Lynn Vision
Resolved: Aug 16, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $348,614
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $389,158

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $348,614 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 84 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x79ae…9a4abacked Lynn Vision	8c	130,735$10,459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,458.78	141	45.4%64 W · 77 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Lynn Vision	3c	33,333$933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$933.32	135	48.9%66 W · 69 L	+8.2wins	+0.06per pick	43cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Lynn Vision	3c	11,724$363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$363.16	1,396	38.9%543 W · 853 L	-41.2wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-29%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Lynn Vision	8c	10,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	421	42%177 W · 244 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Lynn Vision	8c	10,000$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$799.99	192	29.2%56 W · 136 L	-12.0wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Lynn Vision	9c	6,967$628 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$627.98	478	36.8%176 W · 302 L	-3.9wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a79…eedabacked Lynn Vision	10c	6,000$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	+0.7wins	+0.05per pick	31cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4ae…8eadbacked Lynn Vision	8c	5,346$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$427.68	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.21per pick	37cpaid	-55%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Lynn Vision	9c	5,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	214	24.8%53 W · 161 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1065…6218backed Lynn Vision	8c	4,832$393 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.06	480	40%192 W · 288 L	+8.6wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Lynn Vision	10c	4,521$430 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$429.95	1,621	44.8%726 W · 895 L	+3.6wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed Lynn Vision	8c	3,603$288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.24	854	46.4%396 W · 458 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0c0d…f8bebacked Lynn Vision	10c	3,222$311 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$310.78	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.8wins	+0.16per pick	24cpaid	+129.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Lynn Vision	8c	2,500$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	5,810	37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L	+78.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Lynn Vision	7c	2,294$161 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.57	1,605	52.6%845 W · 760 L	+57.1wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1728…08f4backed Lynn Vision	6c	2,244$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.62	32	3.1%1 W · 31 L	-2.5wins	-0.08per pick	11cpaid	-68.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Lynn Vision	7c	2,227$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.86	379	46.4%176 W · 203 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98ba…4212backed Lynn Vision	9c	2,037$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175	191	46.6%89 W · 102 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7069…325bbacked Lynn Vision	9c	2,000$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180	944	45.7%431 W · 513 L	+17.8wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	+6.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc865…2f6ebacked Lynn Vision	8c	2,000$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160	54	25.9%14 W · 40 L	-5.4wins	-0.10per pick	36cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Lynn Vision	3c	1,842$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.89	1,606	46.8%752 W · 854 L	-27.6wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9c5…73cbbacked Lynn Vision	9c	1,667$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	42	28.6%12 W · 30 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x34a8…8c5cbacked Lynn Vision	8c	1,344$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.54	32	31.3%10 W · 22 L	-2.1wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3230…f430backed Lynn Vision	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	32cpaid	-66%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b62…9035backed Lynn Vision	10c	1,155$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.5	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	-3.9wins	-0.18per pick	50cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3e42…5856backed Lynn Vision	5c	1,135$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	89	29.2%26 W · 63 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a3c…38d3backed Lynn Vision	1c	1,123$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.5	242	33.9%82 W · 160 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	34cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed Lynn Vision	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	250	52.8%132 W · 118 L	+6.9wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf47…a103backed Lynn Vision	9c	1,050$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.5	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	46cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb314…2f47backed Lynn Vision	9c	1,040$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$93.6	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.8wins	-0.45per pick	45cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf6ee…0e41backed Lynn Vision	8c	1,010$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.9	1,037	39.8%413 W · 624 L	+20.4wins	+0.02per pick	38cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x420b…965bbacked Lynn Vision	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	582	54.3%316 W · 266 L	+8.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+7.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Lynn Vision	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	101	36.6%37 W · 64 L	-9.9wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-24.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Lynn Vision	8c	800$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64	107	37.4%40 W · 67 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x65e6…42dcbacked Lynn Vision	9c	720$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.8	127	27.6%35 W · 92 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41e1…cc40backed Lynn Vision	9c	703$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.27	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.12per pick	37cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Lynn Vision	2c	702.71$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	188	37.2%70 W · 118 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc670…b781backed Lynn Vision	8c	625$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	145	46.9%68 W · 77 L	+6.0wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x191e…ef6bbacked Lynn Vision	5c	566.27$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.64	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	25cpaid	-73.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7337…1fafbacked Lynn Vision	9c	556.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	190	22.6%43 W · 147 L	-10.2wins	-0.05per pick	28cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2cd2…1f27backed Lynn Vision	9c	555.56$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	544	39.7%216 W · 328 L	-1.4wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…9cc3backed Lynn Vision	8c	548.25$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.86	218	54.1%118 W · 100 L	+9.0wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+13.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5d9…4b4bbacked Lynn Vision	10c	543.09$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.04	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-28%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lynn Vision	8c	503.78$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.2	805	42.2%340 W · 465 L	-16.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbaf…2a03backed Lynn Vision	8c	500$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	113	41.6%47 W · 66 L	+5.5wins	+0.05per pick	37cpaid	-2.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0af3…9cb5backed Lynn Vision	8c	494.25$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.54	58	60.3%35 W · 23 L	+8.6wins	+0.15per pick	45cpaid	+25.7%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x9b31…b0debacked Lynn Vision	10c	471.2$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.12	42	21.4%9 W · 33 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Lynn Vision	9c	418.24$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.75	2,309	45.1%1,041 W · 1,268 L	-62.6wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Lynn Vision	8c	400$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	270	45.9%124 W · 146 L	+10.0wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f24…3a09backed Lynn Vision	9c	340$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	38	47.4%18 W · 20 L	+1.9wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x31c0…718fbacked Lynn Vision	8c	331.81$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.54	46	30.4%14 W · 32 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-17%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Lynn Vision	7c	330.61$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.74	676	45%304 W · 372 L	-24.2wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ef9…2abdbacked Lynn Vision	6c	320$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.6	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Lynn Vision	3c	313.65$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	143	44.1%63 W · 80 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b88…16e6backed Lynn Vision	8c	312.25$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.98	158	23.4%37 W · 121 L	-18.0wins	-0.11per pick	35cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0x059d…caf8backed Lynn Vision	9c	307.74$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.7	113	48.7%55 W · 58 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	52cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d7b…f04bbacked Lynn Vision	10c	305.89$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-51.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xadef…8fffbacked Lynn Vision	5c	300$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.58	62	37.1%23 W · 39 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc714…0566backed Lynn Vision	8c	300$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	34cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf404…daaabacked Lynn Vision	7c	300$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	97	34%33 W · 64 L	-8.8wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5c6d…ab76backed Lynn Vision	9c	297$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.12	329	49.2%162 W · 167 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3108…8a52backed Lynn Vision	9c	250.6$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.55	103	45.6%47 W · 56 L	-3.9wins	-0.04per pick	49cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7da…43d9backed Lynn Vision	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	270	56.3%152 W · 118 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	57cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x173e…9ff4backed Lynn Vision	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	104	37.5%39 W · 65 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	41cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6cab…8de4backed Lynn Vision	8c	250$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	56	26.8%15 W · 41 L	-3.5wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-28.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3da6…9ac4backed Lynn Vision	8c	200$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	12	66.7%8 W · 4 L	+2.6wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+68%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7f88…c6e8backed Lynn Vision	8c	199.01$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.61	90	33.3%30 W · 60 L	-3.7wins	-0.04per pick	37cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bab…9555backed Lynn Vision	8c	195$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.75	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	+25.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Lynn Vision	8c	178.43$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.31	378	48.1%182 W · 196 L	+3.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c8…8892backed Lynn Vision	8c	175$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07fa…f5cdbacked Lynn Vision	9c	170$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	47	36.2%17 W · 30 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6844…d538backed Lynn Vision	8c	159.21$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.95	115	57.4%66 W · 49 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8059…5addbacked Lynn Vision	10c	155.5$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.55	86	62.8%54 W · 32 L	+11.6wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+18.7%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x4281…1a5abacked Lynn Vision	9c	152.56$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.73	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.5wins	+0.07per pick	48cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a7e…9dc6backed Lynn Vision	9c	152.13$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.08	207	55.1%114 W · 93 L	+11.2wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4e91…391dbacked Lynn Vision	8c	144.88$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.59	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9892…fd59backed Lynn Vision	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	33	27.3%9 W · 24 L	-6.8wins	-0.21per pick	48cpaid	-54.9%equal weight	37-0.12 edge/pick
0xfb8e…3dc3backed Lynn Vision	8c	125$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	106	26.4%28 W · 78 L	-6.5wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-21%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf70e…3204backed Lynn Vision	9c	122.22$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.11per pick	59cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2f0…3206backed Lynn Vision	9c	114$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.26	98	42.9%42 W · 56 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Lynn Vision	9c	113.1$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.18	290	44.8%130 W · 160 L	-7.2wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x459b…f771backed Lynn Vision	9c	113$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.17	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Lynn Vision	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	75	45.3%34 W · 41 L	-9.2wins	-0.12per pick	58cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7999…1d86backed Lynn Vision	10c	100$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	248	42.3%105 W · 143 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cthis page
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)Vitality won
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Under won
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)Vitality won
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Under won
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)Vitality won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event