CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89b346fb6e286f617424faf1df83afd9d3f7c9ba0bfd765f70574391d95cb032
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Vitality, Lynn Vision
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $85,187
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,994
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $85,187 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Lynn Vision | 28c | 28,243$8,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,047.6 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0224…292abacked Lynn Vision | 28c | 20,000$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,599.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Vitality | 72c | 19,200$13,824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,376 | 257 | 47.5%122 W · 135 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Vitality | 71c | 13,016$9,241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,774.56 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Vitality | 72c | 6,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Lynn Vision | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,449.99 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…764ebacked Vitality | 72c | 4,312$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,212.24 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lynn Vision | 19c | 3,700$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.47 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91a2…e415backed Vitality | 71c | 2,740$1,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.6 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e7…68d2backed Vitality | 71c | 2,704$1,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.18 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Vitality | 71c | 2,025$1,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.23 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Vitality | 71c | 1,971$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.48 | 182 | 54.9%100 W · 82 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Vitality | 74c | 1,855$1,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.17 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4b…ecc5backed Vitality | 71c | 1,569$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.05 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x891a…f778backed Vitality | 70c | 1,097$768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.99 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dcd…5ef7backed Vitality | 70c | 1,034$722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.98 | 301 | 53.8%162 W · 139 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Lynn Vision | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 101 | 36.6%37 W · 64 L | -9.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe893…afaebacked Vitality | 71c | 991.85$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.76 | 114 | 44.7%51 W · 63 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb862…a00dbacked Lynn Vision | 16c | 815$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.09 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…f0fbbacked Lynn Vision | 29c | 749.99$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.5 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Lynn Vision | 28c | 711.98$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lynn Vision | 29c | 700$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ec…9c6dbacked Vitality | 72c | 416.98$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.98 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8e…3dc3backed Lynn Vision | 29c | 376.67$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…5addbacked Lynn Vision | 30c | 334.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.21 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…269bbacked Vitality | 70c | 320$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 420 | 50%210 W · 210 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Lynn Vision | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 389 | 54.5%212 W · 177 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Lynn Vision | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 767 | 48%368 W · 399 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lynn Vision | 27c | 276.99$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e0…413fbacked Vitality | 76c | 263.13$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.13 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeffb…4fb5backed Lynn Vision | 32c | 246.36$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…db66backed Lynn Vision | 29c | 215.49$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.49 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c17…e1b1backed Vitality | 71c | 211.27$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.27 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fa…f5cdbacked Lynn Vision | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Vitality | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 361 | 52.6%190 W · 171 L | +13.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Lynn Vision | 20c | 175.25$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked Vitality | 68c | 166.36$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.9 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Lynn Vision | 28c | 153$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.84 | 75 | 9.3%7 W · 68 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -44%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa750…0d0fbacked Vitality | 71c | 150$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.5 | 185 | 49.2%91 W · 94 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…97b4backed Vitality | 71c | 120$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.3 | 471 | 65.2%307 W · 164 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Lynn Vision | 28c | 120$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 393 | 38.2%150 W · 243 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Lynn Vision | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d45…1c86backed Vitality | 77c | 101.3$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Lynn Vision | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 723 | 53.5%387 W · 336 L | +28.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Lynn Vision | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf8…27cfbacked Lynn Vision | 29c | 88.97$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c24…8382backed Lynn Vision | 28c | 85.25$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.87 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…0ef8backed Vitality | 71c | 77.46$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Vitality | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Lynn Vision | 29c | 67.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.58 | 325 | 54.8%178 W · 147 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Lynn Vision | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 302 | 59.3%179 W · 123 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Lynn Vision | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Lynn Vision | 31c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Vitality | 70c | 42.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7814…9c0bbacked Vitality | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Vitality | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 192 | 52.1%100 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a4a…4b20backed Vitality | 70c | 26.66$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.04 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e93…eb10backed Vitality | 71c | 25.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Vitality | 71c | 21.13$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.13 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Vitality | 73c | 19.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Lynn Vision (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group CVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Lynn Vision - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Lynn Vision - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)Vitality won
- Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Under won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Vitality (-6.5) vs Lynn Vision (+6.5)Vitality won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.