Dota2 · resolved market
Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x32804cbd14ef602492a759c8215972695261f0a46e6ae823483c2f545d3a04c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nigma Galaxyof Team Yandex, Nigma Galaxy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,511
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,588
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,511 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Nigma Galaxy | 59c | 10,312$6,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,192.45 | 358 | 50.6%181 W · 177 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f05…b18ebacked Team Yandex | 36c | 7,371$2,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,653.58 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…f2b5backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 7,031$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,531.25 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3170…c6a0backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 6,093$3,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,281.7 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Team Yandex | 37c | 5,534$2,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,051.91 | 711 | 43%306 W · 405 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Team Yandex | 37c | 5,366$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Team Yandex | 1c | 3,800$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 405 | 34.6%140 W · 265 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Team Yandex | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 1,638$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.1 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Team Yandex | 50c | 1,316$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661.28 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb517…434bbacked Team Yandex | 53c | 965.5$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.1 | 228 | 42.1%96 W · 132 L | -25.3wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Team Yandex | 34c | 952.38$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.81 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 844.42$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.23 | 605 | 42.6%258 W · 347 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Team Yandex | 24c | 835.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.06 | 85 | 36.5%31 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Team Yandex | 36c | 814.09$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.07 | 188 | 30.9%58 W · 130 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 639.07$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.81 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd799…326cbacked Team Yandex | 38c | 600$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86ee…ef1fbacked Team Yandex | 54c | 557.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 68 | 70.6%48 W · 20 L | +9.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Nigma Galaxy | 61c | 540.58$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.48 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x363c…9b0ebacked Team Yandex | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Team Yandex | 31c | 490$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…d351backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 477.84$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.84 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa521…d609backed Nigma Galaxy | 67c | 399.99$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…f9c8backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 356.25$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.35 | 213 | 53.5%114 W · 99 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team Yandex | 43c | 308$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.3 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…d99abacked Team Yandex | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 386 | 49.5%191 W · 195 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6cd3backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 289.62$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.48 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.12per pick | 64cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 273.3$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.74 | 188 | 44.7%84 W · 104 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a1…d1eebacked Team Yandex | 37c | 246.3$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.13 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.2wins | -0.33per pick | 48cpaid | -73%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 226.14$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.73 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9deb…536fbacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 213.84$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd0f…3656backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 213.49$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…6bc3backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 212.81$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f6c…035bbacked Team Yandex | 51c | 205.02$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.56 | 80 | 57.5%46 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Team Yandex | 33c | 199.7$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.9 | 242 | 46.7%113 W · 129 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd16…502ebacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 188.89$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.89 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…e573backed Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 177.42$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.42 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4af…6a1abacked Team Yandex | 37c | 177.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c82…7312backed Team Yandex | 37c | 175.24$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Team Yandex | 38c | 171.05$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Team Yandex | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 222 | 60.4%134 W · 88 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa55a…75a6backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 150.25$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab05…52e9backed Team Yandex | 38c | 149.47$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.8 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36e…f91cbacked Team Yandex | 37c | 135.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 104.51$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.75 | 421 | 46.6%196 W · 225 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Team Yandex | 39c | 95.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…980abacked Team Yandex | 37c | 85.27$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.55 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6549…fbcabacked Team Yandex | 37c | 81.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9144…a412backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 80.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec33…fad3backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 79.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3743…7bc1backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…0e78backed Team Yandex | 37c | 78.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 412 | 48.8%201 W · 211 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Team Yandex | 35c | 77.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 785 | 16.6%130 W · 655 L | -135.4wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…9dc6backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 75.18$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 140 | 58.6%82 W · 58 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Nigma Galaxy | 62c | 58.43$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.2 | 227 | 38.3%87 W · 140 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Team Yandex | 32c | 52.7$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 213 | 28.2%60 W · 153 L | -16.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…2f40backed Team Yandex | 37c | 51.49$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90a7…5ac0backed Team Yandex | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…07fdbacked Team Yandex | 39c | 48.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 243 | 49%119 W · 124 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2553…59f7backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 145 | 66.2%96 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9d…9b0ebacked Team Yandex | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 311 | 26%81 W · 230 L | -17.5wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…b241backed Nigma Galaxy | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +5.1wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5522…c807backed Nigma Galaxy | 66c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.7 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 69cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Team Yandex | 38c | 39.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 296 | 56.1%166 W · 130 L | +18.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69d2…a218backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d2…0678backed Nigma Galaxy | 54c | 36.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Team Yandex | 37c | 31.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 84 | 45.2%38 W · 46 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Nigma Galaxy | 72c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 438 | 60.5%265 W · 173 L | +44.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Team Yandex | 37c | 29.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec2…1c42backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 28.13$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.25per pick | 49cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf8bc…d806backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade0…df20backed Nigma Galaxy | 63c | 19.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x202b…bd32backed Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab1…4e8abacked Nigma Galaxy | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TY (-1.5) vs Nigma Galaxy (+1.5)this page
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy (BO3) - The International PlayoffsTeam Yandex won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 1 WinnerNigma Galaxy won
- Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Nigma Galaxy - Game 2 WinnerTeam Yandex won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.