TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xa55a…75a6

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 55 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5076%38 W · 12 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+9.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+115.1%+$99.99
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$38.18
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+32%+$65.31
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$27.21
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$434Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$148.55
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.78
Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+26.2%+$60.48
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.44
Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$22.17
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$35.79
Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$269Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$109.87
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Türkiye vs. United States: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52.7
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$247Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$69.59
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.95
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$20.62
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$33.33
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.97
Norway vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$134.45
France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$55.95
Argentina vs. Austria: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$29.63
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT2568%17 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$44.04
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 211.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$62.5
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.94
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$13.17
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$69.48
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Timberwolves vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$248Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$74.3
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$37.95
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 209.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$356Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$89.04
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 205.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+25%+$19
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.71
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$40.64
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.12
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.2
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$21.99
Spread: Rockets (-6.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$88.33
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.01
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$63.94
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$46.7
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$493Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$147.29
Kings vs. Raptorsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.85
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$23.31
Lakers vs. Pacersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$358Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$95.08
All 25 picks, newest first.
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1580%12 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-08-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$131.76
São Paulo FC vs. Club Bolívar: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$72.11
CS Independiente Rivadavia vs. Fluminense FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$52.3
Associação Chapecoense de Futebol vs. EC Bahia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$41.6
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.8
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.57
LDU de Quito vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$18.69
CA River Plate vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.78
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$379Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$119.83
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$286Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$95.29
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+25%+$97.45
Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$169.01
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$45.71
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-04-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.24
All 15 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-26.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Oct 20, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Ligalast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$34.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-33.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fulham FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+33.9%+$16.76
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.69
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.75per pick75cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$202
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.