TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CA River Plate win on 2026-04-08?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$23,961
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$25,848

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,961 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes72c2,261$1,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,628.187441.9%31 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46e7…2f52backed Yes36c1,990$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$720.4910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No68c1,408$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.385,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes72c1,372$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.989562.1%59 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x640f…8bcebacked Yes69c1,293$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$893.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick62cpaid-46.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No45c1,261$567 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.982,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No29c1,215$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$863.5151749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70db…f73fbacked No33c1,175$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$791.363633.3%12 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No33c1,104$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$744.62,51439%980 W · 1,534 L-32.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…ddaabacked Yes68c1,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6801711.8%2 W · 15 L-5.6wins-0.33per pick45cpaid-77.4%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked No29c899.96$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.9733745.4%153 W · 184 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No29c878.1$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.451,66851.7%863 W · 805 L+18.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No31c856.61$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$594.151,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked No28c709.99$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.199831.6%31 W · 67 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No30c520.67$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.481,35549.7%674 W · 681 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No37c507.56$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.131,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x49b2…4aeebacked No30c479$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.39752.6%51 W · 46 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f0b…855ebacked Yes63c411.37$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.18757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9a8f…5259backed Yes71c335.53$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.22250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Yes68c326.61$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.094854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x04ec…8ac9backed No29c319$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$226.4913545.2%61 W · 74 L+9.7wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa6b6…9344backed Yes68c294.3$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…eeb8backed Yes70c291.65$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.166369.8%44 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick75cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa12a…54b6backed Yes71c276.79$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick65cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Yes70c259$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.321349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No59c256.19$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.2184943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc389…6b32backed Yes71c241.65$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.571330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.21per pick52cpaid-46.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa55a…75a6backed Yes71c237.34$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.011580%12 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick73cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x53b7…76b4backed Yes42c229.81$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes35c226.99$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.336235.5%22 W · 40 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick30cpaid-5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xef86…5afcbacked Yes72c224.17$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Yes71c224.03$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.068763.2%55 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No41c168.44$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.381,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No37c163.57$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.751,65150.6%836 W · 815 L-4.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39c4…2d95backed No31c163.12$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.551241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick35cpaid-10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a4…8a9abacked No34c141.24$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.22250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3add…5e9fbacked Yes70c139.13$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.721145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes70c138.99$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.294156.1%23 W · 18 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x82b9…c6cebacked Yes71c138.39$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.262161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.1wins0.00per pick62cpaid+6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa47c…1ab8backed Yes71c138.1$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.27450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+68.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8aea…189abacked Yes71c137.73$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.791963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Yes71c136.58$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9714844.6%66 W · 82 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No28c118.86$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.19854.1%53 W · 45 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x919f…bfbebacked No80c115.78$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.37771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick69cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xe92e…535dbacked Yes60c111.25$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.751353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x99e6…0584backed Yes70c106.6$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46dc…92c3backed Yes31c102.78$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.867254.2%39 W · 33 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed No30c97.41$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.0421359.6%127 W · 86 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No34c96.04$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.3951654.8%283 W · 233 L+0.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Yes72c93.4$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.258045%36 W · 44 L-7.2wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-23.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Yes71c92.36$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.583043.3%13 W · 17 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Yes30c87.78$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.9971619.7%141 W · 575 L-49.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-32.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked No41c86.65$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9518145.3%82 W · 99 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No28c82.25$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.2255155%303 W · 248 L+13.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No69c78.49$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.958,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b56…9100backed No32c74.94$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.968647.7%41 W · 45 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked No28c74.51$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6530754.7%168 W · 139 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No72c67.88$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.041,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x95d3…b2aebacked Yes23c66.3$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5540%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ac4…b13ebacked Yes70c64.17$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x981b…b8eabacked No30c64.14$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.989340.9%38 W · 55 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+10.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No34c63.35$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.752,33551.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L+2.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes70c63.13$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.193256.3%18 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56e4…6ee4backed Yes71c60.92$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.25425%1 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.40per pick65cpaid-68.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed Yes71c60$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.61952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Yes71c58.96$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8611059.1%65 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1ef…9fadbacked Yes72c54.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3212354.5%67 W · 56 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf69b…a6ddbacked Yes31c53.07$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.453953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Yes71c50$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.59353.8%50 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb074…a232backed Yes71c49.57$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+19.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa923…6704backed No29c49.24$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9629053.8%156 W · 134 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0dbe…9013backed Yes70c39.28$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.518543.2%80 W · 105 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed No62c39.19$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7616041.3%66 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Yes71c37.34$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.51520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.39per pick59cpaid-71.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed No30c34.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.1525955.2%143 W · 116 L+1.1wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x605d…2415backed Yes40c31.67$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48ef…8b93backed Yes69c28.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.63650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0593…5118backed Yes69c24.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.621127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.24per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa60d…03a8backed Yes72c23.21$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Yes71c20.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.95648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed Yes69c20.61$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2211863.6%75 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc8b…973cbacked Yes70c20.31$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.222138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-18.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xba31…c606backed Yes70c19.21$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9592…e568backed Yes70c18.24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.772259.1%13 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked No63c17.66$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.497256.9%41 W · 31 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4915…60f2backed Yes70c17.56$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.272560%15 W · 10 L+3.2wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+35.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f4a…9484backed Yes62c16.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.26250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f65…38bfbacked Yes71c15.72$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+15.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xef69…fd11backed Yes71c14.84$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.