TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Celtics

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof 76ers, Celtics
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$2,974,613
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,053,080

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,974,613 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 987 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7d92…8676backed 76ers20c233,309$46,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186,647.3217646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac25…433fbacked 76ers19c123,404$23,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99,957.168038.8%31 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a8…52f9backed Celtics79c100,000$79,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79,0003036.7%11 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed 76ers21c99,406$20,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,530.5456646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed 76ers19c88,957$17,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71,764.313534.1%46 W · 89 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d90…1310backed Celtics78c71,854$55,767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,767.0815274.3%113 W · 39 L+22.2wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+24.3%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe1a2…14b8backed Celtics76c57,642$43,807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,807.3110949.5%54 W · 55 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Celtics60c56,063$33,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,861.771,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5b7…5ee3backed 76ers18c52,611$9,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,141.1211333.6%38 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed 76ers22c51,110$11,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40,038.3269848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce36…2b99backed Celtics57c42,969$24,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,449.821915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-65.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed 76ers20c34,374$6,994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,379.8964948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed 76ers16c34,016$5,523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,493.1217553.7%94 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9f2f…2ca8backed 76ers19c29,978$5,696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,282.19745.4%44 W · 53 L+4.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37d3…709abacked 76ers17c29,365$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,365.082642.3%11 W · 15 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick34cpaid+64.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xef27…381bbacked Celtics56c26,986$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,0008452.4%44 W · 40 L+5.9wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4900…4a72backed Celtics80c25,180$20,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,1445940.7%24 W · 35 L-12.5wins-0.21per pick62cpaid-41.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed 76ers20c24,919$4,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,935.2349244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Celtics40c24,078$9,610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,609.6615140.4%61 W · 90 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed 76ers12c24,057$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,056.5611034.5%38 W · 72 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x189c…fea3backed 76ers19c22,400$4,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,1442343.5%10 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac92…9d64backed 76ers19c21,722$4,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,594.89650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+53.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Celtics80c20,000$16,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,0008763.2%55 W · 32 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x207a…5b9cbacked Celtics80c20,000$16,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.28per pick61cpaid-52.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Celtics3c19,795$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.2685742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21d4…84bdbacked 76ers18c19,569$3,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,046.177850%39 W · 39 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca8…f06dbacked 76ers21c19,048$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,047.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.79per pick21cpaid+376.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Celtics0c18,747$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.017211%7 W · 714 L-2.6wins0.00per pick1cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe653…c4a7backed Celtics54c18,653$10,073 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,072.8522457.1%128 W · 96 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0528…424bbacked 76ers18c18,600$3,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,2526550.8%33 W · 32 L+6.2wins+0.10per pick41cpaid+41.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfec8…50f7backed 76ers50c16,096$8,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,096.465567.3%37 W · 18 L+6.2wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+24.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked 76ers14c16,000$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,759.9819033.7%64 W · 126 L+8.3wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+32.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90eb…db79backed 76ers23c15,658$3,617 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,040.946060%36 W · 24 L+9.2wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+36.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed 76ers45c15,325$6,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,468.3689850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e1d…0c53backed Celtics80c15,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,00011447.4%54 W · 60 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked 76ers21c14,382$3,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,348.446240.3%25 W · 37 L+2.8wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Celtics22c13,884$3,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,037.9336023.1%83 W · 277 L-15.6wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-49.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked 76ers26c13,283$3,413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,869.7366744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f3c…2f57backed 76ers23c13,203$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,202.512951.7%15 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Celtics35c12,724$4,489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,489.1966248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcbf…d37fbacked 76ers31c12,429$3,846 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,582.88728.7%25 W · 62 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Celtics0c12,000$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485213.8%20 W · 501 L+0.6wins0.00per pick4cpaid-36.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed 76ers21c11,000$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,69015850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed 76ers21c10,443$2,193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,249.8638143%164 W · 217 L+13.4wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Celtics56c10,317$5,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,801.048,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Celtics23c10,000$2,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3007638.2%29 W · 47 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed 76ers8c9,627$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,857.241,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac39…95c7backed 76ers27c9,603$2,613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,990771.4%5 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.31per pick40cpaid+90%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked 76ers21c9,430$1,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,449.952,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Celtics0c9,350$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.455502.5%14 W · 536 L+2.2wins0.00per pick2cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc741…a270backed 76ers14c9,029$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,764.943834.2%13 W · 25 L+4.1wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+36.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed 76ers12c8,521$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,476.9411738.5%45 W · 72 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39cf…f964backed 76ers19c8,212$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,617.93243.8%14 W · 18 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcea7…813ebacked Celtics4c8,172$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d03…9e27backed 76ers23c8,078$1,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,230.838532.9%28 W · 57 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1895…efd2backed Celtics46c7,740$3,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,5509346.2%43 W · 50 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed 76ers17c7,553$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,279.06837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd21…a494backed Celtics79c7,500$5,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,9005246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf472…a262backed Celtics19c7,064$1,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,350.781417.8%11 W · 130 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick13cpaid-46.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f07…9d0fbacked Celtics78c7,000$5,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,489.9917962%111 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf7d6…cab5backed Celtics74c7,000$5,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,149.9916750.3%84 W · 83 L-12.0wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked 76ers29c6,852$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,851.853333.3%11 W · 22 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-5.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed 76ers28c6,531$1,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,700.5136045%162 W · 198 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x919e…d215backed 76ers24c6,262$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,746.732729.6%8 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+42.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed 76ers19c6,096$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,955.571,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Celtics23c6,087$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4003511.4%4 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x089b…2193backed 76ers15c6,075$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,155.1827731.4%87 W · 190 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers30c6,000$1,780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,219.981,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2500…1e0fbacked Celtics4c5,862$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2482913.8%4 W · 25 L-2.8wins-0.09per pick23cpaid-61.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ff9…a78bbacked Celtics80c5,784$4,627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,627.165048%24 W · 26 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed 76ers45c5,726$2,589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,136.932,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe292…6d9cbacked 76ers14c5,714$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,914.292100%2 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.78per pick22cpaid+418.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1dfe…2ac7backed Celtics80c5,633$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,5003554.3%19 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Celtics18c5,374$947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$947.331,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2735…42ebbacked Celtics63c5,368$3,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,390.883441.2%14 W · 20 L-5.3wins-0.15per pick57cpaid-35.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa72b…b7dfbacked 76ers19c5,143$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,143.261100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+414.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7802…e646backed 76ers18c4,968$894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,073.7714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.08per pick22cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed 76ers18c4,947$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,056.8456945.3%258 W · 311 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked 76ers17c4,906$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,069.9955251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7002…395cbacked Celtics80c4,875$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9003250%16 W · 16 L-3.3wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8000…3a21backed 76ers18c4,874$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,982.8725947.5%123 W · 136 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+7.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked 76ers23c4,827$1,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,708.121,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed 76ers20c4,825$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,860.044,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e56…dee1backed 76ers79c4,798$3,782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.557038.6%27 W · 43 L-5.2wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-2.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf59c…a682backed 76ers20c4,651$930 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,720.561931.6%6 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Celtics79c4,633$3,681 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,681.0590650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7841…7273backed 76ers19c4,500$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,63710022%22 W · 78 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick26cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10cb…8f74backed 76ers12c4,337$536 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,800.582339.1%9 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3354…5042backed Celtics57c4,270$2,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,42216959.8%101 W · 68 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6304…c7e5backed 76ers22c4,242$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,297.987269.4%50 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f0b…5577backed 76ers18c4,167$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,416.673943.6%17 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick35cpaid+28.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed Celtics74c4,100$3,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,033.995747.4%27 W · 30 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x695b…36c8backed 76ers23c3,900$897 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,003742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf405…9df2backed Celtics64c3,895$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50043269.2%299 W · 133 L+10.7wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed 76ers17c3,886$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,225.3961638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93dd…2d33backed 76ers18c3,792$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,109.271457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+65.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3636…4a00backed 76ers28c3,571$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,571.431127.3%3 W · 8 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9357…4c9bbacked 76ers18c3,529$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,893.871145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+40.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed 76ers20c3,500$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80020945.5%95 W · 114 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90c6…9d5fbacked Celtics1c3,500$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.75425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-45%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.