NBA · resolved market
1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41a6c5ccaaeb1f47babcfbb908c187df23b99003e9433e054a60ac353987c512
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,883
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,450
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,883 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9c76…c926backed 76ers | 49c | 2,548$1,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,237.84 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd85a…1d03backed 76ers | 68c | 2,492$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Celtics | 50c | 2,381$1,191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,190.57 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2114…84c5backed 76ers | 50c | 1,997$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -8.3wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Celtics | 51c | 1,365$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.01 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b4…1483backed Celtics | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked 76ers | 48c | 893.31$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.08 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d35…96afbacked Celtics | 44c | 804.23$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$454.23 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14fe…e0fdbacked Celtics | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Celtics | 52c | 654.06$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.06 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Celtics | 38c | 571.81$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.69 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Celtics | 51c | 490$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.1 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Celtics | 33c | 336.45$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.08 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ceb…b516backed 76ers | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ed…504ebacked Celtics | 51c | 252.75$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Celtics | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.69 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d5d…191dbacked 76ers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc0…7faabacked Celtics | 51c | 194.31$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.21 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Celtics | 28c | 124.71$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.44 | 113 | 29.2%33 W · 80 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd096…2f6fbacked Celtics | 41c | 123.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.29 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Celtics | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.84 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers | 49c | 107.75$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Celtics | 26c | 106$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.44 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 36cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed 76ers | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Celtics | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 367 | 49.6%182 W · 185 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Celtics | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 144 | 49.3%71 W · 73 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Celtics | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 234 | 41.5%97 W · 137 L | +13.6wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Celtics | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 177 | 48%85 W · 92 L | +16.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x782c…2445backed Celtics | 48c | 99.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.46 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…ba01backed 76ers | 52c | 97.4$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.65 | 427 | 40.3%172 W · 255 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Celtics | 30c | 77.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.15 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +8.2wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed 76ers | 58c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 612 | 53.1%325 W · 287 L | -20.0wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Celtics | 26c | 59.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.76 | 249 | 36.9%92 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed 76ers | 44c | 51.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.35 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaea…4bbfbacked Celtics | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 405 | 41%166 W · 239 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed 76ers | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fce…6476backed 76ers | 50c | 42.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed 76ers | 50c | 41.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.68 | 260 | 43.8%114 W · 146 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Celtics | 54c | 39.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Celtics | 32c | 34.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -7.8wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Celtics | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Celtics | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…a8e7backed 76ers | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 317 | 48.9%155 W · 162 L | -12.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed 76ers | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.89 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x378a…a638backed 76ers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…9d08backed 76ers | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa72d…f9c0backed Celtics | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)this page
- 76ers vs. Celtics76ers won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 211.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 212.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Under won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Paul George: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-12.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-13.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)76ers won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.