TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$177,077
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$177,143

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $177,077 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 180 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Over50c50,000$25,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,00015545.8%71 W · 84 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Under50c44,543$22,271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,271.3538253.4%204 W · 178 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under49c40,343$19,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20,448.321,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Over52c34,696$18,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,042.0120545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under50c14,680$7,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,365.011,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over50c9,873$4,935 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,934.8969848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over46c6,522$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0007963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under46c6,457$2,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,462.446,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under49c3,582$1,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.671,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under49c3,177$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,615.22,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over52c3,000$1,560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,56056453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xabce…2f87backed Over48c2,900$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,39218844.7%84 W · 104 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72f3…92d6backed Over51c2,745$1,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4003855.3%21 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under48c2,392$1,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,24444740.7%182 W · 265 L-27.5wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x19d0…e11cbacked Under47c2,340$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,240.434949%24 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+13.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over46c2,065$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9503729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa98…90bbbacked Over53c1,883$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$998.221258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over52c1,758$914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.991,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over47c1,623$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.58,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Under49c1,623$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$829.3565045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked Over53c1,500$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7952254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c10…6482backed Over52c1,473$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$766520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under49c1,183$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.4155251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under48c1,100$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57245146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under59c1,096$647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.51,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over40c1,075$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.711,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under49c1,040$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.69159.3%54 W · 37 L+9.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Over52c1,040$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540.816053.1%85 W · 75 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Over30c999.99$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30020744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under49c999.93$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.9640947.7%195 W · 214 L-13.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under48c956.11$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.1838947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Over53c943.4$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014045.7%64 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa19…e444backed Under48c822.92$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.921485.7%12 W · 2 L+5.0wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+71.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over53c802.81$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425.4995452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under52c758.67$394 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.1889850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Over52c758.3$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.3238434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over52c758.29$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$394.3190650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over51c711.7$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.211,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37de…f512backed Over37c697.99$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.081,39026%361 W · 1,029 L-5.6wins0.00per pick26cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73f3…0d2cbacked Under49c612.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.247054.3%38 W · 32 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under47c595.5$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$315.624,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under48c566.95$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.8121653.7%116 W · 100 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501,75848.7%856 W · 902 L+28.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25517052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Over51c499.99$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25514731.3%46 W · 101 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over49c471.38$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2308641.9%36 W · 50 L+6.0wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over50c460$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23011242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x7b23…e20fbacked Over24c450.16$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.0649938.9%194 W · 305 L-23.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b49…0397backed Under47c409.51$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.0425641.4%106 W · 150 L-13.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10017946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0d2…ad14backed Under49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20414450.7%73 W · 71 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2374…a426backed Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20014443.8%63 W · 81 L-6.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Over53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006647%31 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d46…3248backed Under4c304.91$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.714746.8%22 W · 25 L+6.5wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+81.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under70c303.26$212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.083,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9034…f7dfbacked Over47c300$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14136243.9%159 W · 203 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-28.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7669…f58cbacked Under75c289.46$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.3652052.3%272 W · 248 L+31.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+19%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.7840041.5%166 W · 234 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Under51c237.25$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.2510552.4%55 W · 50 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Over52c228.5$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.8218345.9%84 W · 99 L-16.4wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over33c225.12$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4752230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9cbb…5503backed Under49c212.24$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.249653.1%51 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeca0…e8f8backed Over53c210$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.310348.5%50 W · 53 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Under48c208$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.163357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d95…82e8backed Under49c206.24$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.062152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Over51c205.2$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6533554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2d4…40b9backed Under49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.082556%14 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10031249.4%154 W · 158 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6c3…1ab9backed Over52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over38c198.89$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5868838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x067e…625bbacked Over52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002937.9%11 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick30cpaid-2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over52c191.4$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1164948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x4a3c…9320backed Over51c190.31$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.0625360.1%152 W · 101 L+26.2wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under48c187.33$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.321,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c44…6752backed Over53c185.18$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.151233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-36.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x764f…6b8abacked Over52c176.92$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928540%34 W · 51 L-16.2wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-35.4%equal weight34-0.15 edge/pick
0xe5ca…df8abacked Over51c171.45$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.441546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under74c161.64$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6421640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Under60c152.82$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.2459255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x549d…35b9backed Over51c149.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.511354.9%62 W · 51 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over28c146.51$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6476653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed Over50c145$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.529556.6%167 W · 128 L+10.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over33c144.24$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.626131%81 W · 180 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa4f8…2869backed Under71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8517459.2%103 W · 71 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f64…ba01backed Over46c139$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.9442740.3%172 W · 255 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0570…5200backed Under57c114.58$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.548457.1%48 W · 36 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over33c106.39$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Under47c106.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3846959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over53c103.31$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.251,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked Over52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbb6f…2653backed Under48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5216249.4%80 W · 82 L-0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcae6…6a5ebacked Over51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x64c0…eaa0backed Over52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501850%9 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd52f…88fabacked Over51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.535850%29 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Under47c93$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.2913047.7%62 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Under60c92.7$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.2525958.3%151 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked Over53c90.91$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1810240.2%41 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8983…d301backed Over52c90.38$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$474946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.