TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$253,610
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$284,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $253,610 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3982…2befbacked Over0c54,788$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.4437647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over0c50,828$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.2844347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Under60c27,664$16,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,116.0316848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under52c19,000$9,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,119.9915952.8%84 W · 75 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over40c18,773$7,509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,509.266248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Under52c16,436$8,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,885.9511654.3%63 W · 53 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over48c15,578$7,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,501.0664948.2%313 W · 336 L-3.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over48c10,960$5,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,257.669848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Over48c4,646$2,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,221.3765045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over40c4,632$1,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,852.8256646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Over48c4,608$2,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2122653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over42c4,585$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.728,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under51c2,784$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.260351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over44c2,666$1,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.522,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under52c2,554$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.966,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9857…a505backed Over1c2,276$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155633.9%19 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over43c2,138$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.093,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c2,031$969 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$969.072,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9101…78ddbacked Under67c1,768$1,184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.742871.4%20 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+35.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over48c1,368$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.4166352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under48c1,302$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.931,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under53c1,263$669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$593.373,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over48c1,250$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60027746.6%129 W · 148 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed Over33c1,095$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.851225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over31c1,085$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34052230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c10…6482backed Over47c1,079$507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over47c1,000$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4702,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4908451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Under20c999.99$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.9920744%91 W · 116 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over41c997$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.82,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Under62c946.1$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.421443.9%94 W · 120 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6628…05aebacked Under52c946.08$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.127946.8%37 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c905$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.41,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x08c4…e6a5backed Under60c828.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.036647%31 W · 35 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Over46c817.73$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.3238947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40052951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb27…b180backed Under55c564.29$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.9311153.2%59 W · 52 L+3.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa19…e444backed Under58c544.33$315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.021485.7%12 W · 2 L+5.0wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+71.5%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over47c508.08$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.811437.7%43 W · 71 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over47c501.4$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.231,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Under53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23532450.3%163 W · 161 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Under49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25526339.5%104 W · 159 L-13.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over47c499.99$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.994,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under57c480$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.464651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.729554.6%161 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Under53c471.7$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.74957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+28.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Over46c446.49$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.691,39946.4%649 W · 750 L-13.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Under53c436.37$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.091,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe65b…271bbacked Under52c400$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1926847.1%32 W · 36 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Under55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1809652.1%50 W · 46 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ccc…e877backed Over65c400$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$260450%2 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-20.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf39d…a5e9backed Under53c377.36$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.368453.6%45 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over61c370.98$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.061,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d87…8dbbbacked Under65c370.46$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.918544.7%38 W · 47 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under51c366.11$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.831,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under52c365.09$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.2462051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over47c322.83$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.7329245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Over47c321.99$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.3420153.7%108 W · 93 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Under53c300$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14125657%146 W · 110 L+9.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf16…b409backed Under55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.733043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Under51c255.49$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.493246.9%15 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd17a…0373backed Under53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.542853%227 W · 201 L+7.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over64c247.63$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.545445.2%205 W · 249 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6196…1a64backed Under54c240.74$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.7425666.8%171 W · 85 L+16.7wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x56df…edc2backed Under36c240$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.82540%10 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick29cpaid+19.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d95…82e8backed Over48c220.43$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.552152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Over53c215.56$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.9552861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0bfd…a4bbbacked Over48c208$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.843357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under54c203.7$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.795452.3%499 W · 455 L-17.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under69c202.33$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.2617946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10035849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9047…2959backed Under50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa543…9a38backed Under68c200$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6412539.2%49 W · 76 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x09d4…5f81backed Under51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$984626.1%12 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-40%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under54c194.44$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.445549.1%27 W · 28 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over51c193.59$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4846959.1%277 W · 192 L+28.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over48c187.5$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6276…7f2ebacked Over80c187.5$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15019166.5%127 W · 64 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over37c184.55$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.861,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over50c179.82$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9189850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over51c155.63$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.242,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc1d7…d31abacked Under72c152.81$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.8121640.3%87 W · 129 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+43.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8dd…5672backed Under55c145.45$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.452951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over47c145$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1556843.8%249 W · 319 L-25.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21db…2a42backed Over72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10018850.5%95 W · 93 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under55c137.61$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.9254549.5%270 W · 275 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32e0…a295backed Under73c137.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.1211261.6%69 W · 43 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ec…f2a9backed Over78c130$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.213641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over41c129.16$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8131345%141 W · 172 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Under53c122.64$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.6429046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Over40c119.64$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.185036%18 W · 32 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bc4…0fd1backed Under76c118.42$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.425347.2%25 W · 28 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Under77c117.05$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0533258.7%195 W · 137 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6844…0ccfbacked Over45c111.11$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503545.7%16 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6495…6cd7backed Under55c109.09$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.095257.7%30 W · 22 L+4.7wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdd95…52fbbacked Under54c106.73$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.7313938.8%54 W · 85 L-14.7wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5066046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdffd…924fbacked Over48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013949.6%69 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6c3…1ab9backed Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e33…bf4dbacked Over46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461942.1%8 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.11per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.