TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 211.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,427
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,888

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,427 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe962…663abacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost-$1,00084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4520…e501backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon+$1,000250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed Under50c1,996$998 inWon+$997.861638.5%237 W · 379 L-8.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc83f…23e4backed Over50c890.99$445 inLost-$445.51225%3 W · 9 L-2.0wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under47c441.48$206 inWon+$235.52,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over50c408.01$204 inLost-$20489850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over53c377$200 inLost-$199.542,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c78…aad1backed Over54c181.48$98 inLost-$9827847.1%131 W · 147 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa467…587dbacked Over53c181.13$96 inLost-$961040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc4…0270backed Over53c130.19$69 inLost-$6927745.8%127 W · 150 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under47c102.2$48 inWon+$5469848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c100$47 inWon+$531,42547.7%680 W · 745 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dfe…4feebacked Over53c100$53 inLost-$53633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-41%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa601…c58fbacked Over52c96.15$50 inLost-$502352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb74f…d843backed Over53c94.34$50 inLost-$506250%31 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cee…dfadbacked Over53c90.84$48 inLost-$48.1413655.9%76 W · 60 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under47c70$33 inWon+$37.193145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Under48c69.24$33 inWon+$3655251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over50c52$26 inLost-$261,57353.4%840 W · 733 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3085…7568backed Over46c44.15$21 inLost-$20.5211329.2%33 W · 80 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf245…746bbacked Over50c40$20 inLost-$2020655.3%114 W · 92 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Under49c30$15 inWon+$15.333556.7%190 W · 145 L+26.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Over55c21.56$12 inLost-$11.8659255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf09d…d23fbacked Over55c20$11 inLost-$1110651.9%55 W · 51 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-14.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.