NBA · resolved market
Spread: Celtics (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x490cd0fed37014f63c4816a1052936682ee641d15139170b510e99ad57371e9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- 76ersof Celtics, 76ers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,305,048
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,355,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,305,048 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 441 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Celtics | 46c | 564,711$261,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261,820.36 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed 76ers | 53c | 425,699$225,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200,617.73 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d92…8676backed 76ers | 55c | 110,000$60,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,500 | 176 | 46%81 W · 95 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed 76ers | 52c | 107,531$56,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,295.52 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Celtics | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,000 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Celtics | 47c | 97,999$46,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,059.72 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed 76ers | 53c | 88,526$46,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,607.1 | 197 | 54.3%107 W · 90 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Celtics | 45c | 66,667$30,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,000 | 99 | 45.5%45 W · 54 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked 76ers | 56c | 61,327$34,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,097.27 | 207 | 58%120 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed 76ers | 55c | 55,301$30,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,885.43 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Celtics | 44c | 40,601$17,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,864.63 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed 76ers | 54c | 32,471$17,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,929.2 | 649 | 48.2%313 W · 336 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Celtics | 47c | 31,500$14,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,920 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed 76ers | 53c | 28,941$15,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,505.3 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed 76ers | 54c | 27,961$15,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,923.29 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3214…63d6backed Celtics | 48c | 26,042$12,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,500 | 83 | 31.3%26 W · 57 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Celtics | 47c | 25,650$12,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,066.14 | 552 | 51.3%283 W · 269 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Celtics | 46c | 19,200$8,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,771.42 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed 76ers | 56c | 17,792$9,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,856.65 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe169…4653backed 76ers | 53c | 15,496$8,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,281.54 | 124 | 50.8%63 W · 61 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed 76ers | 51c | 14,343$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,028.02 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed 76ers | 55c | 13,418$7,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,038.22 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Celtics | 44c | 12,600$5,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,544 | 286 | 43%123 W · 163 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Celtics | 44c | 12,600$5,544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,543.99 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked 76ers | 54c | 12,339$6,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,728.47 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed 76ers | 56c | 10,200$5,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,488 | 102 | 48%49 W · 53 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1d…0c53backed Celtics | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 114 | 47.4%54 W · 60 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Celtics | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked 76ers | 51c | 9,957$5,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,878.7 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked 76ers | 53c | 9,200$4,834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,366 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Celtics | 46c | 9,061$4,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,135.9 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked Celtics | 47c | 8,560$4,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,023.2 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Celtics | 47c | 8,385$3,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,957.21 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Celtics | 48c | 8,333$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Celtics | 44c | 7,139$3,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,145.9 | 698 | 48.6%339 W · 359 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed 76ers | 53c | 7,050$3,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,316.83 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301e…3f91backed Celtics | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed 76ers | 51c | 6,309$3,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,091.36 | 175 | 53.7%94 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked Celtics | 48c | 6,000$2,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +160.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafe4…f3f7backed 76ers | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 158 | 50.6%80 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…c58ebacked Celtics | 49c | 4,279$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,096.81 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked 76ers | 53c | 4,000$2,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880 | 795 | 49.7%395 W · 400 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked 76ers | 55c | 3,818$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.18 | 419 | 54.4%228 W · 191 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7e…6d00backed 76ers | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 110 | 34.5%38 W · 72 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed 76ers | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.7 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Celtics | 51c | 3,631$1,859 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,858.75 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6323…9feebacked Celtics | 49c | 3,458$1,694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,694.48 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -12.8wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…3468backed 76ers | 51c | 3,203$1,633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,569.43 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Celtics | 47c | 3,157$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.89 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x018d…3383backed Celtics | 49c | 3,146$1,541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,541.42 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d9…4007backed Celtics | 49c | 3,117$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.55 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked 76ers | 53c | 3,048$1,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.47 | 589 | 53.7%316 W · 273 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a4…4120backed 76ers | 51c | 3,014$1,537 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,476.83 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed 76ers | 54c | 3,000$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b9…30b5backed Celtics | 49c | 2,885$1,413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,413.49 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a4b…c943backed Celtics | 49c | 2,835$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389.27 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27fe…a4bdbacked 76ers | 51c | 2,823$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,383.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c4b…2b64backed Celtics | 49c | 2,816$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,379.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a31…0b12backed 76ers | 51c | 2,792$1,424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,368.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Celtics | 48c | 2,770$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,329.74 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked 76ers | 55c | 2,738$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.73 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed Celtics | 47c | 2,591$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Celtics | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,149.99 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | -18.4wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Celtics | 49c | 2,431$1,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,191.12 | 650 | 45.1%293 W · 357 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83b…44a2backed Celtics | 38c | 2,271$858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$858 | 152 | 46.7%71 W · 81 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Celtics | 47c | 2,140$1,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,014.06 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Celtics | 30c | 1,991$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 170 | 47.6%81 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a66…ae5ebacked Celtics | 49c | 1,978$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$969.4 | 142 | 51.4%73 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x106d…ccefbacked Celtics | 48c | 1,971$946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -6.1wins | -0.29per pick | 48cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Celtics | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked 76ers | 54c | 1,944$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$894.24 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73da…b7acbacked Celtics | 49c | 1,850$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$906.5 | 200 | 57%114 W · 86 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72d7…1b97backed Celtics | 36c | 1,822$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 220 | 36.8%81 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked 76ers | 55c | 1,780$979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c72…78edbacked Celtics | 47c | 1,778$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$835.56 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Celtics | 48c | 1,762$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.44 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Celtics | 49c | 1,615$791 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.22 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f3…0d2cbacked 76ers | 53c | 1,509$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.43 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Celtics | 48c | 1,502$721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$721.01 | 616 | 38.5%237 W · 379 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Celtics | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$689.99 | 503 | 46.5%234 W · 269 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad7f…d0d4backed 76ers | 70c | 1,440$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d0…5a98backed Celtics | 50c | 1,357$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.01 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f30…3aeebacked 76ers | 62c | 1,290$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.32 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8a…2d30backed Celtics | 47c | 1,277$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Celtics | 47c | 1,170$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 338 | 37.3%126 W · 212 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3464…8112backed Celtics | 51c | 1,129$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.88 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Celtics | 49c | 1,100$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked 76ers | 53c | 1,036$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.75 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Celtics | 48c | 1,032$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.72 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed 76ers | 53c | 1,028$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.02 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Celtics | 47c | 1,027$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.55 | 521 | 50.9%265 W · 256 L | +18.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Celtics | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…80c3backed Celtics | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked 76ers | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 350 | 49.4%173 W · 177 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked 76ers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 280 | 56.8%159 W · 121 L | +22.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed 76ers | 45c | 999.97$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.98 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…3111backed Celtics | 46c | 999.93$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.97 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked 76ers | 53c | 943.4$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.4 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Celtics | 47c | 917$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.99 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed 76ers | 50c | 901.93$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.97 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Celtics (-11.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Celtics (-6.5)Celtics won
- 76ers vs. Celtics76ers won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: 1H MoneylineCeltics won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 109.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: 1H O/U 110.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 211.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 212.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 215.5Under won
- 76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5Under won
- Derrick White: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Jaylen Brown: Points O/U 26.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jayson Tatum: Points O/U 24.5No won
- Joel Embiid: Points O/U 25.5Yes won
- Paul George: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Spread: Celtics (-10.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-12.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-13.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-7.5)76ers won
- Spread: Celtics (-9.5)76ers won
- Tyrese Maxey: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Tyrese Maxey: Points O/U 24.5Yes won
- VJ Edgecombe: Rebounds O/U 1.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.