TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$707,822
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$710,577

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $707,822 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 246 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3982…2befbacked Over0c146,090$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.0937647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb652…2db4backed Under50c91,246$45,978 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45,267.8137627.9%105 W · 271 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc408…c1efbacked Under51c77,321$39,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,706.114951%25 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked Over0c75,870$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.8744347.2%209 W · 234 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc807…c12bbacked Over49c50,000$24,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,50020545.9%94 W · 111 L-12.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb85…152fbacked Over49c39,608$19,387 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,387.389945.5%45 W · 54 L-2.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Under50c36,462$18,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,230.8312639.7%50 W · 76 L-6.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Over49c33,632$16,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,559.3869848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b47…d64ebacked Under51c22,200$11,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,878.211100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed Under50c20,000$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,00049244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f78…f679backed Over50c16,638$8,319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,318.78922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick54cpaid-54.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xf09a…a371backed Over50c14,482$7,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,2411457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6947…296dbacked Over50c12,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0001741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-31.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Over48c11,700$5,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,61628643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over46c10,917$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0007963.3%50 W · 29 L+7.8wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+18.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Over49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,90017646%81 W · 95 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Over49c10,000$4,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,899.9966250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Over50c9,803$4,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,889.376,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfea3…d227backed Under54c8,737$4,718 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,019.2315644.9%70 W · 86 L-9.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2114…84c5backed Over49c8,163$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0005935.6%21 W · 38 L-8.3wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-28.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5e8a…2d30backed Over50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,000850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+22.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa62b…0f85backed Under51c7,666$3,910 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,756.341181.8%9 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.28per pick54cpaid+46.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under51c7,314$3,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,583.731968.4%13 W · 6 L+4.1wins+0.21per pick47cpaid+40.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over49c6,524$3,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,181.342,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x301e…3f91backed Under50c6,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,000850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dfb…0b3dbacked Over50c5,480$2,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7405940.7%24 W · 35 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-17.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under51c5,000$2,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,457.6443348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9770…0ff5backed Under52c4,900$2,563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,336.853545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf57e…bbd6backed Under51c4,512$2,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.8810553.3%56 W · 49 L+4.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over50c4,001$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.557950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed Under51c4,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,96015849.4%78 W · 80 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked Under51c3,922$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,921.572842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over49c3,770$1,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840.6729245.5%133 W · 159 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over50c3,639$1,820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,819.6118349.2%90 W · 93 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Over50c3,470$1,735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,73582442.2%348 W · 476 L-3.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over49c3,466$1,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,685.4566352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed Under49c3,213$1,575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.8460351.4%310 W · 293 L+16.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c3,202$1,555 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,554.94,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under51c3,200$1,632 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,56830448.4%147 W · 157 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Under73c3,035$2,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$819.4756646.5%263 W · 303 L+16.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under12c3,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6501,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Over50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50069149.1%339 W · 352 L-8.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4701,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1788…0994backed Over50c2,930$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4651225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-50.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under52c2,925$1,521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40424847.6%118 W · 130 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over50c2,892$1,446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,44670246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under51c2,276$1,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.191,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Over49c2,200$1,078 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,078.149447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Over44c2,187$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.2514946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb4a…f216backed Over51c2,100$1,071 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+25.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dd1…9a1fbacked Under51c2,055$1,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,007.142352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Under51c2,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98031046.8%145 W · 165 L+1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x74c2…5260backed Under57c1,967$1,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.233850%19 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0fde…abcebacked Under51c1,956$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$956.133641.7%15 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Under51c1,899$968 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.35446.3%25 W · 29 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x69d5…7767backed Under51c1,883$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$922.52666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Over45c1,803$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.9255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe7c0…24eebacked Over50c1,800$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9008451.2%43 W · 41 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3673…2d13backed Over50c1,660$830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8307143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x164d…50c0backed Under56c1,640$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721.64257.1%24 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa98…90bbbacked Over44c1,600$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7041258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick46cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf29…834cbacked Over50c1,576$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$788.0712646%58 W · 68 L-6.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc308…7b09backed Over2c1,559$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5931222.1%69 W · 243 L+14.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+79.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x26be…7239backed Over45c1,530$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.12445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.7wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67d3…96cbbacked Over27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4052254.5%12 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3464…8112backed Over27c1,500$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4052254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a6c…236dbacked Under50c1,500$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75017055.3%94 W · 76 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb8c…6a99backed Under51c1,471$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$720.595743.9%25 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+6.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Over50c1,468$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7347150.7%36 W · 35 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Over50c1,430$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71517637.5%66 W · 110 L-16.3wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbcb8…2f90backed Over49c1,429$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7008844.3%39 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6636…bf37backed Under56c1,340$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$589.38683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.33per pick51cpaid+68.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under52c1,200$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57687750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over47c1,153$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$542.013729.7%11 W · 26 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-26%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Over44c1,151$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.6111639.7%46 W · 70 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over51c1,120$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.221247.2%100 W · 112 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over50c1,100$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55045146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c9e…8a70backed Over44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe550…6f6ebacked Over44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0767…56d1backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe92d…ebe2backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under55c1,000$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45037755.2%208 W · 169 L+23.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+60.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49044345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4902540%10 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfed1…eedbbacked Under51c1,000$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4901060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5b0…f655backed Over44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4401741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid+27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Over49c980.39$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$480.391,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1dfe…2ac7backed Under51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.393554.3%19 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.11per pick66cpaid-17.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x208a…441ebacked Under51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.395347.2%25 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed Over50c954$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47718343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Over51c940$479 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.43253.1%17 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over44c928.09$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$412.258,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc4…a439backed Over49c910$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.919547.2%92 W · 103 L-9.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Under70c884.31$619 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.2923237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5ac…2a18backed Over50c876$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43817850%89 W · 89 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23e3…23c6backed Under51c870.48$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.54757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+482.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33a7…e607backed Under49c813.33$402 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411.3352951.2%271 W · 258 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under75c792.2$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.343,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under49c788.87$387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402.3250346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.