TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Jayson Tatum: Assists O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,693
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,667

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,693 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe0d2…ad14backed Yes59c542.86$320 inLost-$320.2914450.7%73 W · 71 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Yes60c417.35$250 inLost-$25019951.8%103 W · 96 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked No41c326.82$134 inWon+$192.8293145.8%426 W · 505 L-25.4wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f6…6d85backed Yes56c269.93$150 inLost-$15015252%79 W · 73 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb581…0308backed No46c250$115 inWon+$13556050.4%282 W · 278 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fbd…3d15backed No42c207.61$87 inWon+$120.6276247.1%359 W · 403 L+2.4wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed No39c189.3$74 inWon+$115.4779650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No40c109.99$44 inWon+$65.643752.6%230 W · 207 L+18.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed No42c92.88$39 inWon+$53.8719352.8%102 W · 91 L+11.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6553…aa3cbacked No41c73.17$30 inWon+$43.179046.7%42 W · 48 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed No41c72.45$29 inWon+$43.053,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb1…0073backed No45c53.33$24 inWon+$29.3314953%79 W · 70 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x87ed…b497backed No43c44.25$19 inWon+$25.229947.5%47 W · 52 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…acfabacked Yes57c43.86$25 inLost-$251080%8 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+49.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x72a9…44d3backed Yes57c35.09$20 inLost-$2028455.3%157 W · 127 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1815…e217backed Yes58c34.48$20 inLost-$208855.7%49 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed No40c31.67$13 inWon+$1913751.1%70 W · 67 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Yes55c30$17 inLost-$16.53652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd43c…6003backed Yes60c30$18 inLost-$18714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.42per pick56cpaid-76.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x373a…f4c1backed No46c27.78$13 inWon+$1590863.9%580 W · 328 L+80.6wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+20.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xda85…bd68backed Yes54c26$14 inLost-$14.042638.5%10 W · 16 L-4.0wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-25.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x70b6…f93fbacked No45c25$11 inWon+$13.755137.3%19 W · 32 L-6.7wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-24.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x629b…8f62backed Yes59c21.19$12 inLost-$12.52045%9 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ef9…8a00backed Yes54c20$11 inLost-$10.81145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.