TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Celtics (-10.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
76ersof Celtics, 76ers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$318,437
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$330,742

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,437 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa8e0…ad50backed 76ers52c90,000$46,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43,199.9943148.7%210 W · 221 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Celtics48c69,871$33,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33,538.0266248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed 76ers48c45,498$21,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,622.2969848.6%339 W · 359 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Celtics51c28,444$14,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,505.0616547.3%78 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+56.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Celtics0c27,560$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.5641753.2%222 W · 195 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Celtics50c26,015$13,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,00042348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd208…29e6backed Celtics0c24,460$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4632450.3%163 W · 161 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xacb2…b989backed 76ers52c21,260$11,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,230.0249244.3%218 W · 274 L+11.8wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0979…8d9bbacked Celtics48c18,750$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,00020352.7%107 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Celtics52c12,656$6,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,602.61,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8f78…f679backed 76ers50c9,411$4,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,704.89922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.32per pick54cpaid-54.6%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x78c5…fb0fbacked 76ers52c9,390$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,490.42333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-36.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed 76ers52c8,719$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,218.585561.8%34 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x86e7…613ebacked Celtics50c8,000$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00010049%49 W · 51 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed 76ers48c3,751$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,950.5157950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Celtics50c3,500$1,755 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,75514338.5%55 W · 88 L-18.4wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-28.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x4946…4004backed Celtics52c3,223$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,67621957.1%125 W · 94 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed 76ers52c3,000$1,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4401,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Celtics49c2,968$1,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.161,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Celtics48c2,566$1,236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,236.036,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8688…9d8cbacked 76ers49c2,459$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,254.092842.9%12 W · 16 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf9e…a250backed 76ers52c2,000$1,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96015247.4%72 W · 80 L0.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed 76ers51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7218749.2%92 W · 95 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Celtics53c1,934$1,034 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,034.462,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Celtics49c1,756$860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$860.4437355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe4…f3f7backed 76ers52c1,731$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830.7715850.6%80 W · 78 L+10.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+21.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Celtics50c1,676$846 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.32,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Celtics49c1,633$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80040451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x689c…6b1ebacked Celtics53c1,589$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83812451.6%64 W · 60 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Celtics48c1,563$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75059140.8%241 W · 350 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Celtics51c1,500$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76525945.6%118 W · 141 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed 76ers47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7952,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed 76ers48c1,473$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.11,13948.3%550 W · 589 L+3.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Celtics48c1,388$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6669447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd25…7d10backed Celtics52c1,346$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7007642.1%32 W · 44 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4a2…6fc8backed 76ers50c1,315$657 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.252653.8%14 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+19.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Celtics52c1,165$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.0255251.3%283 W · 269 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Celtics50c1,088$544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54420647.6%98 W · 108 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf63a…90e6backed 76ers48c1,042$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.671855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+23.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x779a…b689backed Celtics49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.87852.6%41 W · 37 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+22.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Celtics51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51050346.5%234 W · 269 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x300b…f636backed Celtics50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50016050%80 W · 80 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75a3…8275backed Celtics53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5301643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-31%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Celtics50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014045.7%64 W · 76 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf009…43d0backed Celtics53c928.3$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4922958.6%17 W · 12 L+2.9wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed Celtics47c854.58$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.6528643%123 W · 163 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2018…dfc5backed Celtics52c769.23$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003737.8%14 W · 23 L-6.1wins-0.17per pick54cpaid-30.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Celtics49c760.77$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.911,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14fe…e0fdbacked Celtics48c729.17$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503259.4%19 W · 13 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4d35…96afbacked Celtics48c722.86$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3503138.7%12 W · 19 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick49cpaid-22.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed 76ers51c709.43$362 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.6248845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x70ef…e25dbacked Celtics50c510$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2557841%32 W · 46 L-8.3wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Celtics52c485.56$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.1589850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9712…0c47backed Celtics44c476.32$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.056934.8%24 W · 45 L-4.5wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-31.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Celtics48c462.42$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.0966352.6%349 W · 314 L+30.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcea6…67adbacked Celtics50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028448.2%137 W · 147 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaea…4bbfbacked Celtics52c312.48$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.4940541%166 W · 239 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed 76ers51c304.62$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.2645146.1%208 W · 243 L-10.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Celtics55c301.15$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.7352861.9%327 W · 201 L+32.3wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+10.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Celtics49c300$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14721653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed 76ers51c299.35$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.6665045.1%293 W · 357 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b01…dee1backed Celtics51c294.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509454.3%51 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Celtics53c281.13$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1491,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked 76ers48c247.21$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.5562051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf410…ca73backed Celtics49c243.25$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.195352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4be6…b010backed Celtics48c239.58$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11515846.8%74 W · 84 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a54…7191backed 76ers48c215.71$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.175345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd47f…169bbacked Celtics48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004854.2%26 W · 22 L-7.0wins-0.15per pick69cpaid-24.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked 76ers52c207.21$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4613151.1%67 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed 76ers51c200$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9878652.4%412 W · 374 L+14.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed 76ers51c199.92$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9646342.5%197 W · 266 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x089c…8df0backed 76ers52c189.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.963345.5%15 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Celtics59c170.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10052461.6%323 W · 201 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee60…6902backed 76ers50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8037665.4%246 W · 130 L+62.0wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf20f…3b33backed 76ers50c159.85$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.9218343.7%80 W · 103 L-11.0wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked 76ers50c158$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$792,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x24a5…b68dbacked Celtics50c158$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795632.1%18 W · 38 L-7.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xaf23…dcb7backed Celtics55c140.99$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.555841.4%24 W · 34 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked Celtics48c140$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.28555.3%47 W · 38 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x586a…c07fbacked 76ers48c134.62$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$701100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Celtics49c126.82$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.511,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d6a…8bbcbacked Celtics52c124.37$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.672733.3%9 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-11.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Celtics57c120$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6961253.1%325 W · 287 L-20.0wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Celtics54c116.31$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.663,55146.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L+1.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12b4…a662backed Celtics55c114.62$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.6359255.4%328 W · 264 L+23.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x951f…e430backed Celtics52c111.88$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.1823652.5%124 W · 112 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Celtics48c108.5$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0845251.1%231 W · 221 L+1.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Celtics52c106.57$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5546346.4%215 W · 248 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf15…2f3dbacked Celtics48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010848.1%52 W · 56 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc036…30d4backed Celtics49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5051946.8%243 W · 276 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Celtics49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5038545.7%176 W · 209 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Celtics55c101$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.451,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d0a…1bd3backed Celtics50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504148.8%20 W · 21 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1276…0845backed Celtics50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+13.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb48e…02b7backed 76ers58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421145.5%5 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7242…ac6fbacked 76ers50c98.04$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0210240.2%41 W · 61 L-6.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2c12…b8f3backed Celtics51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503256.3%18 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed 76ers52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1566046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4575…3a3fbacked Celtics52c96.15$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504030%12 W · 28 L-5.1wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-25.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked 76ers46c91$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.1417052.4%89 W · 81 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 26 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.