TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x24a5…b68d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT5632.1%18 W · 38 L-7.0wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-27.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NBA — the 56 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$79
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.4
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$28.99
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.42
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$172.22
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.02
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.16
Celtics vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.68
Pistons vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.04
Pacers vs. Trail Blazersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Wizards vs. Pelicansbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Raptors vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+51.5%+$12.88
Hornets vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$77
Spread: Thunder (-3.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$39.47
Spurs vs. 76ersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$100
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+100.6%+$30.18
Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Celtics vs. Bucksbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+75.4%+$56.58
Russell Westbrook: Points O/U 13.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+79.3%+$59.44
LeBron James: Points O/U 20.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+92.3%+$69.23
Pelicans vs. Clippersbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$33
Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Jalen Duren: Points O/U 18.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$28
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Showing 25 of 56 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+0.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs. Ohio Bobcatsbacked Ohio Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$44.66
West Georgia Wolves vs. Queens (NC) Royalsbacked West Georgia Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.87
VMI Keydets vs. UNCG Spartansbacked VMI Keydets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.87
Omaha Mavericks vs. South Dakota Coyotesbacked South Dakota Coyotes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$24.79
Bowling Green Falcons vs. Eastern Michigan Eaglesbacked Eastern Michigan Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.84
The Citadel Bulldogs vs. Chattanooga Mocsbacked The Citadel Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+270.4%+$53.7
Bellarmine Knights vs. Central Arkansas Bearsbacked Bellarmine Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$29.8
South Florida Bulls vs. Memphis Tigersbacked Memphis Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.86
Jacksonville State Gamecocks vs. New Mexico State Aggiesbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.85
Coppin State Eagles vs. Morgan State Bearsbacked Coppin State Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$19.86
Indiana State Sycamores vs. Valparaiso Beaconsbacked Indiana State Sycamores · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$49.58
Sam Houston Bearkats vs. Delaware Fightin' Blue Hensbacked Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+270.4%+$53.7
Drake Bulldogs vs. Southern Illinois Salukisbacked Drake Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+214.5%+$53.22
Villanova Wildcats vs. DePaul Blue Demonsbacked DePaul Blue Demons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$14.87
Eastern Illinois Panthers vs. SIUE Cougarsbacked Eastern Illinois Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+177.8%+$26.45
Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Providence Friarsbacked Marquette Golden Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+177.8%+$35.27
All 16 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 27, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$37.33
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.99
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.32
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$85
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$27.5
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Everton FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+108.3%+$59.58
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+156.4%+$117.31
All 11 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+25.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick20cpaid-50%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Golden Knights vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Lightning vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+122.2%+$36.67
Blackhawks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+61.3%+$27.58
Red Wings vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$97.92
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Trump administration release any Epstein-related files on December 24, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+28.2%+$25.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 30, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+27.1%+$39.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$76.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Israel Adesanya vs. Joe Pyfer (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Israel Adesanya · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.