NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca0136d7acc14db3835e40b5d13bc2723ffc7a34a950bef39a2f5a18b07399c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Trail Blazers, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,319,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,319,161 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,984 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,390,067$698,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691,406.58 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 610,184$302,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302,434.56 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Timberwolves | 49c | 510,106$251,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251,337.75 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 424,311$216,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208,085.8 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Timberwolves | 49c | 253,845$125,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,159.4 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 153,355$67,476 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,878.69 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Timberwolves | 49c | 149,914$73,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,457.91 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 122,023$68,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68,332.94 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Timberwolves | 50c | 119,400$59,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59,700 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 100,000$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,000 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed Timberwolves | 51c | 86,906$44,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,164.64 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 85,551$40,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,608.76 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 78,479$39,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,479.04 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 62,191$30,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,217.66 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 52,355$23,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,435.66 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 51,119$28,978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,977.74 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 48,834$23,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,035.62 | 382 | 53.4%204 W · 178 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Timberwolves | 49c | 47,793$23,257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,256.94 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 41,983$21,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,016.58 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 32,943$16,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,883.83 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Timberwolves | 31c | 31,619$9,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,880.1 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 31,404$13,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,900.06 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 29,791$15,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,656.91 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…bd57backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 25,998$12,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,778.94 | 418 | 32.8%137 W · 281 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 25,405$12,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,702.48 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 23,880$11,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,940 | 209 | 48.8%102 W · 107 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2a…ca1bbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 23,382$11,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,924.82 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Timberwolves | 50c | 23,283$11,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,641.5 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Timberwolves | 49c | 23,001$11,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,270.98 | 463 | 42.5%197 W · 266 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Timberwolves | 50c | 22,089$11,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,044.7 | 160 | 39.4%63 W · 97 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Trail Blazers | 41c | 21,903$9,090 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,813.66 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9948…47e7backed Trail Blazers | 65c | 21,694$14,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,693.77 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Timberwolves | 40c | 21,668$8,733 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,732.54 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…c2a4backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 20,793$10,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,604.48 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 20,266$9,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,344.21 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 19,679$9,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,839.56 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Timberwolves | 42c | 19,335$8,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,063.17 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Timberwolves | 50c | 18,914$9,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,457 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Timberwolves | 51c | 18,167$9,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,321.37 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Timberwolves | 50c | 17,910$8,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,955 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Timberwolves | 52c | 17,386$9,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,039.53 | 224 | 57.1%128 W · 96 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7792…b63bbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 17,300$7,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,515 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d1…553ebacked Timberwolves | 55c | 17,300$9,515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,514.79 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Timberwolves | 50c | 15,920$7,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,960 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4870…85f7backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 15,700$6,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,949 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0441…b3aabacked Timberwolves | 57c | 15,700$8,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,948.93 | 84 | 41.7%35 W · 49 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34c6…3637backed Timberwolves | 51c | 15,630$7,915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,915.09 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 53c | 15,381$8,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,081.55 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Trail Blazers | 58c | 15,038$8,741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,297.71 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebe5…b317backed Timberwolves | 53c | 15,018$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Timberwolves | 50c | 15,000$7,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,500 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa25d…2227backed Timberwolves | 51c | 15,000$7,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,699.95 | 106 | 41.5%44 W · 62 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfec8…50f7backed Trail Blazers | 67c | 14,986$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,985.69 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 14,925$7,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,462.5 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Timberwolves | 50c | 14,881$7,441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,440.56 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5f6…a659backed Timberwolves | 52c | 14,800$7,768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,767.54 | 272 | 41.9%114 W · 158 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Timberwolves | 49c | 14,789$7,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,311.94 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Timberwolves | 44c | 14,531$6,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,424.56 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 14,222$5,973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,248.55 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 14,066$5,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,944.53 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Timberwolves | 44c | 14,037$6,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,195.46 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef27…381bbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 13,897$7,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,525.93 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5db5…1a50backed Timberwolves | 53c | 13,236$7,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,015 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Trail Blazers | 59c | 13,028$7,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,362.89 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 12,500$5,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,125 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Timberwolves | 56c | 12,500$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Timberwolves | 45c | 12,069$5,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,383.24 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Timberwolves | 40c | 12,002$4,767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,766.79 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 12,000$5,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,840 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Timberwolves | 33c | 11,232$3,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,712.7 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49a3…91bbbacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 11,200$4,928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,272 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67b5…4849backed Timberwolves | 57c | 11,000$6,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,270 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Timberwolves | 50c | 10,378$5,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,189.19 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x583f…2dabbacked Timberwolves | 36c | 10,377$3,746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,746.31 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7a…1eecbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 10,322$5,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,264.14 | 314 | 53.5%168 W · 146 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x622e…07abbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 173 | 56.1%97 W · 76 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Timberwolves | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Timberwolves | 48c | 10,000$4,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,780 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae76…9ba9backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 9,000$4,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,580 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 57cpaid | +33%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Timberwolves | 50c | 9,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d35…ac36backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 8,650$3,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,930.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +94.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16ae…017abacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 8,600$3,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,901.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf66b…5bfcbacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 8,600$3,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,901.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a84…ffbbbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 8,512$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 93 | 30.1%28 W · 65 L | -9.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1085…3781backed Timberwolves | 57c | 8,500$4,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,845 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…c2d1backed Timberwolves | 57c | 8,500$4,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,845 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a5…671ebacked Timberwolves | 57c | 8,500$4,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,845 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634e…e221backed Timberwolves | 57c | 8,500$4,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,845 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d6…6d6bbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 8,488$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,487.59 | 128 | 44.5%57 W · 71 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fde…26ffbacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 8,400$3,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,788 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6715…c090backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 8,400$3,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,788 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cca…6f28backed Timberwolves | 52c | 8,331$4,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,304.33 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519c…e5efbacked Timberwolves | 57c | 8,100$4,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,616.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Trail Blazers | 56c | 8,021$4,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,565.04 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Timberwolves | 43c | 8,000$3,440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,440 | 328 | 46.6%153 W · 175 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d3d…3165backed Timberwolves | 50c | 7,750$3,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,874.88 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Timberwolves | 55c | 6,988$3,868 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,868.36 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Timberwolves | 54c | 6,888$3,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,719.52 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolvesthis page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Bones Hyland: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.