NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe87c1e5a5c69e96fd0ff4cbf8c4f8a06e4bc1983bf35fcd84507cdf53383809a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,617
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,617 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Under | 49c | 20,996$10,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,807.78 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 51c | 4,451$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,270 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Over | 52c | 4,142$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167.88 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Over | 52c | 2,915$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.9 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 52c | 1,857$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.43 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Over | 51c | 1,628$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.28 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 52c | 1,590$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.41 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 48c | 1,202$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.99 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…9368backed Over | 52c | 900$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Over | 52c | 882.4$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.85 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Over | 53c | 850.99$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.02 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Over | 51c | 838$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.38 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ff…0d1dbacked Over | 53c | 600$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318 | 331 | 46.2%153 W · 178 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 52c | 507$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.99 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 47c | 477.52$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.08 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 51c | 435.7$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.28 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 47c | 218$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.54 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 46c | 194.78$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.18 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb9…1eccbacked Under | 48c | 169$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over | 51c | 159$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.09 | 141 | 44.7%63 W · 78 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ab…582cbacked Under | 47c | 147$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da2…166cbacked Under | 48c | 142$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c84…ac9abacked Over | 54c | 138.89$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.19per pick | 50cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 47c | 107.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.23 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 51c | 102.54$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 47c | 99.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Over | 51c | 91.25$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 135 | 54.1%73 W · 62 L | +8.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Over | 53c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…cb68backed Under | 48c | 77$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…6018backed Over | 53c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.28 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 49c | 73$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.23 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf431…adacbacked Over | 53c | 66$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.98 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Under | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf135…3108backed Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Over | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…96e1backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e6…e760backed Over | 53c | 56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +64%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 52c | 51.63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.73 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 51c | 49$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…2464backed Over | 52c | 48.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Over | 51c | 45.54$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadd5…3187backed Over | 53c | 45$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…7c37backed Over | 53c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…fb9fbacked Over | 53c | 42$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa10b…9885backed Under | 49c | 41.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.09 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 144 | 43.1%62 W · 82 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Over | 51c | 39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Under | 39c | 37.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.03 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…38b2backed Over | 53c | 37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Over | 53c | 35$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.55 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74e3…d600backed Over | 53c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Over | 53c | 32.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x81ae…3615backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.9 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48b9…abe2backed Under | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 144 | 48.6%70 W · 74 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 52c | 27.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.15 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Under | 47c | 27.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 462 | 55.6%257 W · 205 L | +22.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed Over | 51c | 25.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 23.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.17 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 55c | 22.22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 52c | 21.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f61…ab6bbacked Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Bones Hyland: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. TimberwolvesTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.