NBA · resolved market
Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcbbf57cea963c309f9854fc34296084fcbe0e9b6ff56b6a8b0fc2e8126e126cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Timberwolves, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,849
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $179,849 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 405 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x35dd…de6bbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 15,100$8,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,097 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +66.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…6daabacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 14,696$7,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,907.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +72.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebfd…5697backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 11,944$6,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,613.68 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers | 58c | 11,902$6,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,998.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…ecfebacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 11,690$6,196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,494.3 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d12…590ebacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 8,968$4,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,214.96 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x973b…26e7backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 8,243$4,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,874.21 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +39.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Timberwolves | 46c | 7,609$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x243b…cfccbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 7,104$3,765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,338.88 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Timberwolves | 41c | 5,040$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.4 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6168…fb7ebacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 4,702$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,209.94 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.39per pick | 41cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Timberwolves | 42c | 4,644$1,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,950.48 | 316 | 44.6%141 W · 175 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85f…342cbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 4,630$2,454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,176.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…e2dbbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 4,373$2,318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,055.31 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x518c…f9fbbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 4,354$2,308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceff…a3d1backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 4,332$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,036.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…265fbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 4,311$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c8…f681backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 4,155$2,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.85 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.6wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x111c…95ddbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 4,015$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,887.05 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9258…99a3backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.08 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1420…069fbacked Timberwolves | 48c | 3,846$1,846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,846.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f3c…ded4backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 3,700$1,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Timberwolves | 40c | 3,360$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8c…0f22backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 3,212$1,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,509.64 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.37per pick | 48cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa729…9326backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 3,200$1,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…252dbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 2,970$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.9 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4249…e254backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,919$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf40c…0362backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,906$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6b…f737backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,802$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 2,801$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,301.15 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16a9…b3ffbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 2,749$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5280…78e3backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,726$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed84…e889backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,723$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.81 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4306…1a38backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,639$1,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7e…78a8backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,574$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9000…55a5backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,519$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.93 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8da…ba62backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,485$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…80f1backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,483$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2c…3770backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,453$1,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152.91 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +56.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05c4…a4f2backed Timberwolves | 45c | 2,446$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110.76 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff48…73acbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 2,405$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,130.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe5…25edbacked Trail Blazers | 53c | 2,353$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,105.91 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 52cpaid | +63%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebb7…b09abacked Timberwolves | 47c | 2,281$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe9…8287backed Timberwolves | 47c | 2,185$1,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,026.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Trail Blazers | 55c | 2,087$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$944.35 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Timberwolves | 45c | 1,967$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$876.88 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Trail Blazers | 56c | 1,946$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$855.61 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves | 46c | 1,718$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790.43 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc28d…f060backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,442$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2972…9e87backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,413$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d96…c459backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,302$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…7ec5backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,253$589 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x517d…0321backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,251$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.97 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,250$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x403a…3b7abacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,249$587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3362…3033backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,243$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…036dbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,234$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x130a…39f4backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,232$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae8…8651backed Trail Blazers | 53c | 1,202$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.94 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x910b…2a5abacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,198$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5007…f910backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,190$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…2f12backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,187$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc494…3142backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,179$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…8071backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,166$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…585bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,162$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb424…16a8backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,161$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Trail Blazers | 57c | 1,160$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.8 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdea…2545backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,146$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…4fb2backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,145$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x862a…0bd4backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,140$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0824…ce82backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,130$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61a5…e592backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,102$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5981…aa92backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,096$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…9dc7backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,096$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c18…f917backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,093$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4595…6f78backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,081$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$508.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de6…6a30backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,077$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0f…6a3cbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,072$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaddd…d251backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,072$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8473…912abacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,068$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6492…62d9backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,062$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4642…39bcbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,053$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.91 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…df93backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,047$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.09 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddd5…94a2backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,045$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b79…7dcebacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,042$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1851…de7dbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,036$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc615…23d5backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,028$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4beb…3f06backed Timberwolves | 47c | 1,013$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…337fbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 1,011$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.17 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf630…7e65backed Trail Blazers | 54c | 999.97$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.99 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…1138backed Timberwolves | 47c | 996$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Trail Blazers | 58c | 991.44$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.8 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c43…6a07backed Timberwolves | 47c | 990$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 982.37$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.54 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Timberwolves | 45c | 940$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.49 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Timberwolves | 42c | 860$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.2 | 96 | 29.2%28 W · 68 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7b…3f7bbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 842$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Trail Blazers | 54c | 802.8$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.29 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b64…271cbacked Timberwolves | 47c | 783$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.01 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Bones Hyland: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. TimberwolvesTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.