TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$226,311

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $226,311 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 252 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa729…9326backed Over53c22,387$11,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,774.924949%24 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18ad…64e0backed Under48c11,652$5,593 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,059.045100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+111.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Over51c11,649$5,941 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,941.2174748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0958…1cdabacked Over52c10,517$5,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,468.84650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb189…49e2backed Over52c10,211$5,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,309.72666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+47.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0701…5f39backed Over52c9,500$4,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,940650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c6…1148backed Over52c8,439$4,388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,388.28955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a4b…f440backed Under48c8,429$4,046 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,383.08785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.36per pick50cpaid+72.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Under49c8,080$3,962 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,118.5430157.1%172 W · 129 L+14.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc780…4397backed Under46c6,661$3,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,596.94771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.22per pick49cpaid+51.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf8b4…ed7fbacked Over52c6,251$3,251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,250.52757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under45c6,194$2,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,422.119,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Over56c5,388$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0009556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79fc…cd67backed Under48c5,350$2,568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,782742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd703…5746backed Under48c5,311$2,549 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,761.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x63f8…0688backed Under48c5,305$2,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,758.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa98…d070backed Under48c5,275$2,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,743450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80fe…f5d6backed Under48c5,273$2,531 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,741.96771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+39.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e91…1a61backed Under48c5,239$2,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,724.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1759…c01ebacked Over52c5,108$2,656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,656.16771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick48cpaid+54.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x662e…450fbacked Under48c5,100$2,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,652366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacb0…576dbacked Under48c5,066$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,634.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97d9…3c6cbacked Under48c5,002$2,401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,601.04771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+42.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5fc2…0501backed Under45c5,000$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7501100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2300…321cbacked Under48c4,940$2,371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,568.8366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x728e…8e52backed Under48c4,882$2,343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,538.64475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ca8…cb82backed Over52c4,872$2,533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,533.44450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x118c…18c2backed Under48c4,838$2,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,515.76366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d4c…2c7cbacked Under48c4,752$2,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,471.04475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf789…f5b3backed Under48c4,747$2,279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,468.44366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c1…d928backed Under48c4,687$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,437.24475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+54.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02c3…b68cbacked Over52c4,612$2,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,398.24944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d43…d93dbacked Under48c4,608$2,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,396.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+38.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59f7…1fdbbacked Over52c4,599$2,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,391.48650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a48…cc69backed Under48c4,592$2,204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,387.84560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x064c…ef68backed Under48c4,491$2,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,335.321361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e24…96aebacked Under48c4,365$2,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,269.84100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5be1…7261backed Over52c4,159$2,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,162.68875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+56.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xba5c…245dbacked Under48c4,158$1,996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,162.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe71c…b65ebacked Over52c4,107$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135.64875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+49.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x449a…53b9backed Over52c4,087$2,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,125.24333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe52…33e9backed Over52c3,924$2,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,040.48650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa52d…0694backed Over52c3,847$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd575…d68dbacked Over52c3,746$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,947.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff6e…3800backed Under48c3,706$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,927.12850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51c5…10ccbacked Over52c3,701$1,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,924.52666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc2aa…5d0ebacked Over52c3,690$1,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,918.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6a2…9cd3backed Over52c3,409$1,773 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,772.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28bb…d92bbacked Over52c3,275$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+32.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca10…bccebacked Over52c3,180$1,654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,653.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf034…2e7abacked Over52c3,039$1,580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,580.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x410d…d831backed Over56c3,029$1,696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,696.2411335.4%40 W · 73 L-8.0wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x26eb…22d0backed Under45c2,842$1,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,563.8627735%97 W · 180 L-30.7wins-0.11per pick46cpaid-28.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x32ed…4e99backed Over52c2,835$1,474 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,474.2650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04dc…808bbacked Over52c2,833$1,473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,473.16757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd41…baf2backed Over52c2,774$1,442 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,442.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f1…cd69backed Under48c2,762$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08c2…1db7backed Under48c2,748$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.96560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7629…d768backed Over52c2,688$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.76540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7151…8c97backed Under48c2,683$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,395.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+54.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b0b…dd57backed Over52c2,660$1,383 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,383.2450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e80…094abacked Under48c2,500$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,300366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+43.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a9a…1f57backed Under48c2,496$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,297.92366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ee2…a7eabacked Under48c2,480$1,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,289.61241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8dac…867dbacked Under48c2,379$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,237.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick51cpaid+55.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa20a…2df1backed Under48c2,373$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.96875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+50.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbd68…9c20backed Under48c2,352$1,129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.04862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fc2…6175backed Over52c2,337$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.24540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8702…c6d5backed Under48c2,324$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.48560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8e77…6ad9backed Under48c2,317$1,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,204.84475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+53.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1db6…7266backed Under48c2,313$1,110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,202.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32aa…105abacked Over52c2,264$1,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,177.28850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf88…ee73backed Under48c2,248$1,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,168.96450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5bd…f08ebacked Over52c2,215$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.8540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddb2…7e92backed Over52c2,205$1,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146.6944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb43…fc3cbacked Under48c2,148$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.961070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+38.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a93…7051backed Over52c2,047$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,064.44540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-16.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x581a…d2e7backed Over55c2,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2a…16aabacked Over52c1,928$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.56450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c62…1eb8backed Over52c1,919$998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.88333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c0…4c88backed Over52c1,742$906 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$905.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3ea…9f59backed Over52c1,709$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888.68450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91ab…fd55backed Over52c1,629$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.08333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb16…a3dabacked Over52c1,613$839 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.7620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cd9…b2c3backed Over55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x95a1…5383backed Over55c1,500$825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd83e…2be4backed Over52c1,421$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.921361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1632…cb68backed Under46c1,316$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$710.635040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e38…5dd3backed Over52c1,303$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$677.56333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20d2…a3d5backed Under48c1,265$607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.87100%7 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+102.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under45c1,237$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$683.394,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e19…9addbacked Under48c1,233$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+59.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6889…cd32backed Under48c1,129$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.08475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick50cpaid+54.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd35a…791abacked Under48c1,097$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.44560%3 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+36.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31f2…fb6ebacked Under48c1,096$526 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.92450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9253…6ca1backed Over52c1,087$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.24450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Under46c1,085$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585.928554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xced2…940fbacked Under48c1,071$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.92475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+54.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf6e…eca0backed Under48c1,069$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.88475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+59.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcd57…1b04backed Over52c1,018$529 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.