NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5a427296363efde9673c58f6f22b091bf51a8afeafffeec8935ef8f2e1ce6c47
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,385
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,385 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Over | 53c | 3,821$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.33 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x440b…7551backed Over | 57c | 2,195$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.15 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.41per pick | 53cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf4bc…afb5backed Over | 56c | 2,175$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e7…8f83backed Over | 56c | 2,125$1,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,190 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Under | 47c | 2,070$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.21 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 42c | 1,634$695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.85 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…2d3cbacked Over | 57c | 1,410$804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 47c | 595.74$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.74 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 47c | 516$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.48 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Under | 47c | 424.02$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.73 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c8…e810backed Under | 43c | 410$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe774…05d7backed Under | 44c | 400$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f5…e460backed Under | 44c | 390$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +108%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5466…3718backed Under | 43c | 390$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +112.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 4c | 388.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 679 | 21.4%145 W · 534 L | +32.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 17c | 381.04$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$317.26 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92e9…cb4abacked Under | 44c | 380$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +108%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x627f…545fbacked Under | 44c | 370$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47d7…e81cbacked Under | 43c | 370$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb80…d067backed Under | 44c | 360$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +108%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…8560backed Under | 44c | 350$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc737…f98bbacked Under | 43c | 350$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc336…90a4backed Under | 44c | 340$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2421…e2d0backed Under | 43c | 330$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 43c | 330$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b67…2446backed Under | 44c | 330$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dc7…e544backed Under | 44c | 320$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +108%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Under | 19c | 310.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.33 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcef9…4f67backed Under | 43c | 310$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x722c…3481backed Under | 44c | 310$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +108%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4dc…7945backed Under | 44c | 300$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe493…1a41backed Under | 44c | 290$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +108%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…0180backed Under | 43c | 255$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 43c | 236.74$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.94 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e8…f723backed Under | 43c | 235$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 224.11$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.9 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaaa…015bbacked Under | 43c | 215$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc47e…eef3backed Under | 43c | 195$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b58…1fc1backed Under | 43c | 180$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +111.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e32…8804backed Under | 43c | 175$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 45c | 167.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.93 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 43c | 165$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Under | 30c | 157$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.33 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb17a…c213backed Under | 43c | 155$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 55c | 111.11$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.11 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 58c | 103.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb743…c116backed Over | 63c | 102.17$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -34%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa27d…f6a3backed Under | 44c | 85$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 56c | 77.82$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4c…b2c1backed Under | 44c | 75$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 49cpaid | +108%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed Over | 57c | 67$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.19 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -7.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 42c | 63.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Over | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Over | 50c | 50.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,758 | 48.7%856 W · 902 L | +28.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd348…b4cfbacked Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Under | 42c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 48.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Under | 43c | 46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 464 | 47.8%222 W · 242 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe00b…256fbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 170 | 58.8%100 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 52c | 36.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ec…fc2abacked Under | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 43c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Over | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 332 | 58.7%195 W · 137 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb11f…f01cbacked Under | 42c | 29.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5886…b8ffbacked Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -8.0wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5a33…9a46backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 139 | 53.2%74 W · 65 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e3…32eebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Bones Hyland: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. TimberwolvesTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.