TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$211,347

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,347 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0697…fb17backed Over48c15,874$7,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,663.42850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over48c12,495$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c11,280$5,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,488.059,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under52c9,089$4,726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,362.721,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Under53c8,660$4,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,100.3787750.2%440 W · 437 L-19.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under52c8,646$4,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,149.971,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over48c7,293$3,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,500.641,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb17a…c213backed Over47c7,080$3,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,327.6250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2220…a854backed Over47c6,634$3,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,117.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e32…8804backed Over47c6,576$3,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,090.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68ec…fc2abacked Over47c6,336$2,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,977.92250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd4dc…7945backed Over47c6,224$2,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,925.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8e1…8560backed Over47c6,210$2,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,918.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x159f…0180backed Over47c6,196$2,912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,912.11250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2421…e2d0backed Over47c6,142$2,887 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,886.74250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ff…99cabacked Over48c6,121$2,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,938.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb4b…fd62backed Under53c6,072$3,218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,853.841145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa27d…f6a3backed Over47c6,010$2,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,824.7250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc47e…eef3backed Under53c6,000$3,180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8202100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0dc7…e544backed Under53c5,980$3,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,810.62100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+108%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x071b…8aeabacked Under53c5,936$3,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,789.92250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b67…2446backed Over48c5,894$2,811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,810.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48a8…1c56backed Over47c5,890$2,768 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,768.320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc336…90a4backed Over47c5,872$2,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,759.84250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47d7…e81cbacked Over47c5,860$2,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,754.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcef9…4f67backed Under53c5,698$3,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,678.062100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x627f…545fbacked Over47c5,658$2,659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,659.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x722c…3481backed Under53c5,572$2,953 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,618.842100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+108%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe774…05d7backed Over47c5,560$2,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,613.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3a4c…b2c1backed Under53c5,478$2,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,574.662100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+108%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d7f…f71cbacked Under53c5,418$2,872 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,546.46250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1c8…e810backed Under53c5,398$2,861 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,537.062100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaaaa…015bbacked Under53c5,346$2,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,512.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f91…d069backed Over47c5,266$2,475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,475.021163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x92e9…cb4abacked Under53c5,262$2,789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,473.142100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+108%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6f5…e460backed Under53c5,254$2,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,469.382100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+108%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc9e8…f723backed Under53c5,224$2,769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,455.282100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1488…6f27backed Over47c5,206$2,447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,446.8220%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bf3…7b13backed Over47c5,138$2,415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,414.86616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.35per pick51cpaid-68.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdb80…d067backed Under53c5,084$2,695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,389.482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+108%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaa02…fd4fbacked Under53c5,030$2,666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,364.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0c1…66adbacked Over47c4,918$2,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,311.4620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea8…4819backed Under53c4,906$2,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,305.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ca…51a0backed Under53c4,848$2,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,278.56250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6704…a41dbacked Under53c4,794$2,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,253.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc575…0a59backed Over47c4,788$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,250.3620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe493…1a41backed Under53c4,710$2,496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,213.72100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+108%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc737…f98bbacked Under53c4,706$2,494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,211.822100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9684…2d3cbacked Under53c4,652$2,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,186.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dd4…02a7backed Under52c4,605$2,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e26…3517backed Under53c4,510$2,390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,119.7250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b58…1fc1backed Under53c4,466$2,354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,112.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+111.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5466…3718backed Under52c4,444$2,318 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,125.922100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+112.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4e7…8f83backed Under53c3,984$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,872.48250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b1f…b59abacked Over47c3,674$1,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,726.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bee…a369backed Over48c3,492$1,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,676.168148.1%39 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4bc…afb5backed Over47c3,452$1,622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,622.4420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x440b…7551backed Over47c2,672$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,255.84812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.3wins-0.41per pick53cpaid-75.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3a91…1769backed Over48c2,328$1,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,117.432150.8%163 W · 158 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Over48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008647.7%41 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Under53c2,019$1,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.932,07853.6%1,113 W · 965 L+44.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under49c1,834$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$942.353,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Over47c1,719$808 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80849246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ca5…73bcbacked Under53c1,277$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.3640451.5%208 W · 196 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd36a…28d6backed Over56c1,213$679 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.79837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-34.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d08…2142backed Over72c1,068$766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.6765872.8%479 W · 179 L+46.1wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Under53c1,000$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47015753.5%84 W · 73 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under52c903.58$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.64,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Under52c826.92$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$396.9218842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Under25c719.57$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$542.6918438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9013…e7e0backed Over76c653.61$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50040344.4%179 W · 224 L-23.9wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under52c482.95$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.083,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd48…e421backed Under54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18430242.1%127 W · 175 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Under53c396.83$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.5122154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under52c389$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.721,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbaa5…a51abacked Under29c358.62$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.629546.3%44 W · 51 L-11.2wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-24.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Over28c352.01$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.2583039.4%327 W · 503 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c338.92$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.268,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Over43c317.64$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.6415038%57 W · 93 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under53c301.89$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.8933146.2%153 W · 178 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x362a…8683backed Under52c300$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14413155%72 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9737…09c1backed Under52c299$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.524240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under53c284$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.4377549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under52c263.79$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.6255347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under54c256.48$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.2665349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under53c216.98$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.9839552.2%206 W · 189 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9695047.2%448 W · 502 L-28.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under52c188.43$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.451,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c187.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.092,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over6c176.75$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.2776653.5%410 W · 356 L+65.5wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+15.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x315d…6c55backed Over47c152$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.44520%1 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.37per pick57cpaid-74.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb996…038cbacked Under52c151$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4813148.9%64 W · 67 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8e58…fb5abacked Under53c136$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.929349.5%46 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under52c119.21$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.5491746.9%430 W · 487 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Over50c110.75$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.281,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under52c110.54$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0664844.8%290 W · 358 L-32.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over48c105.9$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9342153%223 W · 198 L+23.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under52c99.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4833949.9%169 W · 170 L-1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Over47c91.43$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.971,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e0…776ebacked Under52c91.31$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.838353%44 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.