TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Trail Blazersof Timberwolves, Trail Blazers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$235,867

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,867 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 269 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa729…9326backed Trail Blazers49c18,200$8,918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,2824949%24 W · 25 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7595…8c70backed Trail Blazers49c13,527$6,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,898.775100%5 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+118.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x8899…4595backed Trail Blazers49c12,553$6,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,402.034100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.54per pick47cpaid+115.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3d3b…4ee5backed Timberwolves51c12,194$6,219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,218.94560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0be9…a2edbacked Timberwolves51c11,606$5,919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,919.06580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+68.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe25b…facbbacked Trail Blazers49c11,284$5,529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,754.84580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.30per pick50cpaid+58.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x80bd…ff6abacked Timberwolves51c11,146$5,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,684.56650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Timberwolves46c10,734$4,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,937.5528649.7%142 W · 144 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Trail Blazers54c9,195$4,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,229.61,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ae…a393backed Trail Blazers49c8,448$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,308.486100%6 W · 0 L+3.2wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x76a1…60c2backed Timberwolves51c8,076$4,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,118.76560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+25.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc9a0…0203backed Trail Blazers49c7,958$3,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,058.585100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x756a…d380backed Trail Blazers49c6,641$3,254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,386.91785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.38per pick48cpaid+78.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a43…2affbacked Trail Blazers49c6,553$3,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,342.03988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.6wins+0.40per pick49cpaid+81.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x6e5b…3741backed Trail Blazers49c6,210$3,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,167.1666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea61…fc6abacked Timberwolves51c6,160$3,142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,141.6757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+19.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7fd0…fa64backed Timberwolves51c6,131$3,127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,126.81666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+42.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c6…1148backed Trail Blazers49c5,971$2,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,045.21955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+18.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0858…ad2cbacked Timberwolves51c5,731$2,923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,922.81560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+27.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68a0…b5b1backed Trail Blazers49c5,464$2,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,786.644100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb356…670dbacked Trail Blazers49c5,190$2,543 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,646.9366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6972…a4d2backed Trail Blazers49c5,172$2,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,637.72475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+54.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x07a0…1063backed Timberwolves49c5,102$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,499.98250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc3f…c3a3backed Trail Blazers51c5,028$2,564 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,463.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacc8…bca6backed Trail Blazers49c4,963$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,531.13757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x888b…7d5cbacked Timberwolves49c4,898$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c82…1959backed Trail Blazers51c4,804$2,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,353.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3872…6b32backed Timberwolves51c4,663$2,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,378.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7972…8d16backed Timberwolves51c4,561$2,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,326.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0200…cff9backed Timberwolves51c4,516$2,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,303.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1e1…35d6backed Trail Blazers49c4,511$2,210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,300.61366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+40.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde11…e4c8backed Timberwolves51c4,467$2,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,278.17250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3461…d7b1backed Timberwolves51c4,423$2,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,255.73333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdea…b24dbacked Timberwolves51c4,410$2,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.1250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x590a…43ffbacked Timberwolves51c4,340$2,213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,213.4560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+23.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc637…9a65backed Timberwolves51c4,319$2,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,202.69250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaec5…b4cebacked Trail Blazers49c4,319$2,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,202.69666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+33.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea34…179cbacked Timberwolves51c4,316$2,201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,201.16366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick46cpaid+52.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9b5…4ac1backed Trail Blazers49c4,239$2,077 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,161.89366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66e5…72acbacked Trail Blazers49c4,146$2,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,114.465100%5 W · 0 L+2.6wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6e1e…bb68backed Trail Blazers50c4,016$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.539556.8%54 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ab5…014ebacked Timberwolves51c3,857$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,967.07250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Trail Blazers53c3,837$2,048 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,789.029,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a8e…e9a6backed Timberwolves51c3,769$1,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,922.19560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3803…755cbacked Timberwolves51c3,468$1,769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,768.68560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+28.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x32aa…105abacked Trail Blazers49c3,185$1,561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.35850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x987c…0bcdbacked Trail Blazers49c3,096$1,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.96862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd27e…5c12backed Timberwolves51c3,004$1,532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,532.04250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1556…6d1cbacked Trail Blazers49c2,981$1,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,520.31475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.26per pick49cpaid+53.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x59f7…1fdbbacked Timberwolves51c2,874$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.74650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56ed…f75bbacked Trail Blazers49c2,869$1,406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,463.19366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Timberwolves48c2,790$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.984,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Trail Blazers54c2,768$1,495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.432,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8892…917abacked Timberwolves51c2,741$1,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,397.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb189…49e2backed Timberwolves51c2,603$1,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,327.53666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.19per pick47cpaid+47.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8b4…ed7fbacked Trail Blazers49c2,580$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,315.8757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+24.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82fb…be51backed Trail Blazers49c2,557$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.07475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+47.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ca1…e921backed Trail Blazers49c2,506$1,228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,278.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+37.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e74…5129backed Timberwolves51c2,494$1,272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.94250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4f7…031dbacked Timberwolves51c2,492$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a07…cf8abacked Trail Blazers49c2,488$1,219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.88757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79a6…ec65backed Timberwolves51c2,449$1,249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,248.99250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb519…857cbacked Timberwolves51c2,433$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,240.83250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa246…d3e3backed Timberwolves51c2,408$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.08250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc69d…a11ebacked Timberwolves51c2,386$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.86250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Timberwolves48c2,344$1,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,12570246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…ed9abacked Trail Blazers49c2,311$1,132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,178.61887.5%7 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.38per pick49cpaid+79.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5562…ab87backed Trail Blazers49c2,300$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,173366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+42.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1d3…5728backed Timberwolves51c2,223$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.73650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers76c2,124$1,611 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.288,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd83e…2be4backed Trail Blazers49c2,084$1,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,062.841361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+22.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Timberwolves48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00017349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Timberwolves46c2,000$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92035942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…4e99backed Timberwolves51c1,927$983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.77650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+12%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1898…cef2backed Timberwolves51c1,898$968 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$967.98250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd41…baf2backed Trail Blazers49c1,883$923 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.33560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Timberwolves44c1,780$783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.21,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50b7…50c5backed Timberwolves51c1,741$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887.91450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x02c3…b68cbacked Timberwolves51c1,653$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.03944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Timberwolves17c1,498$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.9118438.6%71 W · 113 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Trail Blazers51c1,498$762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$735.5280653.6%432 W · 374 L+16.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0080…72f9backed Timberwolves51c1,325$676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$675.75333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7629…d768backed Trail Blazers49c1,282$628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.82540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9253…6ca1backed Trail Blazers49c1,251$613 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.01450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Trail Blazers50c1,250$625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62526149.4%129 W · 132 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Timberwolves47c1,232$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$580.853,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x529e…1dcfbacked Timberwolves51c1,171$597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$597.21250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b38…da82backed Timberwolves51c1,149$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.99250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc36c…ec48backed Timberwolves51c1,143$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.93250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca10…bccebacked Timberwolves51c1,140$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-25.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6fdd…54b1backed Timberwolves51c1,117$570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$569.67333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd26c…9f5dbacked Timberwolves51c1,102$562 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$562.02333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-25.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers54c1,097$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.553,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x23f9…fbffbacked Timberwolves51c1,082$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$551.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xce43…d507backed Timberwolves51c1,051$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.01250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa42c…7244backed Timberwolves51c1,020$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x099b…d909backed Trail Blazers49c1,004$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.04450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7fb5…5195backed Trail Blazers49c1,004$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.04450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x009d…47d3backed Trail Blazers49c1,003$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.53850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e5d…de5bbacked Trail Blazers49c1,002$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$511.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+34.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.