TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$166,019

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,019 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c74,371$36,581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,789.981,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over51c30,000$15,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,272.741,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb784…61d0backed Over51c27,807$14,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,181.5729351.5%151 W · 142 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under50c23,961$11,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,080.651,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Over51c8,632$4,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,402.45754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over50c5,071$2,535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,535.2617550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcf…38adbacked Under50c4,758$2,379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,379250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cc7…0602backed Over50c4,437$2,218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,218.39352.7%49 W · 44 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e2b…a850backed Under50c4,030$2,015 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8b7…dfb9backed Over50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00040%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Under51c3,941$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,940.7156453.9%304 W · 260 L+6.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Over51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00026648.5%129 W · 137 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb15…0f02backed Over51c3,922$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016640.4%67 W · 99 L-14.6wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xf4cb…b981backed Under50c3,411$1,706 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,705.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over50c3,016$1,508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.871353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87c5…8a52backed Over50c2,994$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497425%1 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick58cpaid-68.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c2,626$1,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,312.751,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b97…0d79backed Over50c2,400$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,200944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x30c3…d6eebacked Over50c2,292$1,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,146250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd372…d094backed Over50c2,263$1,132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,131.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf48b…65d0backed Over50c2,255$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,127.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e51…1d1cbacked Under50c2,232$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1162100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x77fe…551dbacked Over50c2,200$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10024450%122 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x96dd…9cb1backed Under50c2,164$1,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,082250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe0f0…cedbbacked Over50c2,136$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xffba…ed2cbacked Under50c2,131$1,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,065.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe206…2677backed Over50c2,127$1,064 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,063.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under49c2,072$1,023 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,048.533,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadb0…b95dbacked Over50c2,038$1,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,01920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1c…a6c5backed Over50c2,014$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0075046%23 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48e…af6bbacked Under50c2,011$1,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,005.52100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf988…d63bbacked Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00028554%154 W · 131 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c2,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.994,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Over49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.9957950.1%290 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa1…1ef8backed Under50c1,974$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5b0…08fcbacked Over50c1,900$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$950250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff83…6599backed Over50c1,830$915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc363…b14ebacked Under50c1,783$892 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$891.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea7a…d0f0backed Under50c1,756$878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$878250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bee…a369backed Over50c1,745$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.68148.1%39 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e2d…d950backed Over50c1,722$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$861250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd804…5acfbacked Under50c1,686$843 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a2c…36a7backed Over50c1,677$844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.9720%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x022c…2effbacked Under50c1,668$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$834250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x315e…d6c8backed Over50c1,655$828 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf55d…fd7dbacked Over50c1,625$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$812.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7e6…4cedbacked Over50c1,622$811 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$811250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e5c…9832backed Over50c1,586$793 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x082e…fcf2backed Under50c1,546$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7732100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb2bb…4265backed Over50c1,538$769 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d9f…35e4backed Over50c1,530$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x44eb…dcfebacked Over50c1,400$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8deb…654bbacked Under50c1,379$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$689.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x27c7…00a1backed Under50c1,348$674 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6742100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd512…ff83backed Over50c1,332$666 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe48f…067bbacked Over50c1,312$656 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Over50c1,266$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.95349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb44d…2aa8backed Under50c1,262$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Over50c1,258$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62970246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0968…9368backed Under50c1,242$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf62…0a8bbacked Over50c1,222$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e93…c784backed Under50c1,181$591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ff3…9526backed Under50c1,162$581 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$581250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc58e…dd40backed Over50c1,158$579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f89…4922backed Over50c1,148$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x96c9…faf2backed Under50c1,142$571 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5712100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x80ec…b0cfbacked Over50c1,066$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7726…4627backed Over51c980.39$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-21.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7412…85d0backed Over50c965.26$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.6326544.9%119 W · 146 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89b6…fb46backed Under50c944$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under50c935.43$466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.014,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61cd…0699backed Over50c928$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0f9…148abacked Under50c926$463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a3a…b682backed Under50c896$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4482100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+102%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd48…d64fbacked Under50c832$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4165354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe387…b64fbacked Over50c826$413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda55…3839backed Over50c810$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56cb…071cbacked Under50c742$371 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3712100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12f9…6ea0backed Over50c712$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd134…5af3backed Under50c674$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3372100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7450…2b78backed Over50c664$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf2d0…8c7ebacked Over50c626$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…1ffebacked Over50c604$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x034f…2cebbacked Over50c562$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xca57…8c94backed Over50c522$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1688…51bdbacked Over50c484$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdff0…638abacked Under50c460$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2302100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over51c445.35$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$227.1322154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x108c…122dbacked Under50c420$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2106134.4%21 W · 40 L-10.1wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-32.9%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xa6a8…9e1ebacked Over50c420$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e7d…2abcbacked Under50c416$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa4be…a13dbacked Under50c392$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1963938.5%15 W · 24 L-4.9wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Over51c374.61$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.0589048.8%434 W · 456 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under50c360.55$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.719,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86f5…a045backed Under50c358$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc21b…e993backed Under50c350$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+61.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Under48c340.72$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.5615038%57 W · 93 L-5.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b97…bed1backed Over50c318$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60c…d2e2backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15014145.4%64 W · 77 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Under50c300$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15028348.8%138 W · 145 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.