NBA · resolved market
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6df45da0a5a26b8e9c24727eba61cd5fff61c57dd9588e1c31e173fa3d6ad50d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $166,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $166,019 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 74,371$36,581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,789.98 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 51c | 30,000$15,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,272.74 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Over | 51c | 27,807$14,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,181.57 | 293 | 51.5%151 W · 142 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Under | 50c | 23,961$11,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,080.65 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Over | 51c | 8,632$4,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,402.4 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Over | 50c | 5,071$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,535.26 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcf…38adbacked Under | 50c | 4,758$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,379 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8cc7…0602backed Over | 50c | 4,437$2,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.3 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2b…a850backed Under | 50c | 4,030$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,015 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b7…dfb9backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Under | 51c | 3,941$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,940.71 | 564 | 53.9%304 W · 260 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cb…b981backed Under | 50c | 3,411$1,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,705.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Over | 50c | 3,016$1,508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87c5…8a52backed Over | 50c | 2,994$1,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,497 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -68.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 50c | 2,626$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.75 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b97…0d79backed Over | 50c | 2,400$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…d6eebacked Over | 50c | 2,292$1,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,146 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd372…d094backed Over | 50c | 2,263$1,132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf48b…65d0backed Over | 50c | 2,255$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e51…1d1cbacked Under | 50c | 2,232$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Over | 50c | 2,200$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96dd…9cb1backed Under | 50c | 2,164$1,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,082 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f0…cedbbacked Over | 50c | 2,136$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffba…ed2cbacked Under | 50c | 2,131$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe206…2677backed Over | 50c | 2,127$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 49c | 2,072$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,048.53 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadb0…b95dbacked Over | 50c | 2,038$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1c…a6c5backed Over | 50c | 2,014$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48e…af6bbacked Under | 50c | 2,011$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,005.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 2,000$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.99 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa1…1ef8backed Under | 50c | 1,974$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$987 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…08fcbacked Over | 50c | 1,900$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff83…6599backed Over | 50c | 1,830$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$915 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc363…b14ebacked Under | 50c | 1,783$892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…d0f0backed Under | 50c | 1,756$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$878 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Over | 50c | 1,745$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.6 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2d…d950backed Over | 50c | 1,722$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd804…5acfbacked Under | 50c | 1,686$843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$843 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2c…36a7backed Over | 50c | 1,677$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x022c…2effbacked Under | 50c | 1,668$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$834 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x315e…d6c8backed Over | 50c | 1,655$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf55d…fd7dbacked Over | 50c | 1,625$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$812.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e6…4cedbacked Over | 50c | 1,622$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…9832backed Over | 50c | 1,586$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x082e…fcf2backed Under | 50c | 1,546$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$773 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bb…4265backed Over | 50c | 1,538$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d9f…35e4backed Over | 50c | 1,530$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44eb…dcfebacked Over | 50c | 1,400$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…654bbacked Under | 50c | 1,379$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27c7…00a1backed Under | 50c | 1,348$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd512…ff83backed Over | 50c | 1,332$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe48f…067bbacked Over | 50c | 1,312$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Over | 50c | 1,266$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.9 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb44d…2aa8backed Under | 50c | 1,262$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Over | 50c | 1,258$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$629 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0968…9368backed Under | 50c | 1,242$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$621 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf62…0a8bbacked Over | 50c | 1,222$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e93…c784backed Under | 50c | 1,181$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff3…9526backed Under | 50c | 1,162$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58e…dd40backed Over | 50c | 1,158$579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$579 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f89…4922backed Over | 50c | 1,148$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c9…faf2backed Under | 50c | 1,142$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ec…b0cfbacked Over | 50c | 1,066$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4627backed Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7412…85d0backed Over | 50c | 965.26$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.63 | 265 | 44.9%119 W · 146 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b6…fb46backed Under | 50c | 944$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 935.43$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.01 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61cd…0699backed Over | 50c | 928$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f9…148abacked Under | 50c | 926$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3a…b682backed Under | 50c | 896$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd48…d64fbacked Under | 50c | 832$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe387…b64fbacked Over | 50c | 826$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda55…3839backed Over | 50c | 810$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cb…071cbacked Under | 50c | 742$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12f9…6ea0backed Over | 50c | 712$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…5af3backed Under | 50c | 674$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7450…2b78backed Over | 50c | 664$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d0…8c7ebacked Over | 50c | 626$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…1ffebacked Over | 50c | 604$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x034f…2cebbacked Over | 50c | 562$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca57…8c94backed Over | 50c | 522$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1688…51bdbacked Over | 50c | 484$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…638abacked Under | 50c | 460$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 51c | 445.35$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.13 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…122dbacked Under | 50c | 420$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -10.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…9e1ebacked Over | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…2abcbacked Under | 50c | 416$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…a13dbacked Under | 50c | 392$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 51c | 374.61$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.05 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 360.55$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.71 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f5…a045backed Under | 50c | 358$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc21b…e993backed Under | 50c | 350$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Under | 48c | 340.72$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.56 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b97…bed1backed Over | 50c | 318$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…dd09backed Under | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 231.5this page
- 1H Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Bones Hyland: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Donovan Clingan: Rebounds O/U 11.5Yes won
- Donte DiVincenzo: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 15.5Yes won
- Jaden McDaniels: Rebounds O/U 3.5Yes won
- Jrue Holiday: Assists O/U 5.5Yes won
- Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Naz Reid: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Naz Reid: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Rudy Gobert: Points O/U 12.5Yes won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-1.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)Trail Blazers won
- Spread: Timberwolves (-3.5)Trail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. TimberwolvesTrail Blazers won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 118.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: 1H O/U 119.5Over won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 229.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 230.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.