TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x5f91…d069

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
34
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NBA, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 55 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT1662.5%10 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.94
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Houston Astros vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.07
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$11
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.03
Houston Astros vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$9.83
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-3.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.09
Spread: Houston Astros (-2.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.08
Minnesota Twins vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.82
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.83
Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-3.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$12.14
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$6.06
Washington Nationals vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.06
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.99
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+30%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 215.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.86
Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.22
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$27.69
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.82
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$21.2
Spread: Clippers (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$21.82
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$32.33
Spread: Magic (-8.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$48.8
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 232.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$2,475Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,475.02
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$150.4
All 11 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wild vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$9.84
Utah vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$8.99
Rangers vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$13.56
All 3 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 7.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.52
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucsa vs. Zheng: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$17.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.