NHL · resolved market
Rangers vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdae3c959fb38043ffa7caa5f74a46d00bb7ad47d7f0947ffa364d35adf660aca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,292
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 62c | 400$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 30c | 260$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.6 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 67c | 249$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.73 | 254 | 49.6%126 W · 128 L | -15.0wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…0425backed Over | 46c | 217.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…594cbacked Under | 77c | 193.5$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 22c | 124$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc10c…9bb3backed Under | 75c | 113.9$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.47 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Over | 30c | 108$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.47 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…eeadbacked Under | 76c | 98$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812e…2fbabacked Under | 76c | 95.8$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Over | 12c | 85.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce8f…44c4backed Under | 76c | 77.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 65c | 77.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d2…6ce0backed Over | 27c | 69.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2768…6bc6backed Under | 77c | 63.8$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 72cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…3bfbbacked Under | 75c | 60.3$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0d…1f81backed Under | 77c | 58.1$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.36 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f91…d069backed Under | 76c | 56.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…ff8abacked Under | 76c | 56.2$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46be…9ce1backed Under | 75c | 53.1$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x960a…42f1backed Over | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc68e…d5d9backed Under | 76c | 41.64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b68…bfefbacked Under | 76c | 41$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Over | 28c | 38.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 32c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92ba…97f7backed Under | 76c | 34.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 77cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Under | 72c | 29.37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Under | 77c | 28.68$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Under | 74c | 26$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.81 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 73c | 25.52$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 80 | 60%48 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb790…0dc1backed Under | 75c | 19.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…cd92backed Under | 73c | 19.18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 56cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…4cd2backed Under | 73c | 14.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5this page
- Rangers vs. PanthersPanthers won
- Rangers vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Rangers vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Rangers won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.