NHL · resolved market
Spread: Rangers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x290ae127c360da544f04141668dc6a6fa5c48b3cc4eb582607d8be9869765256
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Rangers, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,966
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf984…5098backed Rangers | 35c | 1,373$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.5 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Panthers | 65c | 1,218$791 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.17 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Rangers | 20c | 1,100$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e2…8a9bbacked Panthers | 67c | 880.52$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.48 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Rangers | 34c | 567.27$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.7 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcab…b9bbbacked Panthers | 80c | 522.27$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.03 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Panthers | 80c | 492.44$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.07 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Rangers | 20c | 440.21$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.04 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Panthers | 66c | 415.78$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.35 | 111 | 52.3%58 W · 53 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Rangers | 33c | 396.92$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.98 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Panthers | 65c | 374.62$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.45 | 177 | 61.6%109 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Rangers | 33c | 352.25$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.24 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Rangers | 33c | 318.51$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.08 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Panthers | 80c | 301.34$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.27 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Rangers | 20c | 221.49$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Panthers | 68c | 173.08$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.39 | 811 | 57.2%464 W · 347 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Rangers | 33c | 160.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.03 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Rangers | 18c | 150$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec9…2f29backed Panthers | 66c | 124.37$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +3.4wins | +0.20per pick | 50cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Rangers | 34c | 124.29$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.26 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Rangers | 18c | 123.66$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 323 | 53.9%174 W · 149 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Rangers | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Panthers | 80c | 107.69$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 253 | 45.5%115 W · 138 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Panthers | 65c | 80.02$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c04…2e2dbacked Panthers | 67c | 74.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 542 | 60.3%327 W · 215 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Panthers | 69c | 62.58$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 336 | 60.7%204 W · 132 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5f…2f5ebacked Panthers | 80c | 59.28$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Panthers | 68c | 58.85$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.83 | 230 | 63%145 W · 85 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Rangers | 35c | 54.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.22 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Panthers | 66c | 51.95$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.66 | 401 | 62.1%249 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Rangers | 31c | 51.76$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Panthers | 66c | 44.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 169 | 59.8%101 W · 68 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Rangers | 34c | 41.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.02 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00e…73fabacked Rangers | 35c | 38.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Rangers | 32c | 36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Panthers | 69c | 34.38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Panthers | 66c | 32.77$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Panthers | 80c | 32.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Panthers | 70c | 32.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.68 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Panthers | 67c | 30.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 690 | 61.6%425 W · 265 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50fd…ee77backed Panthers | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 227 | 63.4%144 W · 83 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe964…6519backed Panthers | 65c | 27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6f…f414backed Panthers | 66c | 21.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Panthers | 68c | 20.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 365 | 61.9%226 W · 139 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3e…7547backed Rangers | 67c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)this page
- Rangers vs. PanthersPanthers won
- Rangers vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Rangers vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Rangers vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Rangers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.