NHL · resolved market
Rangers vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa34d0118b590dd9eb854d4ea85aaf853270fe1ecebba955f03345800181164ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,701
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,819
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,701 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 57c | 3,561$2,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,029.52 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 43c | 1,412$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.75 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 43c | 945.35$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.35 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 43c | 795$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$453.15 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 43c | 500$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 43c | 399$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.75 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under | 40c | 369.91$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.05 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0ba…72b7backed Over | 58c | 290$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 46c | 288.37$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.25 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…df37backed Under | 43c | 288$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 39c | 258$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.58 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 57c | 256.84$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.41 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 59c | 248.37$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.14 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 66c | 209$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.44 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505a…bb61backed Over | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56eb…076abacked Over | 56c | 166.92$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Under | 31c | 155$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.95 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf50f…0586backed Over | 58c | 150$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 42c | 141.02$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.79 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Under | 43c | 139.53$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.53 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 59c | 132.2$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Over | 46c | 130$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.86 | 345 | 47.8%165 W · 180 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Over | 58c | 129.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 47c | 120$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 604 | 49.2%297 W · 307 L | -17.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97cf…ad38backed Over | 56c | 96.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 41c | 96$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Under | 60c | 91$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8afa…28f0backed Over | 59c | 85.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.34 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…abaebacked Over | 56c | 80.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…ab5dbacked Over | 56c | 77$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe76…fb1bbacked Over | 56c | 68$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf354…5645backed Over | 56c | 67.58$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.84 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe282…4681backed Over | 56c | 67.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…02acbacked Over | 56c | 64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fcb…0694backed Over | 56c | 64$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424d…b21dbacked Over | 56c | 60$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…d900backed Over | 56c | 57.1$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.98 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6001…0457backed Under | 43c | 55.67$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed Over | 56c | 55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 94 | 36.2%34 W · 60 L | -13.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under | 44c | 55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.8 | 90 | 52.2%47 W · 43 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…5ae8backed Over | 56c | 54.82$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0359…2572backed Over | 56c | 54.32$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 66c | 54.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…3f68backed Over | 56c | 53.8$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.13 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…88a0backed Over | 56c | 52.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.23 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…f549backed Over | 56c | 52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd6…df55backed Over | 56c | 50.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.38 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 70cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 427 | 50.8%217 W · 210 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 42c | 49.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 59c | 48.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.37 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 43c | 45$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4725…6253backed Over | 56c | 45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Under | 31c | 42.26$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.06 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb53…d21cbacked Under | 44c | 41.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.28 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14f0…19f2backed Over | 56c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…2632backed Over | 60c | 40.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 88 | 50%44 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dbf…8ed5backed Over | 56c | 39.35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf503…39e2backed Under | 40c | 39.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.56 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 67c | 38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4c…745bbacked Over | 56c | 37.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5e…8a41backed Under | 44c | 36.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x039d…390abacked Over | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38f9…0bffbacked Under | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…8932backed Over | 58c | 34.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.33per pick | 61cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1892…b7dcbacked Over | 56c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d69…cbc8backed Under | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…e021backed Under | 44c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.92 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f7…5ae3backed Under | 44c | 31.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +76.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d83…3ceabacked Under | 44c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.36 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…d4a1backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 40c | 26.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 1,140 | 51.5%587 W · 553 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x295f…48debacked Under | 44c | 26.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +104.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 46c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3131…c7edbacked Under | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e35…ff5abacked Under | 44c | 24.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x080f…d201backed Under | 44c | 23.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 46cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d22…a206backed Under | 44c | 23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Over | 66c | 20.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.66 | 123 | 57.7%71 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…235cbacked Over | 57c | 18.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5this page
- Rangers vs. PanthersPanthers won
- Rangers vs. Panthers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Rangers vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5Under won
- Rangers vs. Panthers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Rangers won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.