TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Rangers vs. Panthers: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$16,168
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$17,585

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,168 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1925…4654backed Under53c3,493$1,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,641.6111644.8%52 W · 64 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under53c2,556$1,364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,191.841,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over46c2,090$962 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.5741842.8%179 W · 239 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Over68c2,000$1,352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,351.6312152.9%64 W · 57 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under32c1,594$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,087.72,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over47c1,536$722 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$722.081,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over46c1,097$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.782,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under53c800$424 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37676950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c499.53$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.9182353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under53c487.06$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.9217761.6%109 W · 68 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9959…c137backed Under48c433.52$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.52944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under54c403.91$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.9125449.6%126 W · 128 L-15.0wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcec1…9c0cbacked Under58c343.19$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.9438551.4%198 W · 187 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x441d…544dbacked Over52c336.24$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.899431.9%30 W · 64 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over47c313.81$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.041,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x67ee…30e9backed Under54c288$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x986d…8223backed Over47c288$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over46c255.13$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.362,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x877b…16a7backed Under54c243$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dc6…43b3backed Over47c241$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34ca…9de7backed Under54c222.22$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.225457.4%31 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over49c221$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7389355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over46c213$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.9853849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x08f1…705cbacked Over47c175$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.2512551.2%64 W · 61 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x448d…3adebacked Under54c167$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.823053.3%16 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under54c150$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$695959.3%35 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Over47c150$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.56134.4%21 W · 40 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-26.7%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9093…188ebacked Over47c141$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2740%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Under55c136.64$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.6411253.6%60 W · 52 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf50f…0586backed Over47c134.04$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631526.7%4 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-46.5%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under54c128.52$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.126753.7%36 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under54c122.49$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.8192049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x23dc…7520backed Over47c121$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under50c120$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6060449.2%297 W · 307 L-17.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Over47c108.51$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5119141.9%80 W · 111 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x72a1…1950backed Over47c106.49$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010657.5%61 W · 45 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Over52c83.51$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.1921463.1%135 W · 79 L+16.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa734…f94dbacked Over47c73$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70fc…ab12backed Over42c71.43$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012152.1%63 W · 58 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over42c67.55$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5735551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x69ca…40adbacked Under54c66$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.365100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+48.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over42c65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.31,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over42c65$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.361848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over46c63.51$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.2126154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb5fd…b476backed Over45c56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.25345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a70…a50bbacked Under55c54.81$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.784037.5%15 W · 25 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb9fb…8feebacked Under54c51$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4619050.5%96 W · 94 L-0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Under54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2321155.5%117 W · 94 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4fc5…1ea2backed Under54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.035100%5 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x96c1…2c59backed Under54c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2318941.8%79 W · 110 L-10.2wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1683…6906backed Under53c50$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.57955.7%44 W · 35 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a0…9327backed Over47c43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d1e…49e9backed Over47c40$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ae5…bb4abacked Over48c38.37$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.36966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+34.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x57b5…f3efbacked Over47c38$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.86250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Under54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0421253.3%113 W · 99 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdca9…0898backed Under54c37.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.031963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc45d…de2fbacked Under55c36.36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3619548.2%94 W · 101 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa2f1…2d22backed Over46c35.72$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.438854.5%48 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over42c35.36$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8533363.7%212 W · 121 L+44.3wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xbc87…b568backed Over47c34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.9820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Under62c33.67$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9534547.8%165 W · 180 L-1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Over47c33.64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8145651.5%235 W · 221 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc046…ba92backed Over47c33$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5120%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under53c32.5$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2747753.9%257 W · 220 L+18.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under39c32.06$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.493,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3852…d35cbacked Over47c32$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd95e…3892backed Over47c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5720%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4583…858dbacked Over47c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Over56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.812357.7%71 W · 52 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33f…abcfbacked Over47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf32c…1a91backed Over47c29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.63450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x440b…7551backed Over46c27$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cf…7a0bbacked Over46c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f9e…2fd5backed Over47c25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.75366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Under54c25$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.511152.3%58 W · 53 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd464…a0ebbacked Under53c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.283100%3 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6094…d3f2backed Under53c24$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b7e…e5bcbacked Under53c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.812100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f57…2ecebacked Under53c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.81250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9089…0003backed Under53c23$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf503…39e2backed Under45c22.62$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.362352.2%12 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca71…340ebacked Under53c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbbee…bcc6backed Under53c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.34475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+44.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1a87…53a5backed Under53c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2b7…0ed5backed Over46c21.74$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Over50c21.57$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.85961%36 W · 23 L+4.0wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe26d…f9a8backed Under53c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.87333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under53c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.410851.9%56 W · 52 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under55c20$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9251343.3%222 W · 291 L-21.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.