TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x56eb…076a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
202
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT4957.1%28 W · 21 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 49 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$864Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$863.63
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$237.9
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$530
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,410Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$575.82
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,450Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+37%+$536.27
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$344.5
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$158.12
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$1,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,177.9
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$570
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-8.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$459.77
St. John's Red Storm vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$840Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$840
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-7.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$535Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$456
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$42.42
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$579.99
Texas Longhorns vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$560Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$186.52
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-8.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$490
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-12.5)backed Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$450Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$450
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)backed Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$446Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$545.24
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$496Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+100%+$495.63
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$645Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$347.21
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$258Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$237.9
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.9
St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawksbacked St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$197.24
Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)backed St. John's Red Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.77
Showing 25 of 49 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT4665.2%30 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$7,489Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+176.7%+$13,229.73
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,160Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$840
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$37,998Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$25,377.15
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$750
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,405Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$801.81
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$2,281Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,280.94
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,780Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$1,220
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$326.09
Another Iranian diplomat expelled by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,252Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+34%+$425.53
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.89
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$190.74
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$22,287Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$8,525.32
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$5,051Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$2,190.95
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$8,916Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$2,844.45
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13,188Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+35.2%+$4,648.24
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$22,350Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$5,775.38
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,862Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,861.76
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$1,525Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,524.73
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$8,747Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+28.4%+$2,484.99
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$83.63
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$28,842Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$28,841.79
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35,851Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35,850.97
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,900Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$3,100
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$65,022Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+50.2%+$32,618.71
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$706Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.5%+$286.28
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT2152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+38.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Balusters" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,035Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$787.61
Will "Liberation" win Best Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$6,429Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+37.9%+$2,436.02
Will "John Lithgow" win Best Leading Actor in a Play at the 2026 Tony Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+79.2%+$81.77
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$10,963Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+57.7%+$6,325.79
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.99
Will Wagner Moura win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$167Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$166.8
Will The Perfect Neighbor win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$4,579Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,579.37
Will Sentimental Value win Best International Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$2,010Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$989.97
Will The Devil Is Busy win Best Documentary Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$563Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$563.08
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,106Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$621.95
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$1,619.97
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$4,688Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$3,605.26
Will Jane Austen's Period Drama win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.8
Will A Friend of Dorothy win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$727Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$726.79
Will Sinners win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,079.99
Will One Battle After Another win Best Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$876Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+533.7%+$4,676.41
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$5,185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,185.47
Will The Girl Who Cried Pearls win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$565Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+370.3%+$2,091.82
Will Wunmi Mosaku win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$585.46
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$459Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+117.9%+$541
Will Erin Doherty win Best Actress in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$296.68
All 21 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT2065%13 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+14.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$600
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$915Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$915
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$331Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$331.46
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$560Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$559.99
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+57.3%+$21.84
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 14.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$153
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$924.41
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$530Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$470
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athleticsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$819.95
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$185
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$482Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$216.52
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$409.98
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$860Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$1,140
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$360
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$945Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$554.98
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$340
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$620Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$380
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 27, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.1wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Scotland advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$344.97
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$705Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$295
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Spread: Norway (-2.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Spread: Norway (-1.5)backed Iraq · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$340
Spread: France (-1.5)backed Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$610Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$610
Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$205
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$650
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$380Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$380
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$550Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$450
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$869.99
Will United States win on 2026-06-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,010Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,010
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$160
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Spread: Mexico (-1.5)backed South Africa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
All 16 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,344Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$1,655.98
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$659Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$339.42
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,240.3
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,225Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+91.4%+$4,775
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Eastern Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$8,873Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+43.7%+$3,877.5
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$9,050Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+65.7%+$5,950
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,179.93
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Wild vs. Stars backed Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$494.39
Utah vs. Golden Knightsbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$123
NHL Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Avalanche vs. Kings backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$552Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$552.4
Rangers vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.48
Capitals vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$245
Devils vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
All 13 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+42.9%+$300
Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$837Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+216.2%+$1,810.3
Will Germany win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,036Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+34.3%+$1,041.79
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$4,481Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$4,481.37
Will Germany win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$266.56
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,950Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+39.2%+$1,550
Will Slovakia win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$189
Will Sweden win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Men's Quarterfinals - USA vs. Swedenbacked Sweden · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$430.4
Men's Quarterfinals - Finland vs. Switzerlandbacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,350Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+49.3%+$665
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jun 22, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid+28.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$3,782Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+35.2%+$1,330.34
Spread: Indiana (-8.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$2,450Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$2,450
Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$255Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$255
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$630Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+58.7%+$370
All 4 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Patriots win the AFC Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$237Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$237.49
49ers vs. Eagles: O/U 44.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$480
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$62,286Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+33.8%+$21,022
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.