TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Miami vs. Indiana: O/U 46.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$178,015
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$194,712

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $178,015 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf1f4…544cbacked Under52c100,005$52,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,002.89825%2 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Over48c36,661$17,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,063.9716234%55 W · 107 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c36,458$17,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,958.3326244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed Under50c15,229$7,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,625.861936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over48c15,000$7,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,80052641.8%220 W · 306 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x783c…6900backed Over50c10,000$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,000250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Over48c9,777$4,693 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,083.95560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9201…e578backed Under48c9,021$4,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,344.84728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Under51c6,000$3,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,039.995238.5%20 W · 32 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-26.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa676…a4c5backed Over10c5,471$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,938.1812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick26cpaid+28.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xae0f…f647backed Over29c5,080$1,479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,601.93342.4%14 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,500944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b22…c59cbacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,5001050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a51…b384backed Under65c4,482$2,911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,910.9930%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Under50c4,207$2,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,103.514429.5%13 W · 31 L-7.0wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-36%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over49c3,896$1,909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,987.0438142.5%162 W · 219 L-10.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bb0…ca79backed Under52c2,886$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-57.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under74c2,400$1,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,769.9926940.5%109 W · 160 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Over37c1,750$655 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,09586243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over48c1,750$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9101861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Under75c1,377$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.4210047%47 W · 53 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9925…e33ebacked Over50c1,200$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.834641.3%19 W · 27 L-6.4wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-23.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5001172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.5wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+39.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Over37c745.94$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.941361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x44bc…c53ebacked Over46c709.37$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.69825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-49.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c692.44$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.652,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a74…de59backed Under71c685.9$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.05650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf673…68ecbacked Under51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56eb…076abacked Under51c500$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over38c497.36$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.362263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xadc5…e2afbacked Over48c467.34$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.02333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…cd5dbacked Over40c444$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.45137.3%19 W · 32 L-7.4wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-37.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf688…9595backed Over50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2002100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick63cpaid+66.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Over49c307.24$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.8348546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xce6d…28b5backed Over49c306.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.1210944%48 W · 61 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8b02…f3d9backed Over33c303.03$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.033432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca5…e6c9backed Over7c300$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+269.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8214…ef72backed Over50c202.34$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.172763%17 W · 10 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2696…c031backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+36.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Over49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8479…37f8backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84d9…76dbbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0cd…b74cbacked Over38c200$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12425819.8%51 W · 207 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick24cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd4c6…c30dbacked Under51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b22…107fbacked Over50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dc0…099dbacked Over50c128$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f3d…fadabacked Under51c117.65$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-62.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf891…d3b6backed Over48c117$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.84450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x399d…abccbacked Over37c115$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.75450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb3…38f6backed Over36c111.2$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+39%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec95…7332backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b05…b227backed Under51c98.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9371…3aecbacked Under51c95.1$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf746…320fbacked Over49c85.71$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.71837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4855…6a41backed Over49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.63250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d48…48e0backed Over49c72.88$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.37650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c05…fabfbacked Under76c72$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.7220%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x971c…f72cbacked Over50c70$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa26f…4b98backed Over50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe97…89e1backed Over50c58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65b3…7fc9backed Over48c50.18$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.09450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed Over78c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3f…7fecbacked Over49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.55100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+95.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb589…33d4backed Under22c50$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113748.6%18 W · 19 L+6.4wins+0.17per pick31cpaid+72.1%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x8ceb…baefbacked Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+50%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3299…c118backed Under51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa79…04d7backed Over44c45.18$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f55…bae8backed Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203751.4%19 W · 18 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8ec5…946abacked Over50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce0…5cb9backed Over44c39.87$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.241100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb2…723ebacked Over50c39.6$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f06…2614backed Over31c39.39$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.281283.3%10 W · 2 L+3.0wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+49.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Under50c39.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.55875%6 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.27per pick48cpaid+44.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Over50c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.5450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed85…bfacbacked Over50c35.18$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5215…3164backed Over35c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+48.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x060f…cf8bbacked Over50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x201c…58bfbacked Over49c28.7$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.642352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf602…c172backed Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb18b…dc0dbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xedfd…ce8fbacked Over50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x128f…47afbacked Under76c16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.16250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick75cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea10…a070backed Under75c13.62$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.27250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.