TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

College Football · resolved market

Spread: Indiana (-8.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Miamiof Indiana, Miami
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$392,373
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$412,475

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $392,373 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in College Football
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdc87…7ab6backed Miami53c141,479$74,539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66,940.261936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-28.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Indiana46c123,400$56,438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56,437.8910848.1%52 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Indiana46c43,780$20,177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,176.63658.3%21 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+18%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x50be…371bbacked Miami54c28,056$15,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,905.562462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x226b…cad6backed Indiana50c26,082$12,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,919.5212746.5%59 W · 68 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Miami55c23,642$12,905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,737.292766.7%18 W · 9 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+27.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Indiana46c20,399$9,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,401.7948546.8%227 W · 258 L-2.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xafba…e61bbacked Indiana45c18,617$8,378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,377.83342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Indiana48c14,500$6,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,980.2739954.1%216 W · 183 L+16.7wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd8f4…efebbacked Indiana50c13,395$6,631 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,631.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac0a…f89ebacked Miami55c13,000$7,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,850560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13ff…16a3backed Miami52c11,583$6,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,538.57450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Indiana49c10,000$4,853 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,853.138448.8%41 W · 43 L+6.8wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Miami51c10,000$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,899.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1b3…0329backed Miami54c9,259$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,259.26683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick42cpaid+112.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8a51…b384backed Indiana56c8,976$4,988 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,987.7730%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Miami54c8,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,6803060%18 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc021…1fa8backed Indiana47c7,997$3,779 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,778.71145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x19ed…6dc8backed Miami54c7,707$4,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,571.23650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd098…8c03backed Miami50c6,777$3,389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,388.67250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Miami53c6,740$3,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,198.3817655.1%97 W · 79 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Miami55c6,273$3,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,822.731258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Indiana46c6,244$2,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,872.44540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Miami54c6,000$3,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,7603158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.2wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Indiana55c5,357$2,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,920.0626244.3%116 W · 146 L-1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56eb…076abacked Indiana49c5,000$2,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,450450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf800…f62dbacked Miami55c4,436$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,996.366656.1%37 W · 29 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Miami54c4,330$2,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,002.712,01349.6%999 W · 1,014 L+24.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ac4…3081backed Indiana46c4,000$1,840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840850%4 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Miami57c2,519$1,431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.461361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0af5…2470backed Indiana46c2,500$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-10.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Miami54c2,500$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1509051.1%46 W · 44 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Miami51c2,498$1,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,224.244163.4%26 W · 15 L+5.4wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x15f4…c17fbacked Miami54c2,362$1,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+86.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a45…41f6backed Miami54c2,249$1,212 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.292540%10 W · 15 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-18.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Indiana46c2,135$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9822343.5%10 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Indiana46c2,083$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.7486243.7%377 W · 485 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Miami41c2,073$840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,233.0614836.5%54 W · 94 L-11.5wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa51…a910backed Indiana49c2,039$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-27.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2b49…d0dfbacked Miami52c2,025$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.62450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd89e…35fabacked Miami52c2,000$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.081080%8 W · 2 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+56.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Miami50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,000862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick41cpaid+24.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf26…6fe2backed Indiana47c1,915$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9001735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Miami54c1,853$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$852.292347.8%11 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Indiana50c1,840$920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Indiana60c1,831$1,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,095.830%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Miami55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.187136.6%26 W · 45 L-7.1wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-26.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x09ad…819ebacked Miami55c1,818$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$818.18785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.4wins+0.35per pick51cpaid+55%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Miami54c1,690$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784.8138450.5%194 W · 190 L+6.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ca…d984backed Miami54c1,667$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.673357.6%19 W · 14 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xebc0…fa41backed Indiana65c1,599$1,038 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,038.115451.9%80 W · 74 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f10…76b3backed Miami52c1,500$780 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7202100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+115.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9201…e578backed Indiana61c1,496$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.52728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Indiana69c1,411$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.23641.7%15 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe796…7f5ebacked Indiana44c1,193$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522.6320%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f90…a473backed Indiana46c1,189$547 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Indiana47c1,048$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.7258850.2%295 W · 293 L+23.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Miami46c1,000$456 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5443330.3%10 W · 23 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4022…15fdbacked Indiana49c1,000$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-21.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f4…5bc0backed Indiana67c972$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.2430%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x43d7…dca3backed Miami52c961.54$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.543141.9%13 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Indiana46c920$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.21741.2%7 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick36cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe216…7448backed Miami55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.098627.9%24 W · 62 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x357b…0b65backed Miami55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Indiana49c768.7$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.145637.5%21 W · 35 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x561d…94bebacked Indiana47c722.15$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.412045%9 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9916…bcb2backed Miami64c700$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+35%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbe78…c533backed Indiana46c700$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+35.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8046…a845backed Indiana47c699.99$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$329333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-29.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe544…3cfcbacked Indiana49c600$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2942653.8%14 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ea7…657ebacked Indiana51c527.91$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.23714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-79.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked Miami53c514.72$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.928948.3%43 W · 46 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf9d…3ea9backed Miami58c504.26$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$214.264755.3%26 W · 21 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb98b…7e18backed Miami53c500$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23513432.8%44 W · 90 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25a1…67b0backed Miami51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$245666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+18.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9bd…8469backed Indiana47c500$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2353647.2%17 W · 19 L+3.9wins+0.11per pick36cpaid+45.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf339…e010backed Indiana46c500$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2307245.8%33 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02f7…b17abacked Miami55c490$270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.58845.5%40 W · 48 L-5.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9371…3aecbacked Miami55c487.66$266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221.64650%3 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Miami44c460$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.42263.6%14 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+22.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e57…2bf6backed Miami52c442.42$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.363100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe504…600ebacked Indiana47c425.53$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3d5…b033backed Indiana48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Indiana49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008752.9%46 W · 41 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde18…83bcbacked Indiana49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Miami54c400$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.0wins+0.34per pick55cpaid+65.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd59e…e640backed Miami52c397.27$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x892b…d315backed Miami52c386.82$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd637…be9abacked Miami53c385$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.955856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf263…e9c1backed Miami54c368.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.821546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x811c…490dbacked Miami30c322.4$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.68250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fdd…23d8backed Indiana47c319.17$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.01366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+85.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4c03…f8bebacked Miami53c319.14$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.991741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe3ed…e29fbacked Miami52c318.83$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.043100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+76%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6367…a485backed Indiana47c300.76$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x740b…1d47backed Miami55c290.91$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.914047.5%19 W · 21 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e62…b22ebacked Indiana49c285.04$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.46825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-65.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba0d…9a6ebacked Indiana47c276.6$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick56cpaid-36.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a2d…42ffbacked Indiana49c261.22$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Indiana46c260.87$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1209250%46 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.