TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9ea7…657e

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
48
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst College Football at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-47.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: North Texas Mean Green (-16.5)backed North Texas Mean Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+108.3%+$91
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. George Mason Patriotsbacked George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$149.98
Wichita State Shockers vs. South Florida Bullsbacked South Florida Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$357Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$357.2
Florida Atlantic Owls vs. Temple Owlsbacked Temple Owls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$138.4
Spread: Georgia Southern Eagles (-6.5)backed Georgia Southern Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$98
Spread: Mercer Bears (-9.5)backed Mercer Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Canisius Golden Griffins vs. Manhattan Jaspersbacked Canisius Golden Griffins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+93.1%+$81.97
Texas State Bobcats vs. Southern Miss Golden Eaglesbacked Texas State Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$175.33
North Alabama Lions vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonelsbacked North Alabama Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$129.6
San Diego State Aztecs vs. Nevada Wolf Packbacked Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$86.7
George Washington Revolutionaries vs. Dayton Flyersbacked George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$55.5
Duke Blue Devils vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$77.2
IU Indy Jaguars vs. Cleveland State Vikingsbacked IU Indy Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$24
Marist Red Foxes vs. Quinnipiac Bobcatsbacked Quinnipiac Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+39.8%+$85.81
All 14 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1338.5%5 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-34.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+78.6%+$110
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$238Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$238.44
Spread: Eagles (-4.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$318
Bills vs. Jaguarsbacked Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$198.25
Spread: Bills (-4.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+33.3%+$31.25
Spread: Bills (-3.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$220
Spread: Bills (-2.5)backed Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+78.6%+$89.41
Bills vs. Jaguars: O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$235
Spread: Rams (-14.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$278.2
Commanders vs. Eaglesbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+92.3%+$153.6
Chiefs vs. Raidersbacked Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$147.88
Browns vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$138.9
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$58.75
All 13 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST1163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+91.7%+$203.25
Lakers vs. Pelicansbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$102.5
Spurs vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+35.1%+$130
Spread: Magic (-7.5)backed Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+104.1%+$39.93
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$162Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+54.6%+$88.25
Hornets vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$230
Knicks vs. Pistonsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Spread: Lakers (-4.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$306Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$306
Hornets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+38.9%+$56
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+38.9%+$195.43
Knicks vs. Pelicansbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$229Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+66.7%+$152.34
All 11 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.5wins-0.35per pick50cpaid-79.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
College Football — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+120.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+108.3%+$13
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)backed Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+132.6%+$171
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Australian Open Men's: Adrian Mannarino vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Mannarino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.