TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

North Alabama Lions vs. Eastern Kentucky Colonels

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Eastern Kentucky Colonelsof North Alabama Lions, Eastern Kentucky Colonels
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$11,464
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$11,361

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,464 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe401…7b88backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels60c1,993$1,199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$794.193,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed North Alabama Lions27c1,731$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.942327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels70c1,500$1,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.995152.9%27 W · 24 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-15.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked North Alabama Lions16c859$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.271,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed North Alabama Lions30c797.42$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.231,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels71c690.52$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.251,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels79c659.99$519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.42,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3da4…28d7backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels78c549.24$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.9115861.4%97 W · 61 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+0.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked North Alabama Lions29c497.36$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked North Alabama Lions33c408.33$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.734,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels56c389$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.3272248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaad7…5557backed North Alabama Lions32c320.15$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.4511536.5%42 W · 73 L-6.4wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels66c266.43$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.332,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed North Alabama Lions30c256.05$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.41,63347.3%773 W · 860 L+25.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ea7…657ebacked North Alabama Lions54c240$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.61428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-47.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked North Alabama Lions42c232.35$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.251,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels48c185.5$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.513,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed North Alabama Lions27c151$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.431,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed North Alabama Lions31c146.02$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.012,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa024…4929backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels71c118$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.225364.2%34 W · 19 L+6.1wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels77c111$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2536942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed North Alabama Lions37c107.77$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.7845644.5%203 W · 253 L-16.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed North Alabama Lions47c107.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.472,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked North Alabama Lions30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6dca…a7acbacked North Alabama Lions21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2125254.8%138 W · 114 L-15.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-16.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed North Alabama Lions30c80.06$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked North Alabama Lions24c75.87$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.084,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57d5…0bbdbacked North Alabama Lions21c73.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5757335.6%204 W · 369 L-27.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-20.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c34…c8b8backed North Alabama Lions30c66$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.814339.9%57 W · 86 L-0.7wins0.00per pick40cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7216…0d67backed North Alabama Lions37c65.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.3418241.2%75 W · 107 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed North Alabama Lions42c63$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.162,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels73c56$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.9361446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed North Alabama Lions28c55.89$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8866831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed North Alabama Lions24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.912840.6%52 W · 76 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6e2c…787cbacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels68c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.422552.9%119 W · 106 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels78c17.3$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.875,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xed3f…0ab8backed Eastern Kentucky Colonels71c16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.648050%40 W · 40 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c8…9ebabacked Eastern Kentucky Colonels71c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.