TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Bucks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Bucksof Hornets, Bucks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,275,366
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,331,242

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,275,366 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 823 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb27…c56ebacked Hornets33c159,134$52,018 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,017.8487144.7%389 W · 482 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Hornets33c116,040$38,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,293.187451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b6c…6305backed Hornets33c85,127$27,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,971.987941.8%33 W · 46 L+3.8wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+20.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Bucks68c51,725$35,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,558.951,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Bucks67c50,543$33,857 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,685.571,37450.1%689 W · 685 L+34.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Bucks43c49,351$21,066 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28,284.911,00334.7%348 W · 655 L-44.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-35.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb889…a430backed Bucks67c40,000$26,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,2009263%58 W · 34 L+9.8wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8cbb…acb2backed Bucks67c39,900$26,730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,17089050.4%449 W · 441 L+4.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Hornets51c39,756$20,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,441.472,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c16…09cbbacked Bucks67c34,881$23,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,338.4813248.5%64 W · 68 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed Hornets53c32,285$17,191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,191.2213260.6%80 W · 52 L+14.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+17.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc946…1825backed Bucks67c30,000$20,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,899.975259.6%31 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc94a…9401backed Bucks67c28,423$19,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,379.7340350.1%202 W · 201 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed Bucks62c25,671$16,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,634.491,04549%512 W · 533 L+21.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Bucks43c24,302$10,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,901.811,09640.9%448 W · 648 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Bucks55c17,500$9,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,922.731,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa21…1438backed Hornets44c17,402$7,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,710.0816848.2%81 W · 87 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Bucks67c16,300$10,921 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,37914358.7%84 W · 59 L+12.9wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x8c10…8977backed Bucks67c15,122$10,162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,960.2862347.7%297 W · 326 L-9.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe734…8f6abacked Bucks67c15,001$10,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,957.7119150.8%97 W · 94 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Bucks67c15,000$10,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,9502,15351.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L+76.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3d26…be09backed Hornets68c14,733$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,000333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick74cpaid-55.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Hornets57c12,568$7,192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,192.364,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc58d…9373backed Hornets61c11,111$6,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,777.7128241.1%116 W · 166 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe258…2330backed Hornets33c11,000$3,630 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,629.9923245.3%105 W · 127 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Bucks40c10,451$4,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,223.841,40940.2%567 W · 842 L-40.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d3b…c46bbacked Hornets33c10,126$3,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,341.497745.5%35 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Bucks45c10,043$4,513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,529.511,19032%381 W · 809 L-58.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-34.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Bucks67c9,099$6,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,014.6972450.7%367 W · 357 L+13.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83ab…3d56backed Bucks67c8,000$5,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6409343%40 W · 53 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks67c7,500$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,499.984,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Hornets33c7,000$2,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,31045850.4%231 W · 227 L+11.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Bucks42c6,870$2,896 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,973.91,26944.5%565 W · 704 L+32.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Bucks48c6,834$3,274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,559.3881529.4%240 W · 575 L-37.0wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Hornets36c6,535$2,351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,351.4248845.3%221 W · 267 L+18.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Bucks34c6,494$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,293.861,05549.9%526 W · 529 L+29.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Bucks39c6,078$2,372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,706.53,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x414b…73bcbacked Hornets33c6,067$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00014753.1%78 W · 69 L+8.6wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Bucks41c5,886$2,436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,450.211,34129.9%401 W · 940 L-53.8wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b3b…a84abacked Bucks49c5,672$2,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,912.542462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf51…4a30backed Bucks71c5,603$4,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,602.576746.4%356 W · 411 L-16.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a44…a73ebacked Hornets32c5,432$1,738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,738.241435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Hornets34c5,000$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70038434.9%134 W · 250 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Bucks67c4,821$3,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,590.932,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bucks66c4,546$3,012 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,533.619,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x219d…db61backed Bucks63c4,431$2,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,660.423043.3%13 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-11.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Bucks55c4,396$2,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,999.7161939.6%245 W · 374 L-17.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Bucks42c4,388$1,851 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,537.0889444.4%397 W · 497 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Bucks67c4,083$2,736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.682,51249.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L+6.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…cca9backed Hornets33c4,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,32020551.2%105 W · 100 L+8.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x842e…d9f5backed Hornets69c3,779$2,620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,619.953351.5%17 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Hornets33c3,665$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,214.482,09147.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L-56.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Hornets69c3,623$2,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,492.6447949.7%238 W · 241 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4a3…0848backed Bucks56c3,555$1,982 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5737149.3%35 W · 36 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Hornets57c3,483$1,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,993.8347856.7%271 W · 207 L+11.6wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x98a3…d61ebacked Bucks63c3,424$2,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.2322449.1%110 W · 114 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Bucks48c3,424$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,774.615,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0621…13d1backed Hornets32c3,410$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,091.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick40cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6884…6ccfbacked Bucks40c3,250$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,95039051.5%201 W · 189 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Hornets34c3,235$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,10046632.6%152 W · 314 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd08…ee64backed Bucks73c3,138$2,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$836.94966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Hornets55c3,060$1,669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,668.658,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Bucks67c3,060$2,050 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,009.75971.2%42 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+17%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Hornets62c3,027$1,872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,872.113,12044.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L-7.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Bucks67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99017250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3505…f7a3backed Bucks67c2,985$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.077455.4%41 W · 33 L-5.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a09…db1cbacked Bucks67c2,985$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$985.073452.9%18 W · 16 L-3.6wins-0.11per pick64cpaid-16.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Bucks37c2,930$1,093 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,836.7416130.4%49 W · 112 L-6.8wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ee4…80f2backed Bucks71c2,897$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$839.13161.3%19 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8df…6df7backed Hornets33c2,779$917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$917.147745.5%35 W · 42 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03f9…f78ebacked Bucks37c2,744$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,733.813339.1%52 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d9d…e6c3backed Bucks44c2,660$1,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,487.957140.8%29 W · 42 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f16…0246backed Bucks44c2,519$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,410.7538649.5%191 W · 195 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Bucks67c2,500$1,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8251,66752.7%878 W · 789 L+45.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Hornets62c2,474$1,544 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,544.371,20051.6%619 W · 581 L+66.5wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc11d…0299backed Hornets71c2,446$1,740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,740.44264.3%27 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x660a…3e86backed Hornets61c2,400$1,464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4641553.3%8 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Bucks46c2,360$1,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,273.195,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ec…e8f1backed Hornets34c2,353$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80024831.9%79 W · 169 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Bucks67c2,300$1,541 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7592,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Bucks67c2,002$1,346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.5844459.7%265 W · 179 L+12.4wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Hornets34c2,000$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68064139%250 W · 391 L+2.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3225…165fbacked Bucks67c2,000$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6701258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+38.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x28cd…8934backed Hornets33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-51.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Hornets33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66038649.7%192 W · 194 L+10.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Hornets33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66043348.5%210 W · 223 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Hornets33c2,000$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65521538.1%82 W · 133 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01b4…372ebacked Hornets4c2,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8029810.4%31 W · 267 L+22.5wins+0.08per pick3cpaid+230.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4137…586cbacked Bucks67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.9947043.8%206 W · 264 L-22.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Bucks53c1,927$1,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$910.841,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3eb6…2abbbacked Hornets3c1,900$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578512.9%11 W · 74 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick7cpaid+61.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Hornets55c1,863$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.183,59150.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L+21.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Hornets57c1,733$987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$987.313464.2%86 W · 48 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Bucks48c1,676$807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.883,34243.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L+81.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a07…923fbacked Bucks52c1,609$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.2317458%101 W · 73 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Hornets18c1,575$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$290.7739018.2%71 W · 319 L+27.6wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+62.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdddc…ced2backed Hornets64c1,563$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00012541.6%52 W · 73 L+6.3wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b4c…be98backed Hornets32c1,552$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.64425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-62.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Bucks67c1,528$1,024 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.368748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Hornets53c1,517$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$800.4266744.5%297 W · 370 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.