NBA · resolved market
Spread: Bucks (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf8f7c4617c4fb6b144d73963ec39abcf7cebf93cf62239f02a1095bba5be8f96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hornetsof Bucks, Hornets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $182,080
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,080 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Hornets | 49c | 145,810$70,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,896.53 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Bucks | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,500 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb889…a430backed Bucks | 52c | 40,000$20,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,800 | 92 | 63%58 W · 34 L | +9.8wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Bucks | 51c | 20,700$10,557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,557 | 593 | 47%279 W · 314 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Bucks | 51c | 13,726$6,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,987.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Bucks | 52c | 10,048$5,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,216.52 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a8…a48ebacked Bucks | 51c | 5,626$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869.09 | 143 | 58.7%84 W · 59 L | +12.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Bucks | 51c | 4,707$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.55 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Bucks | 51c | 4,500$2,295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bucks | 52c | 4,316$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,244.53 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bucks | 50c | 3,275$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.47 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Hornets | 50c | 3,158$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Bucks | 8c | 3,030$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.39 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b4…de82backed Hornets | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.98 | 587 | 40%235 W · 352 L | +24.3wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Hornets | 49c | 2,292$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.96 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee20…5b37backed Bucks | 8c | 2,036$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.89 | 503 | 47.9%241 W · 262 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Bucks | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 132 | 60.6%80 W · 52 L | +14.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Bucks | 51c | 1,771$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.57 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c7…2e93backed Hornets | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800.1 | 211 | 52.6%111 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 10c | 1,019$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478f…f5d9backed Bucks | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 220 | 35.5%78 W · 142 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Bucks | 51c | 600$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Bucks | 52c | 533$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.16 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1244…c851backed Bucks | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 218 | 58.7%128 W · 90 L | +17.1wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Bucks | 52c | 250$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x247c…9961backed Bucks | 52c | 230.38$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Hornets | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Hornets | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Hornets | 49c | 203.63$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.63 | 354 | 47.7%169 W · 185 L | -10.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Bucks | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf79a…56c2backed Hornets | 50c | 164$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Bucks | 50c | 160$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 344 | 51.5%177 W · 167 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Bucks | 52c | 134.62$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Bucks | 50c | 110.35$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.17 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Bucks | 47c | 102.93$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bucks | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9b…bc4abacked Bucks | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 378 | 50.3%190 W · 188 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Hornets | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15e3…009fbacked Bucks | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Hornets | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 658 | 55.6%366 W · 292 L | +27.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87ae…811bbacked Bucks | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 45.7%80 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked Bucks | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,661 | 50.3%836 W · 825 L | -14.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Bucks | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aed…00e4backed Bucks | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Bucks | 26c | 75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Bucks | 51c | 68.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 377 | 55.7%210 W · 167 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Bucks | 50c | 62.7$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.35 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Bucks | 35c | 60$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.78 | 623 | 49.6%309 W · 314 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc599…2cecbacked Bucks | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 734 | 45.5%334 W · 400 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Bucks | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 717 | 47.6%341 W · 376 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a31…152cbacked Hornets | 49c | 59.16$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 484 | 51.2%248 W · 236 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f2…625bbacked Bucks | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0f…1ecdbacked Hornets | 62c | 56.41$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.41 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392c…bb64backed Bucks | 37c | 56.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bucks | 46c | 54.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bef…b7c2backed Bucks | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe70c…c938backed Hornets | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 745 | 47.2%352 W · 393 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Bucks | 51c | 49.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Bucks | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 317 | 54.6%173 W · 144 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Bucks | 50c | 48$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 342 | 54.1%185 W · 157 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d61…d43cbacked Bucks | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 288 | 52.8%152 W · 136 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa97e…7753backed Bucks | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 204 | 56.4%115 W · 89 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Bucks | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Bucks | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 331 | 47.4%157 W · 174 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd07…cb4ebacked Bucks | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 201 | 43.3%87 W · 114 L | -12.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Bucks | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 408 | 53.7%219 W · 189 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb0…e845backed Bucks | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed Bucks | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 202 | 41.1%83 W · 119 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3839…a64dbacked Bucks | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +7.9wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +48%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Bucks | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 340 | 53.8%183 W · 157 L | +16.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Bucks | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 366 | 51.4%188 W · 178 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Bucks | 50c | 36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 315 | 51.1%161 W · 154 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets | 63c | 32.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Hornets | 47c | 31.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Hornets | 48c | 30.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.66 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0e…4049backed Bucks | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc59c…6c14backed Bucks | 52c | 28.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Bucks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +20.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Bucks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 237 | 53.6%127 W · 110 L | +8.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Bucks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 273 | 50.9%139 W · 134 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Bucks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 220 | 48.6%107 W · 113 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Bucks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 326 | 49.7%162 W · 164 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Bucks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 312 | 50.3%157 W · 155 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Bucks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 238 | 50.8%121 W · 117 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Bucks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 272 | 51.1%139 W · 133 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Bucks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 252 | 50.8%128 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Bucks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 318 | 52.2%166 W · 152 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Bucks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 479 | 48%230 W · 249 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Bucks | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 271 | 50.2%136 W · 135 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Hornets | 49c | 23.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.12 | 2,208 | 46.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Bucks | 51c | 20.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.63 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1941…c47fbacked Bucks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Bucks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Bucks | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 149 | 53%79 W · 70 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb95e…c6d6backed Bucks | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…c3c9backed Bucks | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Hornets | 51c | 19.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Bucks (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Hornets won
- Hornets vs. BucksBucks won
- Hornets vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spread: Bucks (-6.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.