NBA · resolved market
Hornets vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8013038c78ee99dde4a50f077a09284f15505ed312c9a6fea7e1c0da5ec11abb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,922
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,929
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,922 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Over | 49c | 26,319$12,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,373.48 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80a8backed Over | 48c | 15,000$7,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,800 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7258…b1dbbacked Under | 52c | 15,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 51c | 13,574$6,884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,884.27 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 49c | 9,221$4,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,528.3 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 51c | 6,877$3,504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,372.76 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0352…3292backed Under | 49c | 6,325$3,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,104.41 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 52c | 3,013$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 51c | 2,005$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,022.5 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Over | 47c | 1,700$799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901 | 491 | 42.6%209 W · 282 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under | 53c | 1,415$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 653 | 39.5%258 W · 395 L | -24.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Under | 53c | 1,084$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.29 | 434 | 53.2%231 W · 203 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…0a77backed Over | 51c | 1,022$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.57 | 157 | 56.7%89 W · 68 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8333…eb93backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 51c | 818.28$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.96 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Under | 50c | 800$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Under | 48c | 699.96$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.59 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Over | 50c | 698.51$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.26 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Under | 51c | 589$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.39 | 406 | 48%195 W · 211 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Under | 51c | 510.04$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.04 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 54c | 462.96$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.96 | 462 | 58.2%269 W · 193 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 400 | 35.5%142 W · 258 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 51c | 360$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Under | 50c | 343$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.5 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Over | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 48c | 292$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.16 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Under | 51c | 280.77$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Over | 52c | 263.91$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.95 | 1,294 | 48.1%623 W · 671 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 53c | 252.5$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.93 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Over | 51c | 235.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.29 | 229 | 53.7%123 W · 106 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 50c | 200$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…6207backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x042a…7f4cbacked Under | 55c | 182.75$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.51 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 50c | 144.85$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.42 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 334 | 42.8%143 W · 191 L | -17.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Over | 51c | 104.56$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.11 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Under | 50c | 86.53$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.27 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.11 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Under | 48c | 80$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d28…7a6dbacked Over | 48c | 76.19$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 938 | 49.7%466 W · 472 L | +36.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…39fcbacked Under | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 231 | 53.2%123 W · 108 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Over | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7602…2775backed Under | 49c | 48.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 506 | 48%243 W · 263 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 233 | 48.9%114 W · 119 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b99…c42bbacked Under | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Over | 48c | 36$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Under | 48c | 36$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 876 | 47.5%416 W · 460 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Under | 48c | 33.85$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed Over | 47c | 26.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 222 | 47.3%105 W · 117 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587f…1d4abacked Under | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf16c…d8d2backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hornets vs. Bucks: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Bucks (-3.5)Hornets won
- Hornets vs. BucksBucks won
- Hornets vs. Bucks: 1H MoneylineHornets won
- Hornets vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 112.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Bucks: 1H O/U 113.5Under won
- Hornets vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Hornets vs. Bucks: O/U 233.5Over won
- Spread: Bucks (-5.5)Hornets won
- Spread: Bucks (-6.5)Hornets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.