TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x587f…1d4a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: South American Leagues, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category South American Leagues at 55 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT2944.8%13 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Devin Booker win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.86
Warriors vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$15.8
Trail Blazers vs. Grizzliesbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.32
Warriors vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15.25
Wizards vs. Hawksbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.85
Celtics vs. Lakersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+85.2%+$14.33
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+78.6%+$10.38
Grizzlies vs. Warriorsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Pacers vs. Raptorsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$32.14
Rockets vs. Thunderbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+143.9%+$37.92
Nets vs. Magicbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Timberwolves vs. Raptorsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+75.4%+$22.93
Jazz vs. Pacersbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$14.4
Kings vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+108.3%+$14.41
Lakers vs. Cavaliersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.11
Spurs vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$32.4
Cavaliers vs. Hornetsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+69.5%+$18.01
Raptors vs. Warriorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+143.9%+$14.53
Knicks vs. Warriorsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$15.7
Hawks vs. Lakersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$13.72
Nets vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$7.07
Spurs vs. Celticsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST+96.1%+$14.92
Pelicans vs. Wizardsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$11.66
Suns vs. Grizzliesbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST+51.5%+$5.32
Bulls vs. Celticsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$12.21
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 3, 2025, EST875%6 W · 2 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+19.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+32.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.29per pick62cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Sacred Heart Pioneersbacked Dartmouth Big Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Stonehill Skyhawks vs. Bryant Bulldogsbacked Bryant Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+38.9%+$5.6
Pensacola Christian College Eagles vs. Troy Trojansbacked Pensacola Christian College Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$16.25
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Dec 2, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+55.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2025-11-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+78.6%+$13.2
Will FC Porto win on 2025-10-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Oct 25, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick75cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Dec 11, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ŠK Slovan Bratislava win on 2025-12-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 11, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Will Noah FA win on 2025-11-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$14.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cagliari win on 2025-10-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Utah State vs. UNLVbacked UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+47.1%+$6.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Slovenia win on 2025-10-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT+42.9%+$5.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fayha Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+35.1%+$7.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 4, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+31.6%+$4.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.61per pick61cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Liquid (BO3)backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$24.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.73per pick73cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OGC Nice win on 2025-10-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.