NBA · resolved market

Wizards vs. Hawks

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x668a55220c1933d4cf101836d74f00e1d68d476b6403e51d98a1bbca1fd1f742

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Hawksof Wizards, Hawks
Resolved: Feb 25, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,029,200
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,128,231

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,029,200 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 238 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NBA
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x1117…3532backed Wizards	15c	126,374$18,956 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18,956.06	1,024	50.8%520 W · 504 L	+18.6wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Wizards	14c	58,500$8,190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,189.99	308	45.8%141 W · 167 L	-12.8wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Wizards	8c	55,335$4,427 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,426.83	286	49.7%142 W · 144 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9f05…8937backed Wizards	13c	32,685$4,381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,381.4	470	28.1%132 W · 338 L	+27.2wins	+0.06per pick	22cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Wizards	15c	30,000$4,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,500	1,124	48.6%546 W · 578 L	+13.9wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8a8…a48ebacked Wizards	14c	25,230$3,532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,532.16	143	58.7%84 W · 59 L	+12.9wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+20.4%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe021…e299backed Wizards	14c	22,100$3,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,094	100	35%35 W · 65 L	-7.4wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x27cb…169ebacked Wizards	15c	20,189$2,951 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,951.34	274	24.5%67 W · 207 L	-10.0wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Wizards	8c	16,020$1,306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,306.01	8,988	47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L	+96.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2f6d…4ad5backed Wizards	15c	15,439$2,316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,315.82	79	43%34 W · 45 L	+4.3wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+26.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Wizards	15c	14,375$2,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,156.25	593	47%279 W · 314 L	-7.3wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8716…bd57backed Wizards	15c	13,495$1,966 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,966.47	418	32.8%137 W · 281 L	-10.5wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Wizards	15c	12,500$1,875 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,875	2,153	51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L	+76.7wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards	14c	10,338$1,447 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,447.32	1,782	28%499 W · 1,283 L	+11.5wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Wizards	14c	10,001$1,400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,400.1	266	40.2%107 W · 159 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44f7…266fbacked Wizards	1c	9,018$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.37	457	3.5%16 W · 441 L	+4.4wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ac…4f55backed Wizards	14c	7,354$1,030 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,029.57	367	41.4%152 W · 215 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09e0…e546backed Wizards	16c	6,840$1,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,085.16	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Wizards	5c	6,702$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.07	830	39.4%327 W · 503 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	39cpaid	-20.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Wizards	5c	6,426$328 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$327.65	1,633	41.2%672 W · 961 L	+26.3wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…ad81backed Wizards	2c	6,133$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.88	317	9.5%30 W · 287 L	-4.0wins	-0.01per pick	11cpaid	-59.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd269…8055backed Wizards	14c	4,856$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	489	38.7%189 W · 300 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	41cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Wizards	14c	4,360$610 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$610.4	1,163	52.8%614 W · 549 L	+22.4wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3212…634ebacked Wizards	14c	4,100$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$584	400	35.5%142 W · 258 L	+5.8wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xab26…0c0cbacked Wizards	3c	3,710$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.17	306	19.9%61 W · 245 L	+4.6wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+11.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dfd…8d75backed Wizards	10c	3,360$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.01	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-27.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Wizards	15c	3,333$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	649	44.7%290 W · 359 L	-9.5wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc59e…22b6backed Wizards	16c	3,223$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	63	23.8%15 W · 48 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Wizards	15c	3,108$466 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.58	125	24.8%31 W · 94 L	-5.6wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x39c6…0ac1backed Wizards	18c	3,072$541 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$540.58	542	46.7%253 W · 289 L	-7.2wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ba…f893backed Wizards	14c	3,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Wizards	11c	2,938$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.53	285	37.9%108 W · 177 L	-4.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x62fb…4d60backed Hawks	80c	2,833$2,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$566.6	355	47.3%168 W · 187 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	46cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Wizards	15c	2,753$411 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$410.98	4,325	47%2,031 W · 2,294 L	-69.5wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x92aa…0341backed Wizards	6c	2,716$163 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$162.94	159	49.7%79 W · 80 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Wizards	5c	2,574$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.19	1,341	29.9%401 W · 940 L	-53.8wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Wizards	0c	2,565$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.2	882	0%0 W · 882 L	-6.7wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4f…069ebacked Wizards	14c	2,355$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.7	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	45cpaid	+7.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Wizards	14c	2,143$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	58	31%18 W · 40 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e31…7e44backed Wizards	14c	2,100$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.1wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc07c…c4b7backed Wizards	14c	2,100$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294	56	16.1%9 W · 47 L	-4.4wins	-0.08per pick	24cpaid	-56.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Wizards	15c	2,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	466	32.6%152 W · 314 L	+8.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Wizards	15c	2,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	191	47.6%91 W · 100 L	+6.9wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3cf3…eb8ebacked Wizards	9c	1,853$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.78	47	23.4%11 W · 36 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	22cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b9a…5f69backed Wizards	2c	1,838$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.59	521	3.8%20 W · 501 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-36.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Wizards	7c	1,685$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.17	3,668	41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L	-70.7wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards	3c	1,616$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	1,602	11.8%189 W · 1,413 L	-4.8wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…7d64backed Wizards	14c	1,600$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Wizards	16c	1,563$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	354	38.1%135 W · 219 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeb22…808abacked Wizards	15c	1,500$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	956	41.7%399 W · 557 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Wizards	14c	1,500$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	491	42.6%209 W · 282 L	+12.1wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	+9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Wizards	14c	1,452$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.34	513	54.2%278 W · 235 L	+9.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x79e9…6c98backed Wizards	19c	1,415$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$268.86	110	59.1%65 W · 45 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	62cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Wizards	3c	1,412$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.78	334	28.1%94 W · 240 L	-20.3wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-44.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Wizards	1c	1,370$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.33	1,384	39.4%545 W · 839 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36de…f4a8backed Wizards	14c	1,357$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.8wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x473e…0014backed Wizards	14c	1,300$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.27per pick	23cpaid	+61.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b94…ff6dbacked Wizards	14c	1,300$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.34per pick	34cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe25…df0abacked Wizards	10c	1,187$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.94	71	28.2%20 W · 51 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba14…b792backed Wizards	14c	1,180$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.2	699	29.8%208 W · 491 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	30cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf060…b07abacked Wizards	15c	1,175$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.32	72	31.9%23 W · 49 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x808c…b77ebacked Wizards	14c	1,141$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.75	21	38.1%8 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc990…b6e6backed Wizards	14c	1,099$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.86	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4309…7456backed Wizards	14c	1,050$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.49	613	36.1%221 W · 392 L	-6.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-10%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17e5…f205backed Wizards	1c	1,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	420	0.7%3 W · 417 L	-4.1wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-52%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa52e…453fbacked Wizards	19c	963$183 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.94	162	51.2%83 W · 79 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac76…fe54backed Wizards	18c	900$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	10	20%2 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Wizards	14c	800$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115	481	37.2%179 W · 302 L	-15.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Wizards	17c	756.72$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.3	731	31.1%227 W · 504 L	-3.5wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0176…910ebacked Wizards	14c	714.29$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	604	44.2%267 W · 337 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed Wizards	14c	700$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	524	32.6%171 W · 353 L	+6.9wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Wizards	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	279	50.5%141 W · 138 L	-3.8wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb917…02c6backed Wizards	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	179	40.2%72 W · 107 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x7f39…c88fbacked Wizards	15c	666.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95a9…4352backed Wizards	20c	655.24$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.05	244	58.2%142 W · 102 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcacf…35ffbacked Wizards	2c	650$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.5	721	1%7 W · 714 L	-2.6wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Wizards	4c	649.88$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.82	877	44.7%392 W · 485 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a39…d732backed Wizards	14c	630$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.2	22	50%11 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Wizards	16c	625$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	244	36.1%88 W · 156 L	-5.6wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89e6…5501backed Wizards	16c	587.5$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	75	32%24 W · 51 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x92ec…8272backed Wizards	14c	571.43$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf8d…170abacked Wizards	16c	531.25$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	-9.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f25…6f07backed Wizards	14c	500$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	89	29.2%26 W · 63 L	-5.2wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x67f4…f91bbacked Wizards	14c	500$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	401	27.2%109 W · 292 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02f7…b17abacked Wizards	3c	500$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	45cpaid	-41.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed Wizards	15c	468.93$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.34	145	33.1%48 W · 97 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ec2…2b27backed Wizards	16c	418.75$67 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.35per pick	32cpaid	+226.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Wizards	15c	400$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	625	39.4%246 W · 379 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	42cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…c20dbacked Wizards	15c	400$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	170	35.9%61 W · 109 L	-7.7wins	-0.05per pick	40cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e2d…40b1backed Wizards	14c	397.44$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.64	323	30.7%99 W · 224 L	-12.1wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ea1…56f2backed Wizards	14c	395$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.3	591	31.1%184 W · 407 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	30cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37eb…6bf7backed Wizards	20c	390.6$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.35	145	44.1%64 W · 81 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbc9f…2ca3backed Wizards	16c	373$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.68	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc506…abb0backed Wizards	17c	365$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.05	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	36cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc34…bd10backed Wizards	3c	357.14$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x725f…06c2backed Wizards	14c	357.14$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1,888	37.3%704 W · 1,184 L	+9.9wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fa4…5e77backed Wizards	14c	357$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.98	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x894d…7293backed Wizards	4c	340$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.6	38	21.1%8 W · 30 L	-3.1wins	-0.08per pick	29cpaid	-45.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4fdb…6404backed Wizards	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	531	41.8%222 W · 309 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Wizards	15c	333.33$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	102	25.5%26 W · 76 L	-1.9wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Wizards vs. Hawksthis page
1H Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Hawks won
Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
Kyshawn George: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
Spread: Hawks (-11.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-12.5)Hawks won
Spread: Hawks (-13.5)Hawks won
Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 12.5No won
Tristan Vukcevic: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
Wizards vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5Under won
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5Under won
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5Under won
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 238.5Under won
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5Under won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Wizards vs. Hawks

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event