NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe0a75c99ca59da8049b3541275aab8ade0461a84e4c9bb442b978ab23e73b730
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,004
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,270
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,004 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e43…a3cdbacked Under | 51c | 18,755$9,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,223.26 | 435 | 42.8%186 W · 249 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 6,599$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.08 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 50c | 2,542$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,270.85 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 46c | 2,484$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.64 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 49c | 2,020$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.4 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 53c | 2,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 48c | 1,209$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.9 | 513 | 54.2%278 W · 235 L | +9.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Over | 48c | 1,180$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$566.26 | 121 | 44.6%54 W · 67 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34cd…9675backed Over | 48c | 1,173$561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.47 | 226 | 48.2%109 W · 117 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Under | 55c | 1,100$605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Over | 48c | 1,035$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.8 | 1,212 | 48.3%586 W · 626 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Over | 53c | 984.11$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.58 | 220 | 55%121 W · 99 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Under | 54c | 929.99$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.8 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 49c | 884.53$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.66 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 47c | 706$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.18 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…3de8backed Under | 54c | 700$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 54c | 647.43$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.95 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Over | 39c | 594.3$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.86 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 49c | 553.19$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.57 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Over | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 410 | 50.7%208 W · 202 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 48c | 459.25$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.44 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 49c | 383.84$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.08 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 47c | 382.12$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.65 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb59c…e944backed Under | 53c | 320$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.4 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 49c | 246.34$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.48 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 49c | 238.78$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 55c | 208.55$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.89 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd44d…389dbacked Under | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 51c | 192.45$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.43 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 61c | 152.79$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.87 | 830 | 39.4%327 W · 503 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 52c | 147$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.05 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 61c | 131.85$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 49c | 125.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.23 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Under | 66c | 81.29$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 880 | 57.5%506 W · 374 L | +34.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ec1…bfa6backed Under | 73c | 68$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.36 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 62c | 53.95$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 402 | 43.8%176 W · 226 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Over | 30c | 41.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Over | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47e5…9b73backed Under | 55c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 425 | 51.3%218 W · 207 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Under | 62c | 37$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 520 | 52.3%272 W · 248 L | +31.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ea…2176backed Under | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc00c…ddc2backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 50c | 30.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 648 | 44.8%290 W · 358 L | -32.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Under | 53c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.22 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | -9.6wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…0af4backed Over | 50c | 23.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd84b…0df3backed Under | 53c | 21.48$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbb…bc3abacked Over | 48c | 21.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…5f95backed Under | 50c | 20.46$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.24 | 241 | 50.2%121 W · 120 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 237.5this page
- 1H Spread: Hawks (-8.5)Hawks won
- Dyson Daniels: Rebounds O/U 6.5Yes won
- Jalen Johnson: Assists O/U 7.5No won
- Jock Landale: Rebounds O/U 5.5No won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Points O/U 8.5Yes won
- Jonathan Kuminga: Rebounds O/U 4.5Yes won
- Kyshawn George: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Onyeka Okongwu: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Spread: Hawks (-11.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-12.5)Hawks won
- Spread: Hawks (-13.5)Hawks won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Points O/U 12.5No won
- Tristan Vukcevic: Rebounds O/U 5.5Yes won
- Wizards vs. HawksHawks won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 122.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 235.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 236.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 238.5Under won
- Wizards vs. Hawks: O/U 239.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.